Try the model
UGA

Georgia 28 at Auburn 7

AUB
2017 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2017 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.6AUB 40.2%Rodrigo Blankenship 27 Yd Field GoalAWAY 10 - HOME 7 · Q2 4:59
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:59 · Rodrigo Blankenship 27 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense−4.4Score differential−2.1Pregame prior−5.8Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:14: Isaac Nauta 2 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +8.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:38: Kerryon Johnson run for 15 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST down — AUB win probability +5.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. FG · Q3 1:26: Rodrigo Blankenship 35 Yd Field Goal — UGA win probability +7.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:40: Jake Fromm run for 17 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST down — UGA win probability +12.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:06: Terry Godwin 7 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Jake Fromm Pass to Terry Godwin for Two-Point Conversion) — UGA win probability +15.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 6:16UGA 4th & 19 at UGA 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:18AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:19UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:33AUB 4th & 11 at AUB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:59UGA 4th & 10 at AUB 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−5.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:49AUB 4th & 16 at UGA 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:00UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 47, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:13AUB 4th & 5 at UGA 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−10.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:23UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−2.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:48AUB 4th & 10 at UGA 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    43.7%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:26UGA 4th & 4 at AUB 18, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.2%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    45.1%−13.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:12AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:08AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:58UGA 4th & 1 at AUB 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:07UGA 4th & 5 at AUB 18, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:38AUB 4th & 21 at AUB 32, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:54AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:14UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:06UGA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    83.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.1%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:34UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:0140% → 44%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
40.3%
Eli Stove run for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
40.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 25Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
40.6%
Stidham, Jarrett pass incomplete to Slayton, Darius, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Baker, Deandre) 12 yards to the AUBURN37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.Similar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
40.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
41.1%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
41.3%
Stidham, Jarrett pass complete to Davis, Ryan for loss of 2 yards to the AUBURN47, PENALTY GEORGIA 12 men on the field 5 yards to the GEORGIA46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+11
41.7%
Eli Stove run for 11 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
41.9%
Eli Stove run for 4 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+21
42.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chandler Cox for 21 yds to the Geo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
42.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 5 yds to the Geo 5Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
42.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 6Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
44.1%
Nate Craig-Myers 6 Yd pass from Jarrett Stidham (Daniel Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:3056% → 53%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
43.6%
Nick Chubb run for 13 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
43.9%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 38 Sony Michel fumbled, recovered by Geo Sony MichelSimilar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
44.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to D'Andre SwiftSimilar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+15
44.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 15 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
44.2%
Jake Fromm sacked by Tray Matthews for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+4
45.2%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 13
50
-6
45.5%
Jake Fromm sacked by Dontavius Russell for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 19
OWN 44
+6
46.7%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 42 yds , Stephen Roberts returns for 6 yds to the Aub 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5147% → 47%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
46.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 21Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-6
46.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 15Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+7
46.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 7 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+3
46.9%
Aidan Marshall punt for 49 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 3 yds to the Geo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5153% → 52%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
47.2%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
47.5%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+6
48.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Sony Michel for 6 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
48.4%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5FUMBLE
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:0548% → 52%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
48.2%
Jarrett Stidham run for 10 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+26
48.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Eli Stove for 26 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
49.9%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
50.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+3
50.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
51.3%
Kam Martin run for 7 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+5
51.7%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
52.2%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
52.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Jalen HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 6
OPP 14
-2
52.2%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Davin Bellamy for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 16 Jarrett Stidham fumbled, forced by Davin Bellamy, recovered by Geo Roquan Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 2:4649% → 59%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
51.5%
Nick Chubb run for 16 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
51.2%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
51.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 2 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+13
52.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 13 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+34
51.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 34 yds to the Aub 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
49.5%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Aub 16Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+13
49.7%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Wims, Javon, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference 13 yards to the AUBURN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q2 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
41.3%
Isaac Nauta 2 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3246% → 45%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 3 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
46.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 24Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
45.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
45.2%
Aidan Marshall punt for 44 yds, downed at the Geo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:2756% → 60%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
44.1%
Sony Michel run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
50
+4
41.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 4 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+32
41.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Sony Michel for 32 yds to the Aub 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
40.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Nick Chubb for 11 yds to the Aub 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
40.1%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Aub 1Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
40.2%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 2Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
41.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Aub 17Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+7
42.8%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the Aub 10Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
40.2%
Rodrigo Blankenship 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 4:0142% → 40%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
41.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 10 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
43.1%
Malik Miller run for 5 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+14
44.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (Deandre Baker) to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
45.3%
Malik Miller run for 1 yd to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-5
45.2%
Stidham, Jarrett pass complete to Davis, Ryan for 12 yards to the GEORGIA30, PENALTY AUBURN illegal touching 5 yards to the GEORGIA47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+9
43.0%
Jarrett Stidham run for 9 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-11
44.6%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Roquan Smith for a loss of 11 yards to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 16
OPP 49
+27
40.3%
Aidan Marshall punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 17 AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Geo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3760% → 59%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
40.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 20Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 20
-1
40.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:5559% → 59%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.3%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
40.0%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
39.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
39.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 5 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+4
39.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 4 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
41.3%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:4042% → 45%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
42.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
42.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 24Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+29
41.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 29 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
46.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 15 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
48.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 13 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
48.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
48.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Chandler CoxSimilar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+1
46.7%
Jarrett Stidham run for 1 yd to the Geo 14Similar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
44.6%
Daniel Carlson 31 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by DaQuan Hawkins-Muckle Dominick Sanders return for 12 yds to the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4260% → 57%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-13
40.2%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 30 GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Elijah Holyfield) to the Geo 15Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 23
OWN 15
+8
40.9%
Nick Chubb run for 8 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
41.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+8
42.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 8 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+8
42.9%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 46 yds for a 1ST down , Stephen Roberts returns for 8 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (David Marshall) to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:0547% → 42%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
46.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Devan Barrett for 1 yd to the Aub 47Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+12
46.4%
Jarrett Stidham run for 12 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
47.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
47.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Kam MartinSimilar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
45.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
41.5%
Aidan Marshall punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FG
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:1460% → 71%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+31
39.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 31 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
36.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 5 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+20
35.9%
Nick Chubb run for 20 yds to the Aub 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
34.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
34.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+4
36.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 4 yds to the Aub 18Similar
Q3 1:26
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
28.9%
Rodrigo Blankenship 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:2335% → 39%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
34.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 9 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
37.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+4
35.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
35.3%
Jarrett Stidham run for 12 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
38.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 39 Kerryon Johnson fumbled, forced by Lorenzo Carter, recovered by Geo Roquan Smith , return for 9 yds to the Aub 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:3474% → 92%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
26.2%
Jake Fromm run for 17 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
25.3%
Mecole Hardman run for 4 yds to the Aub 18 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the Aub 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
24.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Aub 7Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
8.5%
Terry Godwin 7 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Jake Fromm Pass to Terry Godwin for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3813% → 12%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.9%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
13.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Eli StoveSimilar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
12.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Nate Craig-MyersSimilar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+46
12.3%
Aidan Marshall punt for 31 yds, downed at the AUBURN 40 GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Dominick Sanders) to the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2891% → 99%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
9.0%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
8.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
1.4%
D'Andre Swift 64 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:203% → 3%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
2.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
2.5%
Aidan Marshall punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21DOWNS
16 plays · 54 yds · 7:5299% → 100%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
1.3%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+4
1.2%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
1.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+5
1.1%
AUBURN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
1.1%
Brian Herrien run for 13 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
1.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Aub 45Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+10
0.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
0.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
0.7%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
0.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for 1 yd to the Aub 26Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+3
0.7%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Aub 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
0.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+3
0.5%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+4
0.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the Aub 18Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 5
OPP 18
0
0.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:221% → 1%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
0.8%
Jarrett Stidham run for 5 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+9
0.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 9 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
0.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Malik Miller for 11 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-11
0.8%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by D'Andre Walker for a loss of 11 yards to the Aub 32Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 21
OWN 32
0
0.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 21
OWN 32
0
0.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Malik MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:06
Terry Godwin 7 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Jake Fromm Pass to Terry Godwin for Two-Point Conversion)
-15.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:40
Jake Fromm run for 17 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST down
-12.6
TD · Q2 10:14
Isaac Nauta 2 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com