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WIS

Wisconsin 34 at Miami 24

MIA
2017 · Postseason · Dec 30, 2017 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:40 · Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior−6.9Home team on offense−4.0Score differential−2.7Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:49: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 16 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +9.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:28: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +8.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:52: Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 38 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +15.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. FG · Q3 3:39: Rafael Gaglianone 47 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +5.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:44: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 6 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +13.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:16MIA 4th & 8 at WIS 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.3%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:58WIS 4th & 8 at MIA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:18WIS 4th & 13 at WIS 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:07WIS 4th & 18 at WIS 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:27MIA 4th & 11 at MIA 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:59MIA 4th & 12 at MIA 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−2.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:12MIA 4th & 2 at midfield, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:18WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−2.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:40WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−2.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:39WIS 4th & 9 at MIA 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−9.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:56MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−3.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:45WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−2.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:34MIA 4th & 6 at WIS 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−11.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:37WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:21MIA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:49MIA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:37WIS Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:49WIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:28WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:52MIA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:44WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:3966% → 66%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
33.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
34.0%
A.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+18
34.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 18 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
34.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds to the MiaFl 30 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Dee DelaneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2MISSED FG
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:4435% → 35%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
34.6%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 11 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
35.0%
Travis Homer run for 20 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
35.2%
Malik Rosier run for 1 yd to the Wisc 37Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+1
35.4%
Travis Homer run for 1 yd to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
35.6%
Malik Rosier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+53
35.3%
Michael Badgley 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:1065% → 64%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
35.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
50
+3
35.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+9
35.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 9 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
35.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 19 yds to the MiaFl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
35.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
35.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
35.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
35.8%
Rafael Gaglianone 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2436% → 40%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
35.9%
Malik Rosier run for 16 yds to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
36.5%
Malik Rosier pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for 22 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
37.0%
DeeJay Dallas run for 4 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+9
37.5%
Malik Rosier run for 9 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
37.6%
DeeJay Dallas run for 8 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+11
37.6%
Travis Homer run for 11 yds to the Wisc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
40.1%
Travis Homer run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:4361% → 59%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
39.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+1
39.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 9
OWN 10
-4
40.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 6Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 13
OWN 6
0
41.3%
Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:1142% → 46%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
41.5%
DeeJay Dallas run for 6 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+39
45.6%
DeeJay Dallas run for 39 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 2:1555% → 51%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
44.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+3
44.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
45.7%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
46.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-10
48.0%
Hornibrook, Alex pass complete to Pryor, Kendric for 27 yards to the MIAMI41, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Edwards, David) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 18
OWN 22
0
48.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 18
OWN 22
0
49.0%
Anthony Lotti punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0448% → 48%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
48.4%
Travis Homer run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+2
48.2%
Malik Rosier pass intercepted Andrew Van Ginkel return for 2 yds to the MiaFl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 1:1154% → 58%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
46.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 2 yds to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+1
46.8%
Chris James run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+20
42.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 20 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1043% → 43%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
43.2%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Tyree St. Louis) to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-4
43.2%
Malik Rosier sacked by Olive Sagapolu for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 16Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
43.3%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+8
42.8%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 8 yds to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
42.6%
Zach Feagles punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 6:2256% → 64%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
44.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+6
44.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
43.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 6 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
44.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
43.9%
Austin Ramesh run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
44.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+11
45.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 11 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
45.2%
Austin Ramesh run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
44.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+13
44.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 13 yds to the MiaFl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
44.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 16Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
35.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 16 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3840% → 38%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.6%
Travis Homer run for no gain to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
39.6%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Dayall HarrisSimilar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
38.8%
Malik Rosier sacked by Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+10
38.3%
Zach Feagles punt for 49 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 10 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:2562% → 75%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
37.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
37.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 41Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+10
38.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 10 yds to the MiaFl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
36.7%
Hornibrook, Alex pass incomplete to Penniston, Kyle, PENALTY MIAMI offside (Norton, Kendrick) 5 yards to the MIAMI44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 5
OPP 44
+2
35.6%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+12
35.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds to the MiaFl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
34.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
34.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+21
36.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 21 yds to the MiaFl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 0
OPP 10
+5
34.3%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 5Similar
Q2 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
25.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
27.8%
Travis Homer run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:3027% → 27%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+20
26.9%
Malik Rosier run for 20 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
28.2%
Travis Homer run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 2
50
0
28.7%
Travis Homer run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 2
50
0
28.2%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 2
50
0
27.0%
Zach Feagles punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4173% → 72%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
26.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+3
26.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 21Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 3
OWN 21
-7
27.4%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Chad Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 14Similar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
28.0%
Anthony Lotti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the Wisc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:1328% → 44%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
28.1%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Mike Harley for 8 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+38
43.7%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 38 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0161% → 59%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
39.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
39.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
39.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q3 9:40
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
40.7%
Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19INT
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:4741% → 46%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
41.4%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 16 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
44.2%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 21 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
45.7%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
45.7%
Malik Rosier pass intercepted, touchback. Derrick Tindal return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:5462% → 72%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
38.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
38.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 13 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
37.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 12 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
35.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
35.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+18
34.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 18 yds to the MiaFl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
31.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-1
31.4%
Chris James run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+2
33.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 2 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
27.6%
Rafael Gaglianone 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:2431% → 29%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
30.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
31.5%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
31.2%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
29.3%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Lawrence CagerSimilar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 10
OWN 33
+10
28.5%
Zach Feagles punt for 54 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 10 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:5273% → 71%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
27.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+15
25.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
24.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-2
24.5%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
25.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 11
OWN 44
+13
28.8%
Anthony Lotti punt for 40 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 13 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 2:5631% → 40%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
31.2%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
31.1%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+13
29.7%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 13 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
34.1%
Rosier, Malik pass incomplete to Harley, Mike, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Nelson, Nick) 16 yards to the WISCONSIN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
36.0%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
35.7%
Malik Rosier sacked by Alec James for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 42Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+14
32.5%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 14 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
38.0%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Travis HomerSimilar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
37.8%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Michael Irvin II for 4 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
35.7%
Malik Rosier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
39.7%
Michael Badgley 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3666% → 90%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
34.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 13 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
29.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 38Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+24
29.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 24 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
26.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 15 yds to the MiaFl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
24.5%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+12
24.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 12 yds to the MiaFl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
23.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 4 yds to the MiaFl 6Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
10.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 6 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25MISSED FG
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:5413% → 12%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
12.5%
Travis Homer run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
12.9%
Travis Homer run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+48
13.7%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 48 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
15.6%
Malik Rosier run for 2 yds to the Wisc 8Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
14.6%
DeeJay Dallas run for 1 yd to the Wisc 7Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
12.7%
Malik Rosier run for 1 yd to the Wisc 6Similar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 0
OPP 6
+24
12.1%
Michael Badgley 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:5490% → 95%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
9.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
9.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
9.0%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Offside (Anthony Moten) to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
7.5%
Chris James run for 6 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
6.6%
Chris James run for no gain to the Wisc 40Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
5.5%
Chris James run for no gain to the Wisc 40Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
4.6%
Anthony Lotti punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 27INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:113% → 3%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
2.9%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Jeff ThomasSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
2.7%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Travis HomerSimilar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+5
2.6%
Malik Rosier pass intercepted Ryan Connelly return for 5 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:2196% → 96%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-1
4.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:52
Malik Rosier pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 38 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
+15.7
TD · Q4 7:44
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 6 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-13.1
TD · Q2 5:49
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 16 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com