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UGA

Georgia 54 at Oklahoma 48

OU
2017 · Rose Bowl Game - CFP Semifinal · Jan 1, 2018 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
OT2 0:00 · Sony Michel 27 Yd Run
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 8:47: Dimitri Flowers 11 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +29.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:52: Steven Parker 46 Yd Fumble Return (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +34.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:55: Nick Chubb 2 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +38.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Austin Seibert 33 Yd Field Goal — OU win probability +24.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Sony Michel 27 Yd Run — UGA win probability +31.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:37UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:48UGA 4th & 3 at OU 31, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%−0.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:12OU 4th & 16 at UGA 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−4.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:42UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:37OU 4th & 3 at OU 49, up 10
    Close callPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:28UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:36OU 4th & 1 at OU 23, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:10OU 4th & 12 at OU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−2.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:08UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 37, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:16OU 4th & 26 at OU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−5.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:19OU 4th & 2 at OU 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:43UGA 4th & 15 at UGA 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−4.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:16UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 30, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:22OU 4th & 3 at OU 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:17OU 4th & 2 at OU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:31OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:27UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:56OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:12OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:00UGA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:06OU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:25UGA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:41UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:57UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:47OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:52OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−1.8
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:55UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−3.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:0860% → 60%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
39.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 21 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
39.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
39.9%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
40.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
40.2%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5440% → 43%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
40.3%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+16
40.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 16 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
40.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 26 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
41.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 8 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Clark) to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
41.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
42.6%
Marquise Brown 13 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5858% → 59%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
42.2%
Nick Chubb run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
42.0%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+20
42.2%
Sony Michel run for 20 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
42.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 2 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+14
42.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 14 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
40.8%
Sony Michel 13 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:2442% → 46%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
41.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 9 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
42.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+45
42.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 45 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
43.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 9 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+9
46.3%
Rodney Anderson 9 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 5:0255% → 52%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
45.4%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
45.4%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
45.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+8
45.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 8 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
45.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 11 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
46.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 9 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-4
45.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Kendall Baker) to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
46.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for no gain to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+2
47.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Sony Michel for 2 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+48
47.9%
Rodrigo Blankenship 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:2549% → 59%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
49.2%
Rodney Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+9
49.2%
Jeff Badet run for 9 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+10
50.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 10 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
51.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 11 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
59.3%
Rodney Anderson 41 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
50.3%
Sony Michel 75 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:2851% → 55%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
51.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 29 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
53.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
53.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+10
53.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 10 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
54.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
54.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+14
54.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 14 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
55.2%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the Geo 12Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
55.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee Lamb, broken up by Aaron DavisSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 7
OPP 12
-9
55.5%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Tyler Clark for a loss of 9 yards to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+38
54.9%
Austin Seibert 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:1843% → 41%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
56.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 11 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
56.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
57.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
58.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 8
OWN 33
-5
58.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 13
OWN 28
0
59.5%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5360% → 59%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
59.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 7 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-9
59.7%
Baker Mayfield sacked by David Marshall for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+9
58.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 9 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
59.4%
Austin Seibert punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 47 yds · 2:0240% → 38%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+45
60.1%
Nick Chubb run for 45 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
58.6%
Jake Fromm sacked by Steven Parker for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 17
OWN 40
0
60.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 17
OWN 40
+9
61.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Sony Michel for 9 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 3:28
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
61.9%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 41 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 3:1962% → 75%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+31
62.2%
Trey Sermon run for 31 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
64.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the Okla 42Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
65.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+45
63.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 45 yds to the Geo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
66.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 6 yds to the Geo 7Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
66.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Geo 4Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
66.5%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the Geo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
70.1%
Dimitri Flowers run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 6Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
68.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 4 yds to the Geo 2Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.1%
Baker Mayfield 2 Yd pass from CeeDee Lamb (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0328% → 32%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
72.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 9 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+55
68.2%
Rodrigo Blankenship 55 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0974% → 75%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
74.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-2
75.1%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+8
74.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 8 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 1
OWN 23
+21
74.8%
Austin Seibert punt for 48 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 21 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
1 play · 50 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
50
+50
59.0%
Nick Chubb 50 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:1063% → 63%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
63.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+6
63.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 6 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 3
OWN 24
-9
63.5%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Lorenzo Carter and Aaron Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
62.5%
Austin Seibert punt for 57 yds, downed at the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5736% → 35%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
63.6%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
64.1%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+3
64.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
65.5%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 61 yds, downed at the Okla 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 4:4469% → 70%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
69.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+8
69.5%
Baker Mayfield run for 8 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
70.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
70.1%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+25
69.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 25 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-8
73.9%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Jonathan Ledbetter for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 18
OWN 32
-8
71.7%
Baker Mayfield sacked by D'Andre Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 26
OWN 24
0
70.6%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 26
OWN 24
0
69.9%
Austin Seibert punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:2932% → 55%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
68.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 11 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
67.2%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+20
68.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 20 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
67.5%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
67.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+38
44.8%
Sony Michel 38 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4253% → 51%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
52.9%
Marquise Brown run for no gain to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
52.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+39
50.9%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted Dominick Sanders return for 39 yds to the Okla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3858% → 79%
Q4 14:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
42.5%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.6%
Javon Wims 4 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1128% → 26%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
27.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 26 lat. to Marquise Brown for 7 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
27.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
26.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 4 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
26.3%
Austin Seibert punt for 28 yds, downed at the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2779% → 75%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
21.5%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
21.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 3 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-11
22.7%
Jake Fromm sacked by Kenneth Murray for a loss of 11 yards to the Geo 34 GEORGIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jake Fromm) to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 15
OWN 34
+4
25.2%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 58 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 4 yds to the Okla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 1:4325% → 62%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
24.9%
Rodney Anderson run for 15 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
25.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Trey SermonSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+36
24.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 36 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
30.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 22 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
32.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the Geo 11Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
61.9%
Dimitri Flowers 11 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:4850% → 19%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.1%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
48.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 15 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
46.0%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-46
80.7%
Steven Parker 46 Yd Fumble Return (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2416% → 14%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.3%
Jake Fromm run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
84.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
86.2%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3889% → 92%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
89.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
91.1%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
91.7%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
92.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 29 yds, downed at the Geo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 28TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:2013% → 59%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
86.6%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+15
86.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 15 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
85.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Sony Michel for 17 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
83.1%
Jake Fromm run for no gain to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
84.3%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+16
86.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 16 yds to the Okla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 0
OPP 7
+5
79.1%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Wims, Javon, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Norwood, Tre) 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q4 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.9%
Nick Chubb 2 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:2858% → 57%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
58.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 12 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
60.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
59.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 8 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
59.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Rodney AndersonSimilar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
57.1%
Austin Seibert punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
48.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 31FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
40.5%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Okla 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+3
40.5%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Okla 21Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
43.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
27.6%
Rodrigo Blankenship 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 32FG
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0041% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
41.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the Geo 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
41.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 4 yds to the Geo 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
37.7%
Jordan Smallwood run for 1 yd to the Geo 16Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+33
59.4%
Austin Seibert 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 33MISSED FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0065% → 59%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
64.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Geo 20Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
64.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+5
62.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
64.7%
Kyler Murray run for no gain to the Geo 15Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-2
64.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 17Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+7
61.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 7 yds to the Geo 10Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
58.8%
Austin Seibert 27 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 34TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 91%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
40.5%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 27Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+27
9.1%
Sony Michel 27 Yd Run Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:55
Nick Chubb 2 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
-38.2
TD · Q4 6:52
Steven Parker 46 Yd Fumble Return (Austin Seibert Kick)
+34.7
TD · OT2 0:00
Sony Michel 27 Yd Run
-31.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com