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UAB

UAB 6 at Ohio 41

OHIO
2017 · Bahamas Bowl · Dec 22, 2017 · Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:33 · Nick Vogel 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kent Berger
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Home team on offense+4.1Score differential+2.1Pregame prior+13.0Garbage-time factor+0.7Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:40: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 56 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos PAT MISSED) — OHIO win probability +4.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:26: Dorian Brown 74 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick) — OHIO win probability +9.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 7:28: Nick Vogel 34 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +5.9 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:16: Dorian Brown run for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:45: Dorian Brown run for 25 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 5:00UAB 4th & 7 at OHIO 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:33UAB 4th & 8 at OHIO 30, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:46OHIO 4th & 14 at OHIO 27, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:41UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 45, down 13
    Close callPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:07UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 30, down 20
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:10OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 25, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:28UAB 4th & 16 at OHIO 17, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−4.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:46UAB 4th & 8 at OHIO 8, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:27OHIO 4th & 10 at UAB 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:54UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:13UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:49UAB 4th & 7 at OHIO 24, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:25OHIO 4th & 3 at UAB 29, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:28UAB 4th & 5 at OHIO 37, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:28OHIO 4th & 8 at UAB 39, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:41OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:40OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:26OHIO Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:16OHIO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:45OHIO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:05OHIO Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:0667% → 69%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
67.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
67.1%
Papi White run for 8 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
67.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
67.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 12 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
67.2%
Andrew Meyer pass complete to Nathan Rourke for 15 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
67.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+18
67.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 18 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
67.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 2 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+2
67.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+5
67.2%
UAB Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (5 Yards) to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
67.4%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
67.1%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to DL Knock for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:0832% → 31%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
68.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Logan Scott for 4 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+4
68.3%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+5
68.3%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
68.3%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-2
68.2%
Donnie Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 8
50
+1
68.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to James Noble III for 1 yd to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 7
OPP 49
+23
69.3%
Joel Dixon punt for 42 yds , Papi White returns for 23 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 1:0470% → 75%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
69.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+7
70.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
74.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 56 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:5427% → 26%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
73.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Logan ScottSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+14
73.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 14 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
73.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 11 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+26
73.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Spencer Brown for 26 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
72.3%
A.J. Erdely run for 2 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
72.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for no gain to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
73.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
73.8%
Nick Vogel 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kent BergerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:4176% → 76%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
75.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-6
76.1%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 16
OWN 25
+2
76.0%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 14
OWN 27
+5
75.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 54 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 5 yds to the UAB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:2226% → 25%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
74.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 6 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+9
74.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 9 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
74.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 6 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
74.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
74.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Justin WalkerSimilar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
75.3%
Joel Dixon punt for 30 yds, downed at the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7TD
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
84.2%
Dorian Brown 74 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0415% → 14%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
85.0%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
85.2%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
85.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
86.0%
Joel Dixon punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4887% → 87%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
86.5%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the Ohio 21Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
86.6%
Nathan Rourke run for no gain to the Ohio 21Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+4
86.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 4 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
86.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FG
7 plays · 55 yds · 1:3213% → 18%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+24
87.4%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+37
87.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 37 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
86.2%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 12Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
86.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
87.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Ronnie Turner Jr.Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 11
OPP 12
-5
87.8%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 17Similar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 16
OPP 17
+34
82.0%
Nick Vogel 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:5284% → 94%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
83.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 9 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
84.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
84.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
85.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+12
85.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 12 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
86.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
86.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 14 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
87.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 13 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
87.8%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+8
88.5%
UAB Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.0%
Dorian Brown run for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:559% → 8%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
91.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 5
50
0
91.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 5
50
+1
91.7%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13FG
12 plays · 83 yds · 3:458% → 6%
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+36
91.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 21 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Logan ScottSimilar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
91.4%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+18
91.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Ronnie Turner Jr. for 18 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
92.4%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+8
92.6%
A.J. Erdely run for 8 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+13
93.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 13 yds to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
92.9%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 8Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Ronnie Turner Jr.Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
94.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Ronnie Turner Jr.Similar
Q3 10:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
93.6%
Nick Vogel 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:5795% → 95%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
94.9%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+27
95.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 27 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
95.6%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
95.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Mason MorganSimilar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
95.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
95.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:265% → 5%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
95.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
95.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
95.1%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+34
95.2%
Joel Dixon punt for 44 yds , Kylan Nelson returns for 34 yds to the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.4%
Dorian Brown run for 25 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:261% → 1%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Joel Dixon punt for 43 yds, downed at the Ohio 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:4699% → 100%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.4%
Julian Ross run for 3 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+15
99.5%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
50
-10
99.5%
OHIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+15
99.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 15 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+7
99.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 7 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+24
99.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Troy Mangen for 24 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.6%
Dorian Brown run for 14 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:560% → 0%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 9 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.6%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 8 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+17
99.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 2 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.7%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
99.7%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+10
99.7%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 2 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+1
99.7%
Donnie Lee run for 1 yd to the Ohio 24Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
99.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Ronnie Turner Jr.Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 7
OPP 24
0
99.7%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:56100% → 100%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.7%
Quinton Maxwell run for 5 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+8
99.8%
Dorian Brown run for 8 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
99.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 10 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
99.8%
Dorian Brown run for 17 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.8%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 32 Dorian Brown fumbled, forced by Thomas Johnston, recovered by Ohio Connor BrownSimilar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Connor BrownSimilar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+3
99.8%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 3
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to DL KnockSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:420% → 0%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 6 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+23
99.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 23 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 3 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 2 yds Xavier Ubosi fumbled, forced by Javon Hagan, recovered by UAB Justice PowersSimilar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
99.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
99.9%
Julian Ross run for 22 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
Julian Ross run for 6 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
Quinton Maxwell run for a loss of 11 yards to the UAB 39 Quinton Maxwell fumbled, recovered by Ohio Julian Ross Julian Ross run for 7 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Michael Farkas punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23END OF GAME
9 plays · 76 yds · 4:180% → 0%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+21
99.9%
James Noble III run for 21 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
99.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 12 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
James Noble III run for 1 yd to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+10
100.0%
James Noble III run for 10 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
99.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 21 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
99.9%
James Noble III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 13Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+2
100.0%
James Noble III run for 2 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+7
100.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 7 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:26
Dorian Brown 74 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)
+9
FG · Q2 7:28
Nick Vogel 34 yd FG GOOD
-5.9
TD · Q1 3:40
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 56 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos PAT MISSED)
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com