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CMU

Central Michigan 14 at Wyoming 37

WYO
2017 · Famous Idaho Potato Bowl · Dec 22, 2017 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+6.8WYO 86.3%Cooper Rothe 28 Yd Field GoalAWAY 7 - HOME 27 · Q2 4:57
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:57 · Cooper Rothe 28 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Home team on offense+16.6Score differential+13.3Garbage-time factor+5.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Pregame prior+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:38: Austin Conway 11 Yd pass from Josh Allen (Cooper Rothe Kick) — WYO win probability +4.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:09: C.J. Johnson 45 Yd pass from Josh Allen (Cooper Rothe Kick) — WYO win probability +6.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:57: Cooper Rothe 28 Yd Field Goal — WYO win probability +6.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:08: Jonathan Ward 3 Yd Run (Michael Armstrong Kick) — CMU win probability +11.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:23: Carl Granderson 58 Yd Fumble Return (Cooper Rothe Kick) — WYO win probability +8.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 9CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:20WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:08CMU 4th & 14 at CMU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:48WYO 4th & 2 at CMU 10, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%−1.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−8.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:05CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.4%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:52CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:13WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:57WYO 4th & 9 at CMU 11, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−8.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:39WYO 4th & 15 at CMU 34, up 20
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    91.0%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:15WYO 4th & 3 at CMU 3, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−4.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:54WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 49, up 16
    Close callPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:52CMU 4th & 17 at CMU 44, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:47WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 25, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:50CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 46, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:56WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 21, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:30CMU 4th & 1 at WYO 38, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:55WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:38WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:10CMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:09WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:08CMU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:23WYO Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0052% → 52%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
52.3%
Trey Woods run for no gain to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
52.4%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
52.4%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
52.4%
Tim Zaleski punt for 47 yds, downed at the CMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:4248% → 47%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
52.5%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 4Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+13
52.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 13 yds to the CMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
52.6%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-9
52.7%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-9 Yards) to the CMich 8Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 19
OWN 8
-1
52.7%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 7Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 20
OWN 7
+6
53.0%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 6 yds to the CMich 13Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 14
OWN 13
0
53.2%
Jack Sheldon punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:4354% → 57%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
53.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 5 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
53.8%
Kellen Overstreet run for no gain to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+7
53.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 7 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
54.0%
Kellen Overstreet run for 11 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
56.7%
Jared Scott 23 Yd pass from Josh Allen (Cooper Rothe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:1444% → 44%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
55.8%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+11
55.9%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 11 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-9
55.7%
Shane Morris sacked by Taniela Lolohea for a loss of 9 yards to the CMich 24 Shane Morris fumbled, recovered by Wyom Sidney Malauulu , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5TD
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:3157% → 63%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
57.0%
Kellen Overstreet run for 4 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+9
57.3%
Kellen Overstreet run for 9 yds to the CMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
57.7%
Kellen Overstreet run for 3 yds to the CMich 8Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-10
58.0%
Allen, Josh rush for 4 yards to the CENTMICH4, PENALTY WYOMING holding 10 yards to the CENTMICH18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 17
OPP 18
+7
58.3%
Josh Allen run for 7 yds to the CMich 11Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
62.9%
Austin Conway 11 Yd pass from Josh Allen (Cooper Rothe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 0:5038% → 42%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
61.7%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+9
62.5%
Shane Morris pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 9 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
57.9%
Jonathan Ward 74 Yd pass from Shane Morris (Michael Armstrong Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:2159% → 66%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
58.5%
Trey Woods run for 3 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
59.3%
Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+13
59.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 13 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
66.1%
C.J. Johnson 45 Yd pass from Josh Allen (Cooper Rothe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 0:17
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+9
65.0%
Shane Morris pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 9 yds Tyler Conklin fumbled, forced by Logan Wilson, recovered by Wyom Marcus EppsSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
64.8%
Shane Morris run for 1 yd to the CMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1367% → 71%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
67.2%
Drew Van Maanen run for 5 yds to the CMich 13Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
67.6%
Kellen Overstreet run for 3 yds to the CMich 10Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 2
OPP 10
0
67.4%
Kellen Overstreet run for no gain to the CMich 10Similar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+27
71.4%
Cooper Rothe 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:3329% → 27%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.6%
Romello Ross run for 5 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
70.4%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Tyler ConklinSimilar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
71.0%
Shane Morris pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 4 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
71.7%
Romello Ross run for 2 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
72.0%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 1 yd to the CMich 37Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
72.4%
Shane Morris run for 4 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
72.3%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+7
72.9%
Jack Sheldon punt for 39 yds , Austin Conway returns for 7 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:1276% → 76%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
75.5%
Trey Woods run for 5 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
76.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 4 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+5
76.6%
Josh Allen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
77.5%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
77.5%
Kellen Overstreet run for 1 yd to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
77.6%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+2
75.5%
Tim Zaleski punt for 42 yds , Mark Chapman returns for 2 yds to the CMich 44 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the CMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:0624% → 24%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
75.7%
Morris, Shane pass incomplete to Conklin, Tyler, PENALTY WYOMING pass interference (Hall, Tyler) 9 yards to the CENTMICH18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CENTMICH.Similar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
75.2%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 18Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
75.5%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 5 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+20
75.8%
Shane Morris pass intercepted Andrew Wingard return for 20 yds to the CMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:1879% → 86%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
79.2%
C.J. Johnson run for 16 yds to the CMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
79.5%
Josh Allen sacked by Joe Ostman for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 15Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
79.8%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Drew Van MaanenSimilar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+4
79.5%
Josh Allen run for 4 yds to the CMich 11Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
86.3%
Cooper Rothe 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14INT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1615% → 13%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
85.5%
Jonathan Ward run for 1 yd to the CMich 37Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-7
86.1%
Shane Morris sacked by Youhanna Ghaifan for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 30Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 16
OWN 31
+16
87.0%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 1 yd to the CMich 31 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
86.1%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the CMich 41Similar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+3
87.0%
Shane Morris pass intercepted Logan Wilson return for 3 yds to the CMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:5389% → 91%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
89.3%
Kellen Overstreet run for 4 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+14
90.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 14 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
90.8%
Trey Woods run for no gain to the CMich 29Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
91.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-10
91.2%
Josh Allen sacked by Mike Danna for a loss of 10 yards to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 20
OPP 39
+5
90.5%
Zaleski, Tim punt 24 yards to the CENTMICH15, fair catch by Chapman, Mark, PENALTY CENTMICH running into kicker 5 yards to the CENTMICH34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 15
OPP 34
0
90.6%
Tim Zaleski punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Mark Chapman at the CMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:1811% → 11%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
89.4%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
89.5%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the CMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17INT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:4910% → 9%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.4%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
90.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
90.7%
Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
90.0%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 39Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+13
90.9%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 13 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
89.9%
Jonathan Ward run for 9 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-2
90.4%
Shane Morris sacked by Taniela Lolohea for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 41Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-1
90.8%
Shane Morris pass intercepted Tyler Hall return for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:0794% → 96%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
93.8%
Kellen Overstreet run for 4 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
94.2%
Kellen Overstreet run for 5 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+18
94.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 18 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
94.7%
Trey Woods run for 2 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
94.6%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+10
94.8%
Josh Allen sacked by Joe Ostman for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 40 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mitch Stanitzek) to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
95.3%
Kellen Overstreet run for 20 yds to the CMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.4%
Drew Van Maanen run for no gain to the CMich 5Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.6%
Kellen Overstreet run for no gain to the CMich 5Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
95.3%
Trey Woods run for 2 yds to the CMich 3Similar
Q3 5:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
96.4%
Cooper Rothe 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:525% → 16%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
95.0%
Shane Morris pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 18 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
95.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 13 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
94.8%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
95.1%
Tony Poljan run for 1 yd to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+30
95.9%
Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 30 yds to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.7%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.2%
Jonathan Ward 3 Yd Run (Michael Armstrong Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:4191% → 92%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
91.4%
Kellen Overstreet run for 1 yd to the Wyom 36Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+9
91.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Fort for 9 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
92.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 5
50
+1
92.7%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-2
92.7%
Josh Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
92.1%
Tim Zaleski punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mark Chapman at the CMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21FUMBLE RETURN TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:1210% → 2%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
90.1%
Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 6 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+2
90.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 2 yds to the CMich 18Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+10
90.5%
Morris, Shane pass incomplete, PENALTY WYOMING holding 10 yards to the CENTMICH28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CENTMICH.Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
90.0%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 4 yds Jonathan Ward fumbled, forced by Garrett Crall, recovered by CMichSimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-3
90.1%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 29Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+43
91.4%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 43 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
88.1%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
89.7%
Tony Poljan run for no gain to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-58
98.3%
Carl Granderson 58 Yd Fumble Return (Cooper Rothe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:082% → 1%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
98.5%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 11 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+31
98.6%
Shane Morris pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 31 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.4%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
98.5%
Romello Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 11
50
-6
98.6%
Shane Morris sacked by Carl Granderson for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 44Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 17
OWN 44
+8
98.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 42 yds , Dontae Crow returns for 8 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4399% → 99%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.2%
Trey Woods run for 2 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+1
99.2%
Kellen Overstreet run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Tim Zaleski punt for 34 yds , Mark Chapman returns for no gain to the CMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24INT
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:451% → 1%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.9%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
98.9%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 5 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
99.2%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Jonathan WardSimilar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+18
99.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 18 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.2%
Shane Morris pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 9 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
99.0%
Shane Morris pass intercepted, touchback. Marcus Epps return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:29100% → 100%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.5%
Kellen Overstreet run for 4 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
99.6%
Kellen Overstreet run for 2 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 4
OWN 26
-5
99.6%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Drew Van Maanen) to the Wyom 21Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+8
99.6%
Tim Zaleski punt for 34 yds , Mark Chapman returns for 8 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26FUMBLE
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.5%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Eric Cooper for 7 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
99.4%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Tyler ConklinSimilar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+2
99.4%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Eric Cooper for 2 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+8
99.5%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Corey Willis for 8 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.4%
Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+8
99.4%
Tony Poljan run for 8 yds to the Wyom 16 Tony Poljan fumbled, forced by Andrew Wingard, recovered by Wyom Jalen OrtizSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
99.8%
Kellen Overstreet run for 7 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+1
99.8%
Kellen Overstreet run for 1 yd to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+4
99.8%
Kellen Overstreet run for 4 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
Kellen Overstreet run for 1 yd to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:08
Jonathan Ward 3 Yd Run (Michael Armstrong Kick)
-11.6
TD · Q4 11:23
Carl Granderson 58 Yd Fumble Return (Cooper Rothe Kick)
+8.6
TD · Q1 1:09
C.J. Johnson 45 Yd pass from Josh Allen (Cooper Rothe Kick)
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com