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USC

USC 7 at Ohio State 24

OSU
2017 · Postseason · Dec 29, 2017 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:59 · Drue Chrisman punt for 43 yds, downed at the USC 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Home team on offense+16.4Pregame prior+13.7Score differential+7.8Garbage-time factor+4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:42: Sam Darnold pass intercepted for a TD Damon Webb return for 23 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +6.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:02: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 16 yds to the OHIOST 43 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Isaiah Langley) to the USC 28 for a 1ST down — OSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:36: Timeout OHIO ST, clock 05:36 — OSU win probability +3.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:59: Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — USC win probability +6.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:52: Parris Campbell run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down — OSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10USC made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 9:07USC 4th & 18 at OSU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:33OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:01USC 4th & 5 at OSU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    24.8%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:07OSU 4th & 2 at USC 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55OSU 4th & 3 at USC 9, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:48USC 4th & 10 at USC 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:05OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 35, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:55USC 4th & 18 at USC 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:59OSU 4th & 9 at USC 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:10OSU 4th & 1 at USC 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−3.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:06USC 4th & 8 at USC 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:03OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:28USC 4th & 15 at OSU 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:46OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:03USC 4th & 4 at OSU 10, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.7%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−5.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:49OSU 4th & 15 at OSU 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:40OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 23, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:34USC 4th & 4 at USC 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:37USC 4th & 8 at OSU 17, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:31USC 4th & 18 at OSU 18, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:25OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:42OSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:27OSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:59USC Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:1124% → 24%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
75.8%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the USC 15Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+3
75.7%
Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the USC 18Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+21
75.6%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 21 yds Deontay Burnett fumbled, forced by Kendall Sheffield, recovered by OhSt Damon Webb , return for 20 yds to the USC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:0576% → 76%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
75.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
75.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+9
75.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 9 yds to the USC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
75.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the USC 1Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:0324% → 24%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
76.0%
Ronald Jones II run for 6 yds to the USC 22Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 4
OWN 22
0
76.0%
Sam Darnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+14
76.1%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 14 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+27
75.9%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 27 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
75.7%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 38Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-7
75.7%
Sam Darnold sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 45Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 18
OPP 45
0
76.1%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Steven Mitchell Jr.Similar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 18
OPP 45
0
76.3%
Reid Budrovich punt for 35 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:2476% → 76%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
76.1%
Parris Campbell run for 6 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+7
76.3%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
76.3%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 24Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
76.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-7
76.1%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Uchenna Nwosu for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 17Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
75.8%
Drue Chrisman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ajene Harris at the USC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:2224% → 24%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
76.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 14 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
75.6%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Joseph Lewis IVSimilar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
75.7%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 5 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
75.6%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay BurnettSimilar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
76.0%
Reid Budrovich punt for 35 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6FG
14 plays · 83 yds · 4:5976% → 77%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
76.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 9Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+1
76.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 10Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+33
76.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Austin Mack for 33 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
77.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+15
77.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Austin Mack for 15 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
77.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
77.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Rashod BerrySimilar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-5
76.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (J.T. Barrett) to the USC 42Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+10
76.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+16
76.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 16 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
77.3%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the USC 13Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
77.4%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the USC 13Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+4
77.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the USC 9Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
77.2%
Sean Nuernberger 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+23
83.2%
Sam Darnold pass intercepted for a TD Damon Webb return for 23 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3917% → 16%
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
83.2%
Ronald Jones II run for 17 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
83.1%
Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-4
83.0%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 45Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
83.8%
Sam Darnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
84.2%
Reid Budrovich punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3385% → 85%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
85.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+2
85.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 2 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
85.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
84.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Ajene Harris at the USC 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10FUMBLE
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:4516% → 17%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
84.3%
Ronald Jones II run for 5 yds to the USC 17Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
84.5%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay BurnettSimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+5
84.8%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 5 yds to the USC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+20
84.7%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 20 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
84.3%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+14
84.6%
Sam Darnold run for 14 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
83.3%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 14 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
82.6%
Stephen Carr run for no gain to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
83.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 5 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+13
83.4%
Sam Darnold sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 41 Sam Darnold fumbled, recovered by OhSt Jerome Baker , return for 0 yards , return for 13 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 0:3587% → 94%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+31
87.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 16 yds to the OHIOST 43 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Isaiah Langley) to the USC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
93.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 28 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12FUMBLE
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:199% → 8%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
91.2%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 10Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 13
OWN 10
0
91.5%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Tyler PetiteSimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 13
OWN 10
+32
91.6%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 32 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
91.0%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Steven Mitchell Jr.Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
91.2%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Stephen Carr for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 41Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 11
OWN 41
-7
91.8%
Sam Darnold sacked by Jerome Baker and Sam Hubbard for a loss of 7 yards to the USC 34Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 18
OWN 34
+1
92.2%
Reid Budrovich punt for 52 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 1 yd to the OhSt 15 K.J. Hill fumbled, recovered by USC Marvell Tell IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13TD
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:489% → 16%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
90.6%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 14 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.5%
Stephen Carr run for no gain to the OhSt 1Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.7%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:5390% → 91%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
90.0%
Parris Campbell run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
50
0
90.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
50
+7
90.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-6
90.3%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Rasheem Green for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 49Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
90.7%
Drue Chrisman punt for 43 yds, downed at the USC 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5212% → 12%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
88.2%
Sam Darnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+4
88.5%
Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+1
88.0%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the USC 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:4688% → 90%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
88.5%
Parris Campbell run for 21 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
89.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Austin Mack for 8 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+1
89.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the USC 42Similar
Q3 12:10
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
89.6%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the USC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5511% → 10%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
89.0%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay BurnettSimilar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
89.4%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Petite for 2 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
89.6%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay BurnettSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
90.0%
Reid Budrovich punt for 31 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:5491% → 92%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
91.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 16 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
92.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 3 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
92.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 2 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
92.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
92.0%
Drue Chrisman punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:289% → 7%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
90.6%
Ronald Jones II run for 5 yds to the USC 25Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+13
90.4%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 13 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
90.3%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 36Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
92.0%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-5
92.1%
USC Penalty, False Start (Chuma Edoga) to the USC 31Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+18
92.3%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 18 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
91.6%
Ronald Jones II run for 17 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
91.1%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
91.3%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Steven Mitchell Jr.Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-6
92.0%
Sam Darnold sacked by Sam Hubbard for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 39Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
93.3%
Reid Budrovich punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:3494% → 94%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
93.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 16Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+5
93.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+15
93.9%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Mack, Austin, PENALTY USC pass interference (Jones, Jack) 15 yards to the OHIOST36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
94.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+9
94.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 9 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
94.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
94.3%
Drue Chrisman punt for 34 yds, downed at the USC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21MISSED FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:366% → 5%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
94.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 17 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
93.7%
Ronald Jones II run for 6 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
94.3%
Ronald Jones II run for no gain to the USC 47Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+37
94.4%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 37 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
93.7%
Ronald Jones II run for no gain to the OhSt 16Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
94.2%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay BurnettSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+6
94.9%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 6 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
94.9%
Chase McGrath 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:0496% → 97%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
96.0%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+20
96.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 20 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
96.6%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
96.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 6
50
-9
96.6%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Uchenna Nwosu for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 41Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 15
OWN 41
+1
96.5%
Drue Chrisman punt for 43 yds , Ajene Harris returns for 1 yd to the USC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23FUMBLE
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:384% → 5%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
96.1%
Darnold, Sam pass incomplete to Mitchell Jr., Steven, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Sheffield, Kendall) 10 yards to the USC27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
96.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 10 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
95.9%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 6 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+30
96.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 30 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
95.2%
Darnold, Sam pass incomplete to Vaughns, Tyler, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Okudah, Jeffrey) 15 yards to the OHIOST12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
95.3%
Sam Darnold sacked by Jalyn Holmes for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 14 Sam Darnold fumbled, forced by Jalyn Holmes, recovered by OhSt Robert Landers , return for 0 yards , return for 1 yd to the OhSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1897% → 97%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
96.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+4
97.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+1
97.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 23Similar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 1
OWN 23
+1
97.3%
Drue Chrisman punt for 49 yds , Ajene Harris returns for 1 yd to the USC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 25DOWNS
20 plays · 53 yds · 6:003% → 1%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
96.9%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 6 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+5
96.9%
Sam Darnold run for 5 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
97.6%
Sam Darnold sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 34Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+1
97.9%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the USC 35Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+11
98.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 11 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+7
97.9%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 7 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.8%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 3 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+25
97.9%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 25 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
97.5%
Sam Darnold sacked by Chase Young for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 24Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+7
97.9%
Sam Darnold run for 7 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
97.8%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay BurnettSimilar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+8
98.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 8 yds to the OhSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
97.7%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 11Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-7
99.1%
Sam Darnold sacked by Sam Hubbard for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 18Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
0
99.3%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Michael Pittman Jr.Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
0
99.4%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:42
Sam Darnold pass intercepted for a TD Damon Webb return for 23 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q2 1:59
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
-6.3
KEY PLAY · Q2 6:02
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 16 yds to the OHIOST 43 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Isaiah Langley) to the USC 28 for a 1ST down
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com