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LT

Louisiana Tech 51 at SMU 10

SMU
2017 · DXL Frisco Bowl · Dec 20, 2017 · Toyota Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:33 · Jamie Sackville punt for 35 yds, downed at the SMU 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Home team on offense−9.4Score differential−5.3Pregame prior+13.3Garbage-time factor−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:43: J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +2.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:50: Ben Hicks pass intercepted for a TD Amik Robertson return for 45 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +2.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:45: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +10.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:31: Ben Hicks pass intercepted for a TD Darryl Lewis return for 23 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +17.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:15: Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK) — SMU win probability +3.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:33LT 4th & 4 at SMU 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.0%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:43LT 4th & 1 at SMU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    38.2%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:04SMU 4th & 5 at LT 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:33SMU 4th & 20 at SMU 8, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−2.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:34LT 4th & 11 at SMU 44, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    60.1%−1.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:38SMU 4th & 22 at SMU 39, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−3.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:33LT 4th & 4 at SMU 11, up 32
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:54SMU 4th & 12 at SMU 36, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:53LT 4th & 23 at SMU 26, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:19SMU 4th & 12 at SMU 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:06LT 4th & 18 at LT 31, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:04SMU 4th & 11 at SMU 28, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:26LT 4th & 1 at LT 38, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:40SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 16, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:47LT 4th & 7 at SMU 24, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:41LT 4th & 10 at SMU 31, up 41
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:43LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:50LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:45LT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:31LT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:12LT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:33LT Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:15SMU Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
68.3%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 25 Xavier Jones fumbled, forced by Russell Farris, recovered by LaTch Jaylon FergusonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0232% → 32%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
68.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
68.1%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
68.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Delano RobinsonSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
68.1%
Jonathan Barnes 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3INT
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:1368% → 68%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
68.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 3 yds to the SMU 23Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+22
68.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 22 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
68.3%
Xavier Jones run for 9 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
68.4%
Xavier Jones run for no gain to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
68.3%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
68.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+31
68.2%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted Secdrick Cooper return for 31 yds to the SMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:2433% → 36%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
67.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 35Similar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+6
67.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 6 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+7
67.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 7 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+2
67.2%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the SMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
66.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 5 yds to the SMU 15Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+9
66.8%
Boston Scott run for 9 yds to the SMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
66.6%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the SMU 1Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
66.5%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 2Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
66.7%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the SMU 1Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5INT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2065% → 62%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
64.7%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
64.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+45
62.1%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted for a TD Amik Robertson return for 45 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 6FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:2662% → 61%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
62.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 5
50
+11
61.6%
Braeden West run for 11 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
61.4%
Braeden West run for 14 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
61.4%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+11
61.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 11 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
60.9%
Xavier Jones run for 7 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 6
-2
60.7%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 8Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
58.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Shelby WalkerSimilar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
60.8%
Josh Williams 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:0041% → 52%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
59.5%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+5
59.2%
SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (J.T. Williams) to the SMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
58.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 6 yds to the SMU 8Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+2
58.0%
J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the SMU 6Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
47.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:4750% → 48%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
50.1%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the SMU 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+1
49.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 1 yd to the SMU 20Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-12
49.0%
Ben Hicks sacked by Deldrick Canty for a loss of 12 yards to the SMU 8 Ben Hicks fumbled, recovered by SMU Jacob Todora , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 20
OWN 8
0
47.6%
Jamie Sackville punt for 35 yds, downed at the SMU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5156% → 56%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
44.3%
Teddy Veal pass incomplete to J'Mar SmithSimilar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
44.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to George Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 44Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
43.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 12:34
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
44.0%
Davan Dyer punt for 32 yds, downed at the SMU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 10INT TD
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:5947% → 29%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
47.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 4 yds to the SMU 16Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+3
46.4%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+23
28.6%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted for a TD Darryl Lewis return for 23 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 3:3127% → 19%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
26.6%
Xavier Jones run for 7 yds to the SMU 23Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+16
26.3%
Xavier Jones run for 16 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
26.0%
Xavier Jones run for 9 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
25.8%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
25.4%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
25.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-5
23.4%
SMU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 48Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 13
OWN 48
0
22.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 13
OWN 48
-9
22.0%
Ben Hicks sacked by L'Jarius Sneed for a loss of 9 yards to the SMU 39Similar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 22
OWN 39
0
18.5%
Jamie Sackville punt for 43 yds, downed at the LaTch 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 2:1378% → 79%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
22.1%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
20.8%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+44
20.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 44 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Shaine Hailey) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
18.9%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+27
20.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 27 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:2223% → 23%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
22.8%
Braeden West run for 16 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
22.5%
Braeden West run for no gain to the SMU 30 Braeden West fumbled, recovered by LaTchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:4582% → 90%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
17.8%
J'Mar Smith run for 5 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+3
16.7%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+1
16.7%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the SMU 21Similar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
18.2%
SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordon Williams) to the SMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
13.6%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the SMU 13Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
11.9%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the SMU 11Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+11
9.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 11 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 1:059% → 10%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
8.6%
Ben Hicks run for 13 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
8.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Jones for 6 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
6.1%
Xavier Jones run for 6 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
6.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 14 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
6.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Jones for 8 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+7
5.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 7 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
5.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 15 yds to the LaTch 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
6.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Raymond EppsSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
10.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0493% → 93%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
7.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+25
7.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 25 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:1792% → 94%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
8.4%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 3
OWN 31
-15
8.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (J'Mar Smith) to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 18
OWN 16
+17
8.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Zach Cousar for 17 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+11
7.9%
Boston Scott run for 11 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
6.8%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+24
6.5%
Boston Scott run for 24 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
5.8%
Smith, J'Mar pass incomplete to Woodard, Javonte, PENALTY SMU pass interference 15 yards to the SMU17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LATECH.Similar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
5.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 7 yds to the SMU 10Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-1
5.2%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 11Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
4.9%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the SMU 11Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
6.1%
Jonathan Barnes 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:365% → 4%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
4.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 14 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
4.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 3 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
4.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-5
4.0%
Ben Hicks sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 36Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
3.7%
Jamie Sackville punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19FG
13 plays · 41 yds · 4:5196% → 98%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
3.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 11 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
3.1%
Boston Scott run for 8 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+8
2.8%
Boston Scott run for 8 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
2.8%
Boston Scott run for 9 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
2.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to DeJuawn OliverSimilar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
2.3%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
2.2%
Craft, Jarred rush for no gain to the SMU28, PENALTY SMU offside (Scott, Delontae) 5 yards to the SMU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 5
OPP 23
+10
2.1%
Jarred Craft run for 10 yds to the SMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
1.8%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 16Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 13
OPP 16
0
1.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 13
OPP 16
-10
1.8%
Smith, J'Mar pass incomplete to Scott, Boston, PENALTY LATECH holding 10 yards to the SMU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 23
OPP 26
0
1.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 23
OPP 26
+43
2.3%
Jonathan Barnes 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
1.2%
Braeden West run for 11 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
1.2%
Braeden West run for 2 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
1.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Ke'Mon FreemanSimilar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-4
0.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 32Similar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 12
OWN 32
0
0.9%
Jamie Sackville punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:1199% → 99%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
1.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 24Similar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+15
1.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to George Scott for 15 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
1.2%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 14
OWN 35
-4
1.1%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Pono Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 18
OWN 31
0
1.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Javonte WoodardSimilar
Q3 0:06
4TH & 18
OWN 31
0
1.2%
Davan Dyer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trey Quinn at the SMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:571% → 1%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
0.7%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the SMU 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
0.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Myron GailliardSimilar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-1
0.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 28Similar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
0.6%
Jamie Sackville punt for 43 yds, downed at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2499% → 99%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
0.9%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+1
0.8%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
0.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 1 yd to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
0.7%
Davan Dyer punt for 51 yds, downed at the SMU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
0.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 4 yds to the SMU 15Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 15
-4
0.3%
Ben Hicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 11 Ben Hicks fumbled, recovered by SMU Ben HicksSimilar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+5
0.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for 5 yds to the SMU 16Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
0.2%
Jamie Sackville punt for 45 yds, downed at the LaTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25FG
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+34
0.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 34 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
0.3%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 28Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+4
0.3%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
0.4%
Jonathan Barnes 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26FUMBLE
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:230% → 0%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
0.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 1 yd to the SMU 23Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+8
0.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 8 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
0.1%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the SMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
0.1%
Marcalas Johnson run for 4 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
0.1%
Marcalas Johnson run for 2 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+6
0.1%
Marcalas Johnson run for 6 yds to the SMU 44 Marcalas Johnson fumbled, recovered by SMU Jacob Todora for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
0.1%
Ben Hicks run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 31 Ben Hicks fumbled, recovered by LaTch Eric Kendzior , return for 8 yds to the SMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
0.2%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the SMU 31Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
0.2%
Westin Elliott pass complete to Israel Tucker for no gain to the SMU 31Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
0.2%
Westin Elliott pass incomplete to Jake NorrisSimilar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 10
OPP 31
0
0.2%
Westin Elliott pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 28END OF GAME
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:390% → 0%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
0.1%
Merek Pierce run for 8 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
0.1%
Merek Pierce run for 3 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
0.1%
Marcalas Johnson run for 7 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
0.1%
Marcalas Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
0.1%
Merek Pierce run for 5 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
0.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Hunter ThedfordSimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+32
0.1%
Marcalas Johnson run for 32 yds to the LaTch 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
0.1%
Ben Hicks sacked by Trey Spencer for a loss of 10 yards to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 0
OPP 20
0
0.1%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 0
OPP 20
0
0.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Hunter ThedfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:31
Ben Hicks pass intercepted for a TD Darryl Lewis return for 23 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-17.8
TD · Q1 0:45
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-10.3
TD · Q2 0:15
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com