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VT

Virginia Tech 21 at Oklahoma State 30

OKST
2017 · Camping World Bowl · Dec 28, 2017 · Camping World Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:11 · Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric Kumah
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 187Pregame prior+0.1Home team on offense+25.4Score differential+7.4Garbage-time factor+7.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9Time remaining+3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:45: Justice Hill 1 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +12.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:22: Dillon Stoner 17 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +9.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:31: Eric Kumah 9 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick) — VT win probability +14.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:37: James Washington 65 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +12.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:40: Josh Jackson 5 Yd Run (Joey Slye Kick) — VT win probability +21.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 12:17OKST 4th & 1 at VT 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.7%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:46OKST 4th & 17 at OKST 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:28OKST 4th & 11 at VT 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−5.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:10VT 4th & 7 at VT 48, up 1
    Close callPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:46OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:24VT 4th & 7 at VT 40, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:04VT 4th & 5 at OKST 49, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:47VT 4th & 9 at VT 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:34VT 4th & 10 at OKST 46, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−1.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    12.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:45VT 4th & 8 at OKST 11, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:21OKST 4th & 2 at VT 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−1.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:46OKST 4th & 6 at VT 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:34OKST 4th & 13 at VT 21, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:11VT 4th & 9 at OKST 27, down 9
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−3.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:59VT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:45OKST Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:22OKST Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:31VT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:37OKST Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:40VT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 2:3671% → 71%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
71.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Britton Abbott for 16 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
71.2%
Justice Hill run for 21 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
71.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
71.2%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+11
71.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 11 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
71.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 3 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+4
71.2%
Mason Rudolph run for 4 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+2
71.2%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+31
71.2%
Matt Ammendola 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:0129% → 32%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
71.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
70.9%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Calvin Bundage) to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+5
70.8%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
70.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 9 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
70.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
50
+1
70.4%
Sean Savoy run for 1 yd to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
70.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+24
70.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Henri Murphy for 24 yds to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
70.1%
Josh Jackson run for 12 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
68.2%
Josh Jackson 13 Yd Run (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:0169% → 68%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
68.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 15 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
68.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
68.9%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+15
68.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 15 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
69.3%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-5
68.5%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Trevon Hill for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 17
OWN 44
0
67.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 17
OWN 44
+2
67.6%
Zach Sinor punt for 49 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 2 yds to the VTech 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4FUMBLE
18 plays · 82 yds · 9:5032% → 39%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
68.2%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 9Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+1
68.0%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 10Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+10
68.1%
Josh Jackson run for 10 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
67.4%
Steven Peoples run for 8 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
66.8%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
66.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Phil Patterson for 4 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+8
66.2%
Steven Peoples run for 8 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
65.6%
Steven Peoples run for no gain to the VTech 44Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
65.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to James Clark for 9 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
64.7%
Josh Jackson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
64.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 9 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
63.5%
Jalen Holston run for no gain to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+9
64.0%
Jalen Holston run for 9 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
63.2%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+13
62.5%
Steven Peoples run for 13 yds to the OKSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
62.1%
Steven Peoples run for 8 yds to the OKSt 3Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+2
61.8%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 0
OPP 1
+3
61.1%
Josh Jackson run for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 9 Josh Jackson fumbled, recovered by OKSt Ramon Richards , return for 3 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5FG
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:0264% → 65%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+24
63.9%
Justice Hill run for 24 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
64.6%
Justice Hill run for 9 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+12
65.4%
La'Darren Brown run for 12 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
65.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 13 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
66.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 12 yds to the VTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
66.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Zachary Crabtree) to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+9
65.9%
Justice Hill run for 9 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-5
65.2%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 19Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
63.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+36
65.1%
Matt Ammendola 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0038% → 38%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
62.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+10
61.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 10 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
60.8%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
61.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
60.8%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
62.5%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5964% → 62%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.3%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
62.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+11
61.6%
Zach Sinor punt for 43 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 11 yds to the VTech 41 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Chris Cunningham) to the VTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:1439% → 40%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
61.3%
Josh Jackson run for 5 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+6
60.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Phil Patterson for 6 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
59.9%
Henri Murphy run for 5 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-12
57.9%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the VTech 45 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Braxton Pfaff) to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 17
OWN 30
0
60.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Henri MurphySimilar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+10
61.7%
Steven Peoples run for 10 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+5
60.2%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 46 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 5 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 0:3362% → 77%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
61.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Deon Newsome) to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
62.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 11 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
64.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 4 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+50
64.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 50 yds to the VTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.0%
Justice Hill 1 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10END OF HALF
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:3529% → 29%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
71.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 15 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
69.2%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Henri MurphySimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
70.1%
Josh Jackson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
68.6%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the OKSt 49Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
70.6%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5728% → 26%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
72.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Henri MurphySimilar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
72.4%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
73.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Henri MurphySimilar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
73.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 47 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for no gain to the OKSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:1375% → 87%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
74.9%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
74.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+16
73.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Britton Abbott for 16 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
76.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 16 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
76.9%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Marcell Ateman) to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+19
75.6%
Mason Rudolph run for 19 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
77.2%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+13
77.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 13 yds to the VTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
86.8%
Dillon Stoner 17 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:1915% → 31%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
85.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 10 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
84.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
84.7%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+22
85.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Phil Patterson for 22 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
84.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 17 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
83.1%
Deshawn McClease run for 16 yds to the OKSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
83.2%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 15Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+6
84.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 6 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
69.5%
Eric Kumah 9 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 0:4375% → 89%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
75.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+13
75.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 13 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
76.3%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+65
88.9%
James Washington 65 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15DOWNS
16 plays · 48 yds · 5:3513% → 11%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.0%
Steven Peoples run for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Phil Patterson for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
87.8%
Josh Jackson run for 8 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
86.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 18 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
85.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 8 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-10
85.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Braxton Pfaff) to the OKSt 48Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
87.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Henri MurphySimilar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+2
87.9%
Josh Jackson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 1:34
4TH & 10
OPP 46
+22
88.4%
Chase Mummau pass complete to Anthony Shegog for 22 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
86.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 8 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+3
86.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
86.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Phil PattersonSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
86.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
87.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 8
OPP 11
-16
88.7%
Josh Jackson sacked by Jordan Brailford and DeQuinton Osborne for a loss of 16 yards to the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 43 yds · 2:1693% → 93%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+35
92.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 35 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
93.8%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Ricky Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 14
OPP 42
0
93.8%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+12
93.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 12 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 2
OPP 30
0
93.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Sione FinefeuiakiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17INT
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:4810% → 9%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
90.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
50
0
90.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
50
-10
90.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (D'Andre Plantin) to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+11
91.6%
Josh Jackson run for 11 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+12
91.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 12 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
90.9%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Henri MurphySimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
90.9%
Josh Jackson run for 8 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+30
90.6%
Josh Jackson pass intercepted Darius Curry return for 30 yds to the VTech 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:2495% → 95%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
94.9%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
95.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+7
95.2%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.5%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the VTech 35Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
95.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+4
95.6%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 6
OPP 31
-8
95.4%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Houshun Gaines for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 1:028% → 30%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.4%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to C.J. CarrollSimilar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
92.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Phil Patterson for 7 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
92.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
50
+14
93.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 14 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+31
93.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 31 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.2%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Chris CunninghamSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
70.4%
Josh Jackson 5 Yd Run (Joey Slye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 2:4688% → 94%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.9%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
87.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 15 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
89.3%
Justice Hill run for 11 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-1
90.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+31
91.6%
Justice Hill run for 31 yds to the VTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
93.2%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the VTech 17Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
94.9%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the VTech 17Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 9
OPP 17
-4
94.7%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 21Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+38
94.4%
Matt Ammendola 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 55 yds · 2:043% → 4%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
96.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Phil Patterson for 9 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+8
96.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Phil Patterson for 8 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
96.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 5 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
96.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 6 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
96.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 26 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
95.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Deshawn McCleaseSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-8
95.3%
Josh Jackson sacked by Calvin Bundage and Tralund Webber for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 36Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 18
OPP 36
+9
96.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 9 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 0:11
4TH & 9
OPP 27
0
96.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:40
Josh Jackson 5 Yd Run (Joey Slye Kick)
-21.8
TD · Q3 6:31
Eric Kumah 9 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Joey Slye Kick)
-14.7
TD · Q3 5:37
James Washington 65 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)
+12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com