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UNT

North Texas 17 at Florida Atlantic 41

FAU
2017 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2017 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:24 · Blake Patterson punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Home team on offense+30.3Pregame prior+9.9Score differential+11.4Garbage-time factor+9.1Blowout margin+12.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:55: Devin Singletary run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +4.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:56: Greg Joseph 21 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +2.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:43: Devin Singletary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +3.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:32: Evan Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mason Fine pass to Rico Bussey Jr. for Two-Point Conversion) — UNT win probability +2.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:27: Devin Singletary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 12:19FAU 4th & 6 at UNT 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:43UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:31UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:50UNT 4th & 7 at FAU 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:32UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:56FAU 4th & 4 at UNT 4, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:04FAU 4th & 1 at UNT 18, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.4%−0.9
    79% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:51UNT 4th & 22 at FAU 40, down 27
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:22FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 9, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:31UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 26, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:50UNT 4th & 7 at FAU 9, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:00FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 30, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:42FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 25, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:24UNT 4th & 12 at FAU 49, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:59FAU 4th & 23 at FAU 7, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:45UNT 4th & 27 at UNT 39, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNT made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 10:11FAU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55FAU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:43FAU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:21FAU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:47UNT Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:32UNT Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:27FAU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:3684% → 84%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
84.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 9 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
84.2%
Willie Wright run for no gain to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
84.1%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
84.0%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+47
83.9%
Devin Singletary run for 47 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
83.9%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
83.9%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 6Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
83.7%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
83.8%
Greg Joseph 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2916% → 17%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
83.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 8 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
83.5%
Nic Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
83.4%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
83.4%
Blake Patterson punt for 37 yds, downed at the FlAtl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:1983% → 84%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+49
83.3%
John Franklin III pass complete to Kalib Woods for 49 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
84.3%
Kamrin Solomon pass complete to John Franklin III for 22 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2616% → 16%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
83.8%
Mason Fine sacked by Rashad Smith and Jeremiah Taleni for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 23Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
83.8%
Mason Fine run for 11 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
83.7%
Mason Fine run for no gain to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
83.8%
Blake Patterson punt for 34 yds, downed at the FlAtl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:4184% → 84%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
83.9%
Devin Singletary pass complete to Willie Wright for 12 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
84.2%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+5
84.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 5 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+44
84.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 44 yds to the NoTex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 0
OPP 2
-10
84.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Roman Fernandez) to the NoTex 12Similar
Q1 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
84.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
84.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for no gain to the NoTex 12Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
84.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 0
OPP 12
+30
83.9%
Greg Joseph 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:4517% → 17%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
83.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 5 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
83.3%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
83.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 5 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
83.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 2 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+27
83.5%
Mason Fine run for 27 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
83.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 8 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 2
OPP 30
-5
82.6%
Mason Fine sacked by Haiden Nagel for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
83.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Nic SmithSimilar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
83.4%
Quinn Shanbour pass incomplete to Caleb ChumleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:3984% → 89%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
83.8%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+21
84.0%
Devin Singletary run for 21 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+34
84.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 34 yds to the NoTex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
84.2%
Willie Wright run for 2 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
84.2%
Marcus Clark run for 1 yd to the NoTex 3Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.6%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1312% → 12%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.1%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
88.2%
Mason Fine run for 1 yd to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
88.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Nic SmithSimilar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
88.5%
Blake Patterson punt for 56 yds , Zyon Gilbert returns for no gain to the FlAtl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9FG
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:2289% → 93%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
89.1%
Jason Driskel sacked by E.J. Ejiya for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 15
OWN 11
+3
89.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+17
89.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 17 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
89.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
89.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 4 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+5
89.8%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+51
90.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 51 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
90.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 7Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
90.5%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
90.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 9:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
92.6%
Greg Joseph 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10INT
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:187% → 7%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive Offside (Korel Smith) to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+14
92.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 14 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
92.5%
Andrew Tucker run for 3 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
92.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds Jaelon Darden fumbled, forced by Azeez Al-Shaair, recovered by NoTex Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+31
92.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 16 yds to the FLAATLANTC 35 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Korel Smith) to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
92.4%
Mason Fine sacked by Hunter Snyder for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 12
OPP 22
0
92.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+50
92.9%
Mason Fine pass intercepted Jalen Young return for 50 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:4693% → 98%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+23
93.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 8 yds to the FLAATLANTC 42 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
93.3%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
93.3%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+4
93.3%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+2
93.9%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the NoTex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
94.2%
Willie Wright run for 6 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+5
94.2%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 4:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.5%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 45 yds · 3:151% → 2%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
98.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 10 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
98.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 8 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
99.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 26 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
98.9%
Mason Fine run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+3
98.9%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-7
99.0%
Mason Fine sacked by Hunter Snyder for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 17
OPP 35
0
98.7%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 17
OPP 35
-5
98.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 22
OPP 40
0
98.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 22
OPP 40
0
98.3%
Blake Patterson punt for 32 yds, downed at the FlAtl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:2398% → 99%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
98.1%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+1
98.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
98.7%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 9
OWN 9
+11
98.6%
Ryan Rickel punt for 51 yds , Eric Jenkins returns for 11 yds to the NoTex 20 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NoTex 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
99.0%
Mason Fine sacked by Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 8 yards to the NoTex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:242% → 3%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
97.3%
Evan Johnson run for 6 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-7
96.6%
Mason Fine sacked by Jeremiah Taleni for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 26Similar
Q3 13:31
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
97.4%
Blake Patterson punt for 48 yds, downed at the FlAtl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:0399% → 99%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
99.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 19 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
99.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Dustin Bowens) to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+6
99.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 6 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+54
99.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 54 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17FG
18 plays · 73 yds · 6:181% → 1%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
99.2%
Nic Smith run for 12 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 6 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-5
99.2%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (T.J. Henson) to the NoTex 31Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+9
99.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 9 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.3%
Nic Smith run for 8 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+6
99.2%
Evan Johnson run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.3%
Andrew Tucker run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+4
99.3%
Nic Smith run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.4%
Nic Smith run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+4
99.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 4 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.4%
Nic Smith run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+9
99.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 9 yds to the FlAtl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.5%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
99.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
99.1%
Trevor Moore 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Ryan Rickel punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaelon Darden at the NoTex 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
1 play · 77 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
98.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 77 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:4899% → 99%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
99.0%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
99.1%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.1%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
99.1%
Jason Driskel sacked by Joshua Wheeler and E.J. Ejiya for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Ryan Rickel punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
98.6%
Mason Fine run for 5 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+5
98.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 5 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.8%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-2
98.8%
Nic Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 12
OPP 49
0
98.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for no gain to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
99.0%
Blake Patterson punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -19 yds · 2:0199% → 99%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.3%
Kamrin Solomon run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 25 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Illegal Block (Kalib Woods) to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+3
99.3%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-15
99.4%
Driskel, Jason pass complete to Solomon, Kamrin for 6 yards to the FLAATLANTC24, PENALTY FLAATLANTC personal foul 15 yards to the FLAATLANTC9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 21
OWN 9
0
99.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 21
OWN 9
-4
99.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 25
OWN 5
+2
99.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 2 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 23
OWN 7
0
99.4%
Ryan Rickel punt for 55 yds, downed at the NoTex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:171% → 4%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
99.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 18 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
99.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 27 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Quinetin JacksonSimilar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+14
99.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 14 yds to the FlAtl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.9%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.0%
Evan Johnson run for no gain to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.1%
Evan Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mason Fine pass to Rico Bussey Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:5697% → 100%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
96.7%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
96.7%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+18
96.7%
Devin Singletary run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
97.1%
Jason Driskel run for 16 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
97.5%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
97.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+18
97.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 18 yds to the NoTex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
97.7%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (7 Yards) to the NoTex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
98.0%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.6%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25INT
10 plays · 14 yds · 2:301% → 1%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 12 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
99.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Quinetin Jackson for 16 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-7
99.3%
Mason Fine sacked by Steven Leggett for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 17
OWN 49
-10
99.4%
Fine, Mason pass complete to Bussey Jr., Rico for 41 yards to the FLAATLANTC10, PENALTY NORTHTEXAS holding (Murray, Jordan) 10 yards to the NORTHTEXAS39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 27
OWN 39
+1
99.4%
Mason Fine pass intercepted Jalen Young return for 1 yd to the FlAtl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26FUMBLE
3 plays · 82 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
99.7%
John Franklin III run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+8
99.8%
Marcus Clark run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+67
99.8%
John Franklin III run for 67 yds John Franklin III fumbled, recovered by NoTexSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27END OF GAME
10 plays · 53 yds · 1:001% → 1%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 11 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
99.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 11 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NoTex 47Similar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 5
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Mason Fine sacked by Tim Bonner for 0 yards to the NoTex 47 Mason Fine fumbled, forced by Tim Bonner, recovered by NoTex T.J. Henson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
99.5%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+16
99.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Andrew Tucker for 16 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
99.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 14 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
99.5%
Mason Fine sacked by Kain Daub for a loss of 12 yards to the FlAtl 27 Mason Fine fumbled, forced by Anthony Bennett, recovered by NoTex Riley Mayfield , return for 0 yards , return for 8 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:55
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q2 4:43
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q4 10:32
Evan Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mason Fine pass to Rico Bussey Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com