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TCU

TCU 17 at Oklahoma 41

OU
2017 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2017 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:37 · Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Home team on offense+33.9Pregame prior+0.5Score differential+23.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+14.8Garbage-time factor+14.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+10.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:07: Jalen Reagor 29 Yd pass from Kenny Hill (Cole Bunce Kick) — TCU win probability +6.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:44: John Diarse 12 Yd pass from Kenny Hill (Cole Bunce Kick) — TCU win probability +7.3 pts (now 36%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:45: Mark Andrews 6 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +5.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:26: Mykel Jones 55 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +9.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:41: Marquise Brown 52 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +10.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:04OU 4th & 2 at TCU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.0%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:30OU 4th & 4 at TCU 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:11TCU 4th & 7 at OU 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    28.5%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:40OU 4th & 6 at TCU 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:37TCU 4th & 15 at TCU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:09TCU 4th & 1 at OU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−2.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:09TCU 4th & 14 at TCU 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:19OU 4th & 8 at TCU 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:14OU 4th & 21 at TCU 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:43TCU 4th & 8 at OU 48, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:29OU 4th & 6 at OU 37, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:00TCU 4th & 16 at OU 42, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:37OU 4th & 1 at TCU 26, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:21OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:29OU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:07TCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:44TCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:45OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:26OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:41OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 4:3069% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
68.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 14:33
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
68.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 8 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
68.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+9
68.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
50
0
68.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
50
+4
68.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 4 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+4
68.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 4 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+12
68.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 12 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
68.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
68.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 6 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
68.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
68.7%
Austin Seibert 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-18
69.5%
Caleb Kelly 18 Yd Fumble Return (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:0431% → 30%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.5%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
69.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 11 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
69.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 15 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
69.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 1 yd to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
69.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
69.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
70.0%
Adam Nunez punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 5:4270% → 78%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
70.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-4
70.2%
Rodney Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 17Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+29
70.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 29 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
71.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
71.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 4 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
71.7%
Baker Mayfield run for 6 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
72.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 18 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
72.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for 13 yds to the TCU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
72.6%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the TCU 5Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.2%
Mark Andrews 5 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2223% → 28%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
76.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 12 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
76.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 5 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
76.7%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+18
77.3%
Kenny Hill run for 18 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
76.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 2 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+14
77.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 14 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
77.7%
Kenny Hill sacked by Amani Bledsoe for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 28
-1
78.4%
Desmon White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 15
OPP 29
+29
72.1%
Jalen Reagor 29 Yd pass from Kenny Hill (Cole Bunce Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6MISSED FG
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:1972% → 73%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+54
72.4%
Baker Mayfield run for 54 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
73.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 9 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 1
OPP 21
-5
73.8%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Ben Banogu for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 26 Baker Mayfield fumbled, forced by Ben Banogu, recovered by Okla Dru Samia , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
73.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
72.8%
Austin Seibert 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:5627% → 36%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
73.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 6 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+17
72.6%
Kyle Hicks run for 17 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
72.1%
Kyle Hicks run for 9 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+6
72.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 6 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
72.4%
Kenny Hill run for 5 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+7
71.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 7 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
71.6%
Kyle Hicks run for 7 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+5
71.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Cole Hunt for 5 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
64.3%
John Diarse 12 Yd pass from Kenny Hill (Cole Bunce Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:5270% → 76%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
69.6%
Rodney Anderson run for 10 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
69.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 13 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
70.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+4
70.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+2
69.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the TCU 19Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+5
68.3%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chris Bradley) to the TCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
70.2%
Baker Mayfield run for 7 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+1
70.3%
Baker Mayfield run for 1 yd to the TCU 6Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
75.9%
Mark Andrews 6 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9FG
18 plays · 66 yds · 3:4125% → 29%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
75.6%
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd to the TCU 27Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
76.7%
Kenny Hill run for 8 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
75.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 6 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+7
74.2%
Kenny Hill run for 7 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
74.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 9 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
73.3%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
73.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 3 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
75.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 1 yd to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+14
75.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 14 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
74.4%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+15
74.9%
Hill, Kenny pass incomplete to White, Desmon, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Haughton, Kahlil) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
74.6%
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd to the Okla 9Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
71.4%
Cole Bunce 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
75.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:1726% → 24%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.8%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
74.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q3 14:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
74.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q3 14:43
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
75.6%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Jeff Gladney) to the TCU 20Similar
Q3 14:37
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
75.7%
Adam Nunez punt for 35 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
85.0%
Mykel Jones 55 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:1716% → 18%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.6%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+22
82.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 32 yds to the OKLAHOMA 40 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cole Hunt) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
50
+3
82.2%
Kenny Hill run for 3 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+4
82.4%
Kenny Hill run for 4 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
81.4%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
82.0%
Kenny Hill run for no gain to the Okla 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:2885% → 95%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
84.6%
Rodney Anderson run for 7 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+52
95.2%
Marquise Brown 52 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:326% → 5%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
93.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 14 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
93.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 5 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-1
93.9%
Sewo Olonilua run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-3
94.3%
Kenny Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 9
OWN 40
-5
94.8%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Sammy Douglas) to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
95.0%
Andrew David punt for 45 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:5096% → 97%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.9%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+17
96.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 17 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
96.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+15
96.8%
Mayfield, Baker pass incomplete, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Gladney, Jeff) 15 yards to the TCU42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
96.9%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
97.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
96.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
96.6%
Austin Seibert punt for 36 yds, downed at the TCU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+19
95.7%
Kenny Hill pass intercepted Will Johnson return for 19 yds to the TCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18FG
6 plays · -11 yds · 2:5497% → 99%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
97.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 9Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-10
96.7%
Mayfield, Baker rush for 1 yard to the TCU8, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Wren, Erick) 10 yards to the TCU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 17
OPP 19
-2
96.8%
Rodney Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 21Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 19
OPP 21
-2
97.6%
Rodney Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 23Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 21
OPP 23
+40
98.5%
Austin Seibert 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:313% → 2%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
97.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 6 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
97.6%
Kenny Hill run for 5 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
97.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
50
0
97.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Desmon WhiteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
50
-4
97.9%
Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+6
98.1%
Kenny Hill run for 6 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
98.0%
Adam Nunez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:1499% → 99%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
99.1%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the Okla 7Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+14
99.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 14 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+7
99.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 7 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
99.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
99.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+52
99.3%
Austin Seibert punt for 51 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 52 yds to the Okla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:292% → 1%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
98.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kenny Hill for 1 yd to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-15
98.4%
Hill, Kenny pass complete to Reagor, Jalen for 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA25, PENALTY TCU illegal block (White, Desmon) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 24
50
+5
98.8%
Kyle Hicks run for 5 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 19
OPP 45
+3
98.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 3 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 16
OPP 42
0
98.9%
Adam Nunez punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22END OF GAME
13 plays · 53 yds · 8:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.5%
Trey Sermon run for 10 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.6%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+19
99.6%
Trey Sermon run for 19 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.7%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+7
99.7%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.7%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+2
99.7%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
99.7%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+6
99.7%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
99.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 25Similar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 15
OPP 25
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 26
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:41
Marquise Brown 52 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)
+10.5
TD · Q3 14:26
Mykel Jones 55 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)
+9.3
TD · Q2 7:44
John Diarse 12 Yd pass from Kenny Hill (Cole Bunce Kick)
-7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com