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UTAH

Utah 30 at West Virginia 14

WVU
2017 · Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl · Dec 26, 2017 · Cotton Bowl
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:05 · Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 51 yds , Marcus Simms returns for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 13 Marcus Simms fumbled, recovered by Utah Cody Barton
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.0+26.50−26.5−53.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense−2.4Pregame prior−12.9Score differential−1.8Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 13:09: Evan Staley 28 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +2.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:46: Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +6.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:08: Matt Gay 29 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +4.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:43: Evan Staley 26 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +3.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:59: Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +12.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 12 of 12UTAH made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 13:25WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27WVU 4th & 15 at WVU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47UTAH 4th & 18 at UTAH 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:52WVU 4th & 13 at WVU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:38UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:30WVU 4th & 3 at UTAH 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    34.8%−0.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:09WVU 4th & 5 at UTAH 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:31UTAH 4th & 21 at UTAH 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−2.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:05WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:05UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−1.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:20WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:08UTAH 4th & 10 at WVU 11, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:00WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:21UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:46WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:45UTAH 4th & 12 at UTAH 23, up 14
    Numbers favored punt by 2.7 ptsWent for it · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%−2.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.4%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:43WVU 4th & 9 at UTAH 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−5.8
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:03UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:34WVU 4th & 20 at WVU 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−2.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 14:47UTAH 4th & 3 at WVU 7, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−8.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:38UTAH 4th & 3 at WVU 8, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%−0.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−4.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 10:43WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  23. Q4 6:15UTAH 4th & 1 at WVU 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.5
    average punt
  24. Q4 4:15UTAH 4th & 6 at WVU 6, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:37UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:46UTAH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:59UTAH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:58WVU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2530% → 31%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
30.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
30.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
30.8%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+4
30.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 45 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 4 yds to the Utah 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:4369% → 70%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
30.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 16 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
31.0%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
31.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+58
30.3%
Zack Moss run for 58 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5531% → 31%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
50
0
31.0%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
50
-5
30.9%
Kennedy McKoy pass complete to Marcus Simms for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
30.6%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
30.5%
Billy Kinney punt for 51 yds, downed at the Utah 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 44 yds · 3:3369% → 69%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
30.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 7
0
30.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jake JacksonSimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+10
31.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 10 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
30.8%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 10 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
30.5%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
30.5%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+23
30.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 23 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-8
30.1%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 42 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Agasiva) to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 18
OWN 48
0
30.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 18
OWN 48
0
30.5%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 18
OWN 48
0
30.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 18
OWN 48
0
31.0%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:4331% → 31%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
31.1%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 7 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-9
31.5%
Chris Chugunov sacked by Lowell Lotulelei for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-1
30.7%
Chris Chugunov sacked by Lowell Lotulelei and Kavika Luafatasaga for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
30.5%
Billy Kinney punt for 51 yds , Philip Afia returns for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1269% → 69%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.9%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
31.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
30.7%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
31.0%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 44 yds, downed at the WVirg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:1731% → 36%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
31.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
31.1%
Elijah Wellman run for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+33
30.6%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Marcus Simms for 33 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
32.6%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Marcus Simms for 5 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+1
32.7%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 1 yd to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+1
32.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+19
31.9%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Gary Jennings for 19 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
33.6%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
33.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the Utah 11Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
33.0%
Chris Chugunov pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
35.5%
Evan Staley 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2466% → 64%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
34.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 11 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
33.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siale FakailoatongaSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
33.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jake JacksonSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-11
34.6%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Xavier Preston and Kyzir White for a loss of 11 yards to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 21
OWN 27
0
36.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:2035% → 35%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
35.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+9
37.0%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Gary Jennings for 9 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
37.3%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
37.1%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
35.6%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
34.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:5565% → 64%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
35.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+16
35.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 16 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
34.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-2
33.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-7
34.5%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Kyzir White for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 14
OWN 29
-7
36.3%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 51 yds , Marcus Simms returns for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 13 Marcus Simms fumbled, recovered by Utah Cody BartonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:0968% → 75%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
32.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+2
32.1%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the WVirg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
25.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1026% → 24%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
26.0%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
26.0%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Marcus Simms, broken up by Boobie HobbsSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-1
24.9%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
24.3%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds, downed at the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 2:5274% → 81%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
25.6%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+11
25.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 11 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
24.7%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Dylan Tonkery for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+10
25.0%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
50
+39
24.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 39 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
23.2%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the WVirg 11Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
22.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
22.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
19.3%
Matt Gay 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5920% → 19%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.1%
Gary Jennings pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
20.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
19.2%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+23
19.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 50 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 23 yds to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:0980% → 82%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
19.6%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+3
19.2%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 3 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
19.0%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+5
18.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+16
18.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 16 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
16.5%
Tyler Huntley sacked by David Long Jr. and Ezekiel Rose for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 39Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 15
OWN 39
0
17.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Troy McCormick Jr.Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 15
OWN 39
0
17.2%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
18.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 41 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2919% → 17%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
18.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 21Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
18.3%
Elijah Wellman run for 3 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
17.4%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
16.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 51 yds, downed at the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:5584% → 84%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
15.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 21Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
15.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 6 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
15.7%
Tyler Huntley sacked by David Long Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-13
15.8%
Mitch Wishnowsky run for a loss of 13 yards to the Utah 9 Mitch Wishnowsky fumbled, recovered by WVirg Shane CommodoreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2719% → 22%
Q3 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
19.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the Utah 9Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
19.1%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Gary Jennings, broken up by Javelin GuidrySimilar
Q3 6:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
18.2%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q3 6:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
22.1%
Evan Staley 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 3:3079% → 79%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
21.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington II, broken up by Al-Rasheed BentonSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
21.1%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+4
21.2%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
20.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-7
20.0%
Tyler Huntley sacked by David Long Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 27Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 14
OWN 27
-5
21.5%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Lo Falemaka) to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 19
OWN 22
+13
21.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 13 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
21.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:2121% → 18%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
20.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
19.9%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-10
18.8%
Chugunov, Chris pass complete to Simms, Marcus for 20 yards to the WESTVIR40, PENALTY WESTVIR unnecessary roughness (Sills, Josh) 10 yards to the WESTVIR10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 20
OWN 10
0
18.7%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q3 1:34
4TH & 20
OWN 10
+19
18.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 48 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 19 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21TD
10 plays · 39 yds · 2:1682% → 96%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-7
17.9%
Demari Simpkins run for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 17
OPP 46
+5
18.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+9
16.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 32
-5
18.6%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Darren Carrington II) to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 8
OPP 37
+5
18.0%
Wishnowsky, Mitch punt 12 yards to the WESTVIR25, out-of-bounds, PENALTY WESTVIR offside (Kamara, Osman) 5 yards to the WESTVIR32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+15
18.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 25 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Raelon Singleton) to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
16.5%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
15.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siale FakailoatongaSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+11
15.9%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Simpkins, Demari (Battle, Elijah), PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Battle, Elijah) 11 yards to the WESTVIR2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q4 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:146% → 6%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
6.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-2
6.1%
Chris Chugunov run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 15 Chris Chugunov fumbled, recovered by Utah Cody BartonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2296% → 98%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
3.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jake Jackson for 4 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
3.6%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
3.4%
Demari Simpkins pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+26
1.6%
Matt Gay 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:423% → 3%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
2.7%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
2.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
2.6%
Chris Chugunov pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+28
2.5%
Billy Kinney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the WESTVIR 21 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Mike Daniels Jr.) to the Utah 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
1.2%
Zack Moss run for 17 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
1.1%
Zack Moss run for 18 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
1.0%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-4
1.0%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 34 Tyler Huntley fumbled, recovered by WVirg Adam Shuler IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
2.2%
Chris Chugunov pass intercepted Julian Blackmon return for 24 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27FG
10 plays · 20 yds · 3:5299% → 100%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
1.0%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+2
0.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+9
0.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+8
0.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 8 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
0.4%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
0.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington II, broken up by Hakeem BaileySimilar
Q4 4:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
0.4%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the WVirg 6Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
0.5%
Matt Gay 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:021% → 3%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
0.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 7 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
0.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
0.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+38
0.8%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Gary Jennings for 38 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
3.2%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 18 yds for a TD, (Kennedy McKoy pass to Trevon Wesco for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
2.5%
Chris Chugunov pass intercepted Julian Blackmon return for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.0%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
1.0%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:59
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
-12.1
TD · Q2 5:46
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
-6.8
FG · Q2 1:08
Matt Gay 29 yd FG GOOD
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com