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WSU

Washington State 17 at Michigan State 42

MSU
2017 · San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl · Dec 28, 2017 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · MSU
modelMSU aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMSU scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 9 yds to the MchSt 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTimeout advantage
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:34: Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK) — MSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:34: Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 49 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK) — MSU win probability +11.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:29: LJ Scott run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK) — MSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:28: Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK) — MSU win probability +7.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:06: Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 14 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +4.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:39WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:50MSU 4th & 6 at WSU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45WSU 4th & 3 at MSU 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.9%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:27MSU 4th & 4 at WSU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    57.3%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:58WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:46MSU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.4%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:37WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:12WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:33WSU 4th & 1 at MSU 23, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:54MSU 4th & 12 at MSU 17, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 7:34MSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:34MSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:29MSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:28MSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:08MSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:06WSU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:26WSU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:14MSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0150% → 49%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
50.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 4 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+5
50.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 5 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 1
OWN 24
0
50.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
50.8%
Erik Powell punt for 38 yds, downed at the MchSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:4351% → 51%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
50.8%
LJ Scott run for 17 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
51.0%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
51.2%
LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
51.3%
Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis IIISimilar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 6
OPP 41
-4
51.1%
Jake Hartbarger punt for 29 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 8 Jamal Morrow fumbled, recovered by WshStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 5:5249% → 49%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
51.1%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+4
51.1%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 4 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+13
51.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 13 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
51.2%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+5
51.0%
Tyler Hilinski run for 5 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
51.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 7 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
50.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
50.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 6 yds to the MchSt 43Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
50.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+8
50.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 8 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
50.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
50.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for no gain to the MchSt 35Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+7
50.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Brandon Arconado for 7 yds to the MchSt 28Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
50.7%
Erik Powell 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:0751% → 51%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
50.5%
Brian Lewerke run for 19 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
51.5%
LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 46Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
51.6%
Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis IIISimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+11
50.7%
Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHST pass interference 11 yards to the WASHST43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.Similar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
51.9%
Trishton Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+11
51.1%
Brian Lewerke run for 11 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
51.8%
Brian Lewerke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:27
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
51.2%
Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2650% → 49%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
50.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-4
50.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+6
51.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 6 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q1 1:58
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
51.1%
Erik Powell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cody White at the MchSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 6TD
18 plays · 81 yds · 8:5650% → 59%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
50.4%
LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 26Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+1
50.8%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Hunter Rison for 1 yd to the MchSt 27Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+3
50.1%
Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
50.6%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 25Similar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+10
50.3%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to LJ Scott for 10 yds to the MchSt 35Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
51.5%
Brian Lewerke run for 6 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
51.9%
LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 46Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
52.2%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 49Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
51.8%
Brian Lewerke run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 1
50
+2
51.3%
Brian Lewerke run for 2 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
52.7%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 47Similar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+14
51.2%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 14 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+4
52.9%
LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
53.3%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+16
53.4%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 16 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
52.6%
Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the WshSt 15Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
52.6%
Brian Lewerke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+15
59.2%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5243% → 42%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
57.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
58.5%
Erik Powell punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:5359% → 70%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
58.6%
Brian Lewerke run for 7 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-3
60.0%
Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 41Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+10
58.7%
Brian Lewerke run for 10 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
70.1%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 49 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5131% → 29%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
69.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 6 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
70.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
70.9%
Kyle Sweet punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cody White at the MchSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:2371% → 81%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+27
71.1%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 27 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
72.5%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 3 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+5
73.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+2
74.4%
LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
74.8%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 12 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+16
75.1%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to LJ Scott for 16 yds to the WshSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.6%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0620% → 20%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
80.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 6 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+11
79.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 11 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:1782% → 96%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
81.8%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Sokol for 12 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
86.9%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 48Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
86.9%
Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody WhiteSimilar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+28
86.4%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 28 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
87.8%
Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody WhiteSimilar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
88.4%
LJ Scott run for 9 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
88.6%
LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
89.3%
Brian Lewerke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
88.1%
Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
95.8%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:159% → 9%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
91.2%
Tyler Hilinski run for 3 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+10
91.3%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 10 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
91.1%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 34
-7
91.2%
Tyler Hilinski run for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 27 Tyler Hilinski fumbled, recovered by MchSt Chris FreySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:3296% → 99%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
96.4%
Brian Lewerke run for no gain to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
96.3%
Brian Lewerke run for 6 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+7
96.6%
Brian Lewerke run for 7 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
97.2%
Cody White run for 9 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+3
96.7%
Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.8%
Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the WshSt 1Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 0
OPP 1
-5
97.0%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 6Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.3%
Damion Terry run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:482% → 5%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.2%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+19
98.1%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 19 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 3 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
99.3%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 6 yds to the MchSt 46Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+15
99.2%
Hilinski, Tyler pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference 15 yards to the MICHIGANST31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.3%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the MchSt 25Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+11
99.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 11 yds to the MchSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
94.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 14 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
95.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 16INT
11 plays · 27 yds · 5:2199% → 99%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
98.7%
Madre London run for 7 yds to the MchSt 49Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+1
98.8%
Madre London run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 2
50
+10
98.8%
Madre London run for 10 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
98.9%
Brian Lewerke sacked by Robert Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 45Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+12
99.1%
Damion Terry run for 12 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+5
99.2%
Damion Terry run for 5 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
99.3%
Madre London run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 11
OPP 29
-2
99.4%
Damion Terry run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 31Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 13
OPP 31
+13
99.4%
Damion Terry pass intercepted Frankie Luvu return for 13 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 2:493% → 5%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
97.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
50
-15
98.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 25
OPP 47
+33
98.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 18 yds to the MICHIGANST 47 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the MchSt 32 for a 1ST down (Josiah Scott EJECTED)Similar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
98.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+9
98.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for 9 yds to the MchSt 23Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+4
98.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 4 yds to the MchSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
98.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for 4 yds to the MchSt 15Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+15
95.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 15 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:4699% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
98.7%
LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+6
98.8%
LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+10
98.8%
LJ Scott run for 10 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.7%
LJ Scott run for 28 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19INT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:501% → 1%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 2 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+7
99.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 7 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+5
99.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 5 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 6 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+7
99.3%
Tyler Hilinski run for 7 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 3 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
99.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass intercepted Khari Willis return for 1 yd to the MchSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.8%
Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 20Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-5
99.8%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 15Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+1
99.8%
Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 16Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 13
OWN 16
+1
99.8%
Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 17Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Jake Hartbarger punt for 52 yds, downed at the WshSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:451% → 0%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for 4 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
99.5%
Tyler Hilinski run for 2 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+5
99.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 5 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 9 yds to the MchSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:34
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 49 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)
+11.4
TD · Q3 10:28
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q2 7:34
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)
+6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com