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ARIZ

Arizona 35 at Purdue 38

PUR
2017 · Foster Farms Bowl · Dec 27, 2017 · Levi's Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:43 · Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Markell Jones for 1 yd to the Ariz 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Home team on offense+7.2Pregame prior−1.7Garbage-time factor+3.2Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:11: D.J. Knox run for 13 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +8.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:53: Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 40 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +10.1 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:31: Khalil Tate pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 40 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +18.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 3:21: Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 24 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +42.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:44: Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 38 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +55.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 9 of 10ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 13:07ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:12ARIZ 4th & 7 at ARIZ 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:43PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:15PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.2%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:16ARIZ 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:48PUR 4th & 1 at ARIZ 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    48.3%−2.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:17ARIZ 4th & 9 at PUR 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    39.8%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:57ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:35PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:14PUR 4th & 6 at ARIZ 28, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−7.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:35PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 37, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:06ARIZ 4th & 14 at ARIZ 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−3.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:39PUR 4th & 11 at ARIZ 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    58.9%−2.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:54ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 14, down 3
    Close callPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:43PUR 4th & 2 at ARIZ 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    64.1%−4.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    64.0%−4.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:53ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:48PUR 4th & 19 at PUR 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−10.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:03ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 36, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.9 ptsPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%−3.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:47PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−4.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:43PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:43ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:09ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:22PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:12PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:11PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:53ARIZ Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:31ARIZ Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:21ARIZ Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−1.0
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:44PUR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3858% → 58%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
41.9%
Shun Brown run for 8 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 24
0
42.0%
Nick Wilson run for no gain to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 2
OWN 24
0
42.3%
Khalil Tate run for no gain to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
42.5%
Jake Glatting punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:2043% → 45%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
42.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
42.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+17
42.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 17 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
42.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 11 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
43.2%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+31
44.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 31 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0856% → 55%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
44.1%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 3 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+5
44.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-5
44.3%
Khalil Tate sacked by Ja'Whaun Bentley for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 36Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
45.2%
Jake Glatting punt for 48 yds, downed at the Prdue 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1745% → 46%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
45.3%
D.J. Knox run for 7 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+2
45.6%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+8
45.5%
D.J. Knox run for 8 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
46.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
45.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for 1 yd to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-6
46.3%
Elijah Sindelar sacked by Lorenzo Burns for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
46.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Shun Brown at the Ariz 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 0:4753% → 57%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
46.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
50
+9
46.2%
Khalil Tate run for 9 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+10
46.3%
Nick Wilson run for 10 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
43.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 31 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1544% → 44%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Markell Jones for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
44.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 24Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
43.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 10 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
44.2%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:5157% → 60%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
43.2%
Tyrell Johnson run for 7 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 3
OPP 27
-2
43.1%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+29
39.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 29 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4241% → 47%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
40.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Cole Herdman for 15 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
41.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 4 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
41.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 3 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+11
41.8%
Markell Jones run for 11 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
47.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 42 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:5455% → 55%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.8%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
44.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 7 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
44.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 8 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
43.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 44Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
44.0%
Zach Green run for 2 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
43.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 47Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
44.1%
Khalil Tate run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 6
50
0
44.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Cedric PetersonSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 6
50
0
45.4%
Jake Glatting punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
15 plays · 90 yds · 4:5347% → 58%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
46.5%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+6
46.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 6 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
46.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+15
45.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (J.J. Taylor) to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
47.4%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
47.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 4 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+7
47.9%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
49.0%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+2
49.6%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
49.4%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Ariz 46Similar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+24
48.8%
Markell Jones run for 24 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
51.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
51.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+22
57.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 22 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 0
OPP 3
+2
57.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dane Cruikshank) to the Ariz 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:3846% → 42%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
54.5%
Khalil Tate sacked by Ray Ellis for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 32Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 16
OWN 32
-1
55.9%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 31Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+27
57.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 27 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
54.3%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-5
54.5%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Gerhard de Beer) to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+3
55.7%
Khalil Tate run for 3 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
56.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tony EllisonSimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
57.8%
Jake Glatting punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0159% → 70%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+21
58.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 21 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
61.0%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+35
61.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 35 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
62.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 9 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+13
70.4%
D.J. Knox run for 13 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:0332% → 30%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
67.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 3 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+10
68.2%
Khalil Tate run for 10 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
68.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+5
69.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for 5 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
69.8%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tyrell JohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-2
70.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to J.J. Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
70.3%
Jake Glatting punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:1572% → 70%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
72.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
71.8%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 48Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
71.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
69.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 48 yds · 0:3530% → 33%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.2%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tony EllisonSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+24
70.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 24 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
69.1%
Khalil Tate run for 9 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+15
67.2%
Khalil Tate run for 15 yds to the Prdue 32 Khalil Tate fumbled, forced by Navon Mosley, recovered by Prdue Navon MosleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 0:4775% → 80%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
74.6%
D.J. Knox run for 30 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
76.5%
D.J. Knox run for 8 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+3
76.3%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
76.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for 14 yds to the Ariz 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
76.2%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Ariz 9Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
78.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+26
80.0%
Spencer Evans 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 2:3679% → 82%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
78.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 10 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
79.8%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+15
79.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 15 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
80.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 12 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
81.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
82.4%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
82.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+45
81.5%
J.D. Dellinger 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:1719% → 29%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
81.2%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+1
81.5%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 31Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+14
82.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 14 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
81.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 6 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-2
81.3%
Khalil Tate sacked by T.J. McCollum for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+15
82.6%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Navon Mosley) to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
82.1%
Nick Wilson run for 6 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-10
80.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gerhard de Beer) to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+40
70.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tony Ellison for 40 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:1273% → 71%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
73.1%
D.J. Knox run for 7 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
74.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
73.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass intercepted Scottie Young Jr. return for no gain to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
70.9%
Tyrell Johnson run for no gain to the Ariz 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:4629% → 47%
Q3 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+10
71.5%
Khalil Tate run for 10 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
70.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+40
52.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 40 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4059% → 59%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
59.4%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-2
60.0%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+6
58.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 6 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 2
OWN 37
-2
58.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 47 yds , Shun Brown returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2442% → 37%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
57.7%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 12Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+2
59.3%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 10
OWN 14
-4
61.1%
Khalil Tate sacked by Lorenzo Neal for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 10Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 14
OWN 10
0
63.3%
Jake Glatting punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Ariz 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1664% → 60%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-11
64.4%
Elijah Sindelar sacked by Dane Cruikshank for a loss of 11 yards to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 21
OWN 46
0
61.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 21
OWN 46
+10
59.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jared Sparks for 10 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
59.5%
Joe Schopper punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Shun Brown at the Ariz 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3538% → 35%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
61.6%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 8Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+1
62.2%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 9Similar
Q3 0:15
3RD & 7
OWN 9
+5
64.1%
Khalil Tate run for 5 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
64.6%
Jake Glatting punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0465% → 67%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
64.6%
Elijah Sindelar run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+8
68.5%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
70.0%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
69.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+7
68.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Darius Pittman for 7 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+1
67.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Markell Jones for 1 yd to the Ariz 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4440% → 37%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
60.4%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tony EllisonSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
61.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
59.9%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q4 11:53
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
62.8%
Jake Glatting punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:5966% → 64%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
66.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 8 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+5
67.1%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
68.0%
Jackson Anthrop run for no gain to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
67.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-9
65.2%
Elijah Sindelar sacked by Tony Fields II for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 21 PURDUE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Elijah Sindelar) to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 19
OWN 21
-10
64.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 47 yds , Shun Brown returns for a loss of 10 yards to the Ariz 11 ARIZONA Penalty, Illegal Block (Antonio Parks) to the Ariz 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4537% → 34%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
63.4%
PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (Derrick Barnes) to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
62.2%
Shun Brown run for 5 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
60.7%
Nick Wilson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
59.9%
Khalil Tate run for no gain to the Ariz 36Similar
Q4 8:03
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
65.6%
Jake Glatting punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0370% → 69%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
69.7%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+2
71.7%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
72.9%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 1
OWN 37
-5
70.7%
PURDUE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
69.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Shun Brown at the Ariz 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 30TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:1435% → 85%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
65.2%
Khalil Tate run for 9 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+1
61.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
63.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+20
61.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 20 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
58.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 13 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
57.5%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+24
14.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 24 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 31TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:2129% → 87%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
29.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 8 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
31.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 8 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
32.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
30.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+21
27.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to D.J. Knox for 21 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
33.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
31.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for no gain to the Ariz 38Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+38
87.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 38 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 32INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1627% → 22%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
72.7%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shun BrownSimilar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
74.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
78.0%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Jacob Thieneman return for no gain to the Prdue 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 33END OF HALF
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:3790% → 93%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
89.7%
D.J. Knox run for 16 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
90.8%
PURDUE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (D.J. Knox) to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 25
OWN 37
-2
91.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 27
OWN 35
-1
90.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 28
OWN 34
-1
93.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:44
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 38 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+55.3
TD · Q4 3:21
Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 24 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
-42.5
TD · Q3 6:31
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 40 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
-18.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com