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OSU

Ohio State 27 at Wisconsin 21

WIS
2017 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2017 · Lucas Oil Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:30 · J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Home team on offense−13.1Pregame prior−9.0Garbage-time factor−2.7Score differential−5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:08: Andrew Van Ginkel 9 Yd Interception Return (Rafael Gaglianone Kick) — WIS win probability +4.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:59: Parris Campbell 57 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:10: J.T. Barrett 1 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:39: Chris James 1 Yd Run (Alex Hornibrook Pass to Troy Fumagalli for Two-Point Conversion) — WIS win probability +25.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. FG · Q4 5:20: Sean Nuernberger 20 Yd Field Goal — OSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 8 of 11OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:16WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:44WIS 4th & 5 at OSU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%−0.4
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:48OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:15WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:41WIS 4th & 3 at OSU 38, down 14
    Close callPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    29.3%−0.9
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:42WIS 4th & 9 at OSU 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−3.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:30OSU 4th & 1 at WIS 40, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    70.7%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:26OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:14WIS 4th & 7 at OSU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−5.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:25OSU 4th & 8 at WIS 10, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−7.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:21WIS 4th & 17 at WIS 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−2.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:20OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 49, up 11
    Close callPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:06WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:44OSU 4th & 1 at WIS 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−5.9
    85% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−23.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:20OSU 4th & 1 at WIS 3, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 8.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    63% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%−8.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−28.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:20WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 38, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.4 ptsPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%−6.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:59OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−1.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:09WIS 4th & 20 at WIS 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 2OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:31OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:08WIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:59OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:10OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:39WIS Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2833% → 34%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
33.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+3
33.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
33.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
33.7%
Anthony Lotti punt for 51 yds , K.J. Hill returns for no gain to the OhSt 32 K.J. Hill fumbled, recovered by OhSt K.J. Hill , return for 12 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3266% → 65%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
33.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Prince) to the OhSt 27Similar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+4
33.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+1
34.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+2
34.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+39
34.6%
Drue Chrisman punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the WISCONSIN 17 OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Zach Turnure) to the Wisc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3INT
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:4935% → 37%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
34.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 16 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
35.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Beau Benzschawel) to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+10
35.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for 10 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+3
35.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+20
35.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 20 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
36.4%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+9
36.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 9 yds to the OhSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
36.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Denzel Ward return for no gain to the OhSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 96 yds · 1:0464% → 67%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
35.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 7Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 7
0
36.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+9
36.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
33.1%
Terry McLaurin 84 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:1633% → 34%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
33.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
33.3%
A.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
33.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+25
33.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 25 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
34.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 6 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-1
35.0%
Chris James run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 36Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
34.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
33.9%
Anthony Lotti punt for 34 yds, downed at the OhSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2267% → 62%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
33.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 5Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+9
37.7%
Andrew Van Ginkel 9 Yd Interception Return (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4863% → 68%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
37.5%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
37.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 13 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
36.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+57
31.8%
Parris Campbell 57 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4533% → 32%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
32.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 21Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
32.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
32.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
31.9%
Anthony Lotti punt for 50 yds, downed at the OhSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0268% → 67%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
32.3%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 27Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+6
32.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 6 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
32.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
33.1%
Drue Chrisman punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2033% → 32%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
33.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
34.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
33.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
32.4%
Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:5567% → 76%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
32.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 4 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+77
32.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 77 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.4%
J.T. Barrett 1 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 5:0926% → 25%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
25.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
25.4%
Austin Ramesh run for 5 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+5
25.8%
Alec Ingold run for 5 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
25.3%
Chris James run for 1 yd to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+8
25.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 8 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+9
25.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 9 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
25.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
25.1%
Alex Hornibrook run for 7 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
24.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
24.7%
Anthony Lotti punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
23.4%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the OhSt 11 Mike Weber fumbled, forced by Andrew Van Ginkel, recovered by Wisc Andrew Van GinkelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4725% → 27%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
25.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
25.4%
Danny Davis III run for 5 yds to the OhSt 6Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-5
24.7%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Michael Deiter) to the OhSt 11Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+1
24.5%
Alex Hornibrook run for 1 yd to the OhSt 10Similar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
26.9%
Rafael Gaglianone 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15DOWNS
18 plays · 49 yds · 3:3073% → 78%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
26.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
26.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
26.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
25.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
25.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+10
24.1%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Nelson, Nick) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
23.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 8 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
23.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 1 yd to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
23.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
24.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
22.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 9 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
22.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
22.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
21.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+43
22.1%
Sean Nuernberger 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Nick Nelson D'Cota Dixon return for 21 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:2374% → 73%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
25.5%
Dobbins, J.K. rush for no gain to the OHIOST28, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Jones, Jamarco) 10 yards to the OHIOST18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+1
25.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 19Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
26.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 16
OWN 19
-3
26.8%
Drue Chrisman punt for 55 yds , Nick Nelson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:0625% → 29%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
25.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
25.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
25.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+33
25.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 33 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
28.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
26.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
25.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+46
29.0%
Rafael Gaglianone 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:4173% → 78%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
26.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
26.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 5 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
25.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+53
25.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 53 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
23.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 4 yds to the Wisc 8Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-2
23.0%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 10Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
23.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
21.9%
Sean Nuernberger 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5323% → 20%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
22.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
22.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Austin RameshSimilar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-7
21.1%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 19Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 17
OWN 19
+14
20.4%
Anthony Lotti punt for 51 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 14 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5380% → 79%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
19.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
20.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
19.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
21.2%
Drue Chrisman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5421% → 19%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
21.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 9Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+7
20.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 7 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 4
OWN 16
-6
19.3%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Jerome Baker for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 10Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 10
OWN 10
+22
18.5%
Anthony Lotti punt for 51 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 22 yds to the Wisc 32 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:5381% → 81%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
18.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
18.3%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the Wisc 43Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+3
18.6%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Leon Jacobs return for 3 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23TD
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:2122% → 47%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
21.7%
Kendric Pryor run for no gain to the Wisc 48Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
20.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 11 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
22.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
23.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 11 yds to the OhSt 30 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Biadasz) to the OhSt 40Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
21.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+17
20.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 17 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
23.5%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 26Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+13
21.2%
Hornibrook, Alex pass incomplete, PENALTY OHIOST roughing passer (Landers, Robert) 13 yards to the OHIOST13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
22.3%
Garrett Groshek pass complete to Alex Hornibrook for 9 yds to the OhSt 4Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
22.2%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
21.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.4%
Chris James 1 Yd Run (Alex Hornibrook Pass to Troy Fumagalli for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24FG
17 plays · 72 yds · 6:5564% → 82%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
34.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
34.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
34.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
29.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+23
29.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 8 yds to the WISCONSIN 49 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Dontye Carriere-Williams) to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
27.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 12 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
26.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+4
26.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+1
27.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the Wisc 13Similar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+1
30.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
25.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Wisc 11Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+4
25.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+4
23.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Wisc 3Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+20
18.1%
Sean Nuernberger 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:2526% → 25%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
26.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 9 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+3
27.8%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
25.2%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+10
24.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 10 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
27.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
24.6%
Anthony Lotti punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:1586% → 86%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
13.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+1
13.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 17Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
13.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to J.K. DobbinsSimilar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
14.1%
Drue Chrisman punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 27INT
12 plays · 18 yds · 1:4422% → 14%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
22.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
22.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 3 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+9
22.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 9 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
19.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 7 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+9
22.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 9 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
21.1%
Hornibrook, Alex pass incomplete, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding 10 yards to the WISCONSIN47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 20
OWN 47
0
17.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 20
OWN 47
0
15.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 20
OWN 47
0
14.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Garrett GroshekSimilar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 20
OWN 47
+4
13.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Damon Webb return for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-1
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:39
Chris James 1 Yd Run (Alex Hornibrook Pass to Troy Fumagalli for Two-Point Conversion)
+25.5
TD · Q2 11:10
J.T. Barrett 1 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)
-8
FG · Q4 5:20
Sean Nuernberger 20 Yd Field Goal
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com