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IOWA

Iowa 27 at Boston College 20

BC
2017 · New Era Pinstripe Bowl · Dec 27, 2017 · Yankee Stadium
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:59 · Mike Knoll punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense+0.5Pregame prior−1.6Garbage-time factor−1.0Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:35: Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 39 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +5.4 pts (now 55%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:11: Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +17.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 11:32: Miguel Recinos 38 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +8.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 8:09: Colton Lichtenberg 24 yd FG GOOD — BC win probability +12.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:09: Drake Kulick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +31.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 8IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:59IOWA 4th & 6 at BC 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:50BC 4th & 4 at IOWA 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:02IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 31, up 3
    Close callPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:47BC 4th & 8 at IOWA 33, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    47.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:59IOWA 4th & 4 at BC 37, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.2%−1.2
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:29BC 4th & 1 at IOWA 12, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.8%−1.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−5.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:24IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−2.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:49IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:42BC 4th & 6 at BC 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:59BC 4th & 2 at BC 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:31IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:10BC 4th & 5 at BC 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:32IOWA 4th & 11 at BC 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−4.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−17.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:09BC 4th & 6 at IOWA 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−2.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−18.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:22IOWA 4th & 16 at IOWA 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−11.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:54IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00BC 4th & 14 at BC 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 0:05BC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:18IOWA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:35BC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:11IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:09IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.2 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:0045% → 46%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
45.3%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+3
45.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+29
45.6%
Darius Wade pass intercepted Jake Gervase return for 29 yds to the BC 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5555% → 54%
Q1 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
45.4%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the BC 6Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
45.5%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Shaun BeyerSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
45.6%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q1 12:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
45.6%
Miguel Recinos 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:5946% → 46%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
45.7%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 28Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
45.8%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 28Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+15
45.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Kobay White for 15 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
46.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 11 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
46.6%
Thadd Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+4
46.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+3
46.7%
Darius Wade run for 3 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
46.4%
Mike Knoll punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:4854% → 53%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
46.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+9
46.3%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 9 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
46.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
46.3%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+6
46.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
46.8%
Colten Rastetter punt for 31 yds, downed at the BC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5TD
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:5747% → 53%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
46.5%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
47.2%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+5
47.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
50
+6
47.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jeff Smith for 6 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+9
47.7%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
48.3%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
48.3%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
47.8%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+12
46.9%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 12 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
48.5%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+1
48.6%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the Iowa 17Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+12
48.1%
Darius Wade pass complete to Kobay White for 12 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
48.9%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the Iowa 4Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
52.5%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4252% → 56%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
48.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
48.4%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Noa Merritt for a loss of 12 yards to the BC 24 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Noa Merritt) to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
48.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
44.1%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 8 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:4347% → 55%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
47.0%
Thadd Smith run for 9 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+5
48.5%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
48.5%
Jeff Smith run for 1 yd to the BC 46Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+7
48.5%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+4
48.9%
Darius Wade pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 4 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
49.4%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+39
54.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 39 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 4:2648% → 48%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
51.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Iowa 40Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 5
OWN 40
-7
50.6%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Kevin Bletzer for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 33Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+13
52.7%
James Butler run for 13 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
51.2%
James Butler run for 8 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
50.6%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
51.0%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 48Similar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+2
52.1%
Nathan Stanley run for 2 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 13
OPP 46
0
52.1%
James Butler run for no gain to the BC 46Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+9
53.5%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 9 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
52.3%
Nathan Stanley punt for 33 yds, downed at the BC 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9FG
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:3055% → 63%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
54.6%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+4
54.5%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+66
54.4%
AJ Dillon run for 66 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
58.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+6
59.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
58.6%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Iowa 12Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+30
63.1%
Colton Lichtenberg 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0538% → 36%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
61.7%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 7 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-5
60.9%
Nathan Stanley sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 22Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
63.5%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
64.4%
Colten Rastetter punt for 20 yds, downed at the Iowa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11MISSED FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:2266% → 66%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
65.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 11 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
66.2%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Jon HillimanSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+12
66.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jeff Smith for 12 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+36
66.4%
Colton Lichtenberg 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
63.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:5738% → 34%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
61.6%
James Butler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 12
OWN 43
0
63.1%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+3
64.6%
Nathan Stanley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
65.6%
Colten Rastetter punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0766% → 65%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
65.5%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
65.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 17Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+2
65.7%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+5
65.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 5 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+1
64.7%
Mike Knoll punt for 35 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 1 yd to the Iowa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:3136% → 52%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
64.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+6
63.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
63.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
63.4%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for no gain to the BC 45Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+32
63.9%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 32 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
61.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 8 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
44.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+15
47.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Personal Foul (Wyatt Ray) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1253% → 51%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
53.1%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Korab IdriziSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+6
53.0%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+2
51.7%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
51.0%
Mike Knoll punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2853% → 50%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
47.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
46.8%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
47.3%
Nathan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
50.3%
Colten Rastetter punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:2154% → 53%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
53.5%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 18Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+5
53.2%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+9
51.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 9 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
54.6%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
56.6%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+1
53.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Travis Levy for 1 yd to the BC 37Similar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
52.8%
Mike Knoll punt for 38 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for no gain to the Iowa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:3850% → 62%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.3%
James Butler run for 5 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
49.1%
Stanley, Nathan pass incomplete to Hockenson, T.J., PENALTY BOSTCOLL pass interference (McDuffie, Isaiah) 15 yards to the IOWA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
46.7%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+1
46.8%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+17
48.1%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 17 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
45.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 7 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+10
43.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 10 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
43.5%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 20Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
44.1%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to T.J. HockensonSimilar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
46.0%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ivory Kelly-MartinSimilar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+38
37.9%
Miguel Recinos 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:2344% → 58%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
43.6%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
45.5%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 45Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+48
42.1%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 48 yds to the Iowa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-5
49.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Alec Lindstrom) to the Iowa 12Similar
Q4 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
47.6%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Iowa 12Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
47.4%
Darius Wade run for 6 yds to the Iowa 6Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
44.9%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 8:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
57.8%
Colton Lichtenberg 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:3949% → 45%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
51.3%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-2
51.5%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 15Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 15
-5
52.7%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (Nathan Stanley) to the Iowa 10Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 15
OWN 10
-1
52.4%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 9Similar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 16
OWN 9
-2
54.8%
Colten Rastetter punt for 41 yds , Michael Walker returns for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:0061% → 60%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
61.0%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 8
50
0
61.7%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 8
50
-5
59.5%
Darius Wade sacked by Anthony Nelson for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 45 Darius Wade fumbled, forced by Anthony Nelson, recovered by Iowa Parker Hesse , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 1:1356% → 90%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+27
43.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 27 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
41.4%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Nate Wieting for 17 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.7%
Drake Kulick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5122% → 17%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
21.6%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 31Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+3
21.2%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+11
16.6%
Darius Wade pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 11 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
18.5%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 44Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+5
17.3%
Darius Wade pass intercepted Joshua Jackson return for 5 yds to the BC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:2492% → 94%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
8.3%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 14
OWN 48
0
5.4%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+1
5.5%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
5.9%
Colten Rastetter punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:5410% → 7%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
9.5%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
8.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 7 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 3
OWN 25
-11
7.9%
Darius Wade sacked by Anthony Nelson and Parker Hesse for a loss of 11 yards to the BC 14Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 14
OWN 14
0
7.4%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:09
Drake Kulick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)
-31.8
TD · Q3 7:11
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)
-17.1
FG · Q4 8:09
Colton Lichtenberg 24 yd FG GOOD
+12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com