Try the model
ALA

Alabama 24 at Clemson 6

CLEM
2017 · Allstate Sugar Bowl - CFP Semifinal · Jan 1, 2018 · Caesars Superdome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreALA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:22 · Kelly Bryant run for 3 yds to the Alab 6 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Home team on offense−38.9Pregame prior−0.8Score differential−23.5Garbage-time factor−14.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.3
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:38: Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 22 — CLEM win probability +5.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 12:45: Alex Spence 42 Yd Field Goal — CLEM win probability +4.2 pts (now 35%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:12: Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Clem 24 — ALA win probability +8.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:40: Da'Ron Payne 1 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Andy Pappanastos Kick) — ALA win probability +12.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:27: Mack Wilson 18 Yd Interception Return (Andy Pappanastos Kick) — ALA win probability +9.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 10 of 11ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:43CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:04ALA 4th & 2 at CLEM 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:47CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:23ALA 4th & 6 at CLEM 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.9%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:46CLEM 4th & 16 at CLEM 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:00CLEM 4th & 9 at ALA 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:52ALA 4th & 5 at CLEM 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%−1.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:06CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:17ALA 4th & 9 at CLEM 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:45CLEM 4th & 15 at ALA 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−8.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:17ALA 4th & 7 at ALA 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:06ALA 4th & 1 at CLEM 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−3.5
    79% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−14.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:45CLEM 4th & 23 at CLEM 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−3.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:53ALA 4th & 8 at CLEM 38, up 18
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:54CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:59ALA 4th & 7 at ALA 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:55CLEM 4th & 17 at CLEM 18, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:06ALA 4th & 10 at CLEM 37, up 18
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:22CLEM 4th & 1 at ALA 9, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−1.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:43CLEM 4th & 5 at ALA 5, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:12ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:40ALA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:27ALA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0730% → 31%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
30.3%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the Clem 16Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
30.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 3 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
30.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
30.7%
Will Spiers punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3169% → 69%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
30.7%
Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
30.9%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
31.2%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
31.4%
JK Scott punt for 30 yds, downed at the Clem 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1332% → 32%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
31.6%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
31.8%
Kelly Bryant run for no gain to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
31.8%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Hunter Renfrow, broken up by Da'Ron PayneSimilar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
31.8%
Will Spiers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:1768% → 67%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
31.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 19 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
31.7%
Damien Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 36Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+10
32.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 10 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+11
32.3%
Damien Harris run for 11 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
32.0%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+2
32.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Clem 7Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+4
32.7%
Scarbrough, Bo rush for loss of 7 yards to the CLEMSON14, PENALTY CLEMSON offside (Bryant, Austin) 4 yards to the CLEMSON3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
32.5%
Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Hurts, Jalen, PENALTY ALABAMA illegal formation 5 yards to the CLEMSON8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-6
32.7%
Bo Scarbrough run for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 14Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+8
33.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
33.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q1 5:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
33.3%
Andy Pappanastos 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2633% → 33%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
33.3%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 13
OWN 21
-3
33.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 16
OWN 18
0
33.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 16
OWN 18
+14
33.0%
Will Spiers punt for 42 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 14 yds to the Clem 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:2767% → 71%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
33.2%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
33.4%
Damien Harris run for 9 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
33.4%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
32.8%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
33.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 6 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+15
33.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 15 yds to the Clem 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
33.1%
Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the Clem 12Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
29.2%
Calvin Ridley 12 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Andy Pappanastos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 5:0129% → 32%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-7
29.4%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Raekwon Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 12Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 17
OWN 12
+5
29.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 5 yds to the Clem 17Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+20
28.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 20 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
29.4%
Adam Choice run for 2 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
29.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+19
29.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 19 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
30.3%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Alab 41Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+8
30.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 8 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+5
30.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 5 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
30.9%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Rashaan Evans for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 31Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+4
30.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 4 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
30.0%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Tee Higgins, broken up by Tony BrownSimilar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+44
32.0%
Alex Spence 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:5769% → 71%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
31.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 3 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+22
31.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Najee Harris for 22 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
29.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley, broken up by Van SmithSimilar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
30.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for 9 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
28.7%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
28.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Josh Jacobs for no gain to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
28.2%
Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+1
28.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 1 yd to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
29.2%
JK Scott punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Hunter Renfrow at the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3830% → 29%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
30.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 16 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
30.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
30.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tavien Feaster for no gain to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
30.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 6
OWN 30
-5
29.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Simmons) to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 11
OWN 25
+3
29.0%
Will Spiers punt for 37 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 3 yds to the Alab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10MISSED FG
15 plays · 39 yds · 3:4072% → 73%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
28.2%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
27.4%
Harris, Damien rush for no gain to the ALABAMA47, PENALTY CLEMSON offside (Register, Chris) 5 yards to the CLEMSON48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
27.0%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+10
26.5%
Damien Harris run for 10 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
25.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
24.3%
Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Foster, Robert (Mullen, Trayvon), PENALTY ALABAMA ineligible downfield on pass (Williams, Jonah) off-setting, PENALTY CLEMSON Pass Interference (Mullen, Trayvon) off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
24.3%
Bo Scarbrough run for no gain to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+6
24.5%
Bo Scarbrough run for 6 yds to the Clem 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
24.2%
Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the Clem 20Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-5
25.0%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Austin Bryant for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 14
OPP 25
+10
26.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 10 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 4
OPP 15
-5
26.7%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Clem 20Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+38
27.2%
Andy Pappanastos 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
29.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
28.5%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 20 Jalen Hurts fumbled, forced by Kendall Joseph, recovered by Clem Kendall JosephSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13FG
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5334% → 35%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
34.3%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 22Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 12
OPP 22
-3
34.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tavien Feaster for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 25Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 15
OPP 25
0
31.1%
Kelly Bryant run for no gain to the Alab 25Similar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+42
35.2%
Alex Spence 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1465% → 62%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
35.1%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Alab 27Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
35.7%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
36.2%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Bo ScarbroughSimilar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
37.6%
JK Scott punt for 38 yds, downed at the Clem 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15INT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:5237% → 40%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
37.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 11 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
39.4%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon Cain, broken up by Levi WallaceSimilar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
38.1%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+6
40.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 6 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
41.2%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+6
40.4%
Kelly Bryant pass intercepted for a 1ST down Da'Ron Payne return for 21 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Tremayne Anchrum) to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:3268% → 82%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
31.8%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+1
31.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Clem 23Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+5
33.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 5 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q3 7:06
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+4
33.5%
Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Clem 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
30.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 13 yds to the Clem 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.4%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.2%
Da'Ron Payne 1 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Andy Pappanastos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
11.2%
Mack Wilson 18 Yd Interception Return (Andy Pappanastos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 3:3211% → 9%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
11.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 8 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
11.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 1 yd to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
11.4%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-13
11.1%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Da'Shawn Hand for a loss of 13 yards to the Clem 23Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 23
OWN 23
+4
10.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Milan Richard for 4 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 19
OWN 27
-4
9.2%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Isaiah Buggs for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 23Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 23
OWN 23
+13
8.6%
Will Spiers punt for 43 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 13 yds to the Alab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:4594% → 95%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
5.6%
Bo Scarbrough run for 6 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
5.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Bo ScarbroughSimilar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+7
5.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
5.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Robert FosterSimilar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-3
5.0%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+5
5.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
5.4%
JK Scott punt for 33 yds, downed at the Clem 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:547% → 6%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
7.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 11 yds to the Clem 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
7.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 8 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+1
7.0%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Clem 25Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
6.3%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
6.2%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Adam ChoiceSimilar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
6.0%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Hunter Renfrow, broken up by Terrell LewisSimilar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
5.9%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
5.7%
Will Spiers punt for 43 yds, downed at the Alab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4995% → 96%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
4.6%
Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-5
4.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 30Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+4
4.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 4 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
4.1%
JK Scott punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:005% → 4%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to D.J. GreenleeSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
4.5%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Anfernee Jennings for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
4.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon Cain, broken up by Mack WilsonSimilar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
4.3%
Will Spiers punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:4097% → 97%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
3.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
3.2%
Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+15
3.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 15 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
3.0%
Bo Scarbrough run for no gain to the Clem 37Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
2.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs IIISimilar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
2.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
2.9%
JK Scott punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24DOWNS
20 plays · 75 yds · 5:154% → 2%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
3.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 4 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+6
3.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 6 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
3.3%
Adam Choice run for 9 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+19
2.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 19 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
2.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
2.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Deon Cain for 7 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+5
2.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 5 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
2.9%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
2.9%
Tavien Feaster pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+9
2.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 9 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
2.8%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the Alab 18Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
2.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the Alab 12Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+3
2.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 3 yds to the Alab 9Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+3
2.5%
Kelly Bryant run for 3 yds to the Alab 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
2.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
2.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the Alab 5Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.9%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloud, broken up by Minkah FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 1:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Trevion ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:2199% → 99%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
1.2%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 9Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+6
1.1%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 15Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+2
1.0%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:40
Da'Ron Payne 1 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Andy Pappanastos Kick)
-12.2
TD · Q3 5:27
Mack Wilson 18 Yd Interception Return (Andy Pappanastos Kick)
-9.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 9:12
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Clem 24
-8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com