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2017 · Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl · Dec 21, 2017 · Tropicana Field
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:12 · David Hood run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense−1.0Score differential−1.1Pregame prior−10.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:45: Frank Nutile run for 4 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +5.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 3:12: Jose Borregales 27 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +3.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:55: Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 13 yds to the Temp 43 — FIU win probability +4.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:28: David Hood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +13.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:26: Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 45 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +7.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11TEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 14:01TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:52TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:10FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:06TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:44FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:12TEM 4th & 2 at FIU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−0.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:53FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:04TEM 4th & 2 at FIU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%−0.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:35FIU 4th & 12 at TEM 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:02TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:45FIU 4th & 12 at TEM 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:12FIU 4th & 8 at TEM 35, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−0.3
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:25TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−2.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:12FIU 4th & 5 at TEM 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−11.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:36FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:41TEM 4th & 17 at TEM 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−3.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:14FIU 4th & 18 at FIU 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:53FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 37, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:01FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 49, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 11:45TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:28TEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:26TEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:54TEM Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:0363% → 63%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.9%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
37.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
37.2%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Chris Myarick, broken up by Newton SalisburySimilar
Q1 14:01
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
37.2%
Alex Starzyk punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 13:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+51
37.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FLAINTL 28 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FlaIn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3137% → 39%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
37.3%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+7
37.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Pharoah McKever for 7 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+5
37.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
38.0%
Alex McGough run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
38.5%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 8
50
+5
38.8%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-7
39.1%
Maurice Alexander sacked by William Kwenkeu for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
38.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:4661% → 61%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
38.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 8 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+5
38.8%
David Hood run for 5 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
39.1%
David Hood run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+19
39.2%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 19 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
38.9%
Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 38 Isaiah Wright fumbled, recovered by FlaInSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
40.4%
Maurice Alexander pass intercepted Sean Chandler return for no gain to the Temp 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5160% → 59%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
39.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
39.6%
Frank Nutile run for 4 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 3
OWN 30
-5
39.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Jovahn Fair) to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
40.3%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+2
40.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 44 yds , Julian Williams returns for 2 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0241% → 41%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
40.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
40.8%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
41.2%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
40.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 26 yds, downed at the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:2560% → 59%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
40.5%
David Hood run for 4 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
39.9%
David Hood run for no gain to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+8
40.6%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 8 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
40.0%
David Hood run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 7
50
+8
40.0%
Frank Nutile run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
39.7%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
39.8%
Frank Nutile run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+3
40.0%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 3 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+1
40.9%
David Hood run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1043% → 42%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
43.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-1
43.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
42.9%
Maurice Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
42.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:5858% → 65%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
41.6%
Frank Nutile run for 1 yd to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+14
42.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 14 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
40.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+23
40.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 23 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
40.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Chris Myarick) to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+15
40.7%
Nutile, Frank pass incomplete to Jennings, Adonis, PENALTY FLAINTL pass interference (Canady, Bryce) 15 yards to the FLAINTL15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE.Similar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
40.3%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 7 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+4
40.4%
Frank Nutile run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.6%
Frank Nutile run for 4 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
37.3%
Maurice Alexander pass intercepted Shaun Bradley return for no gain to the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:1965% → 64%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
34.8%
David Hood run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
34.6%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
34.5%
David Hood run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+4
34.9%
David Hood run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 10:04
4TH & 2
OPP 25
0
35.7%
Isaiah Wright run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 4:1836% → 35%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
36.4%
Maurice Alexander run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
37.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
37.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+15
36.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Shaun Bradley) to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
38.2%
Maurice Alexander run for no gain to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
37.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 8 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+9
37.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 9 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
39.0%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 11 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
39.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+1
39.1%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-4
37.8%
Maurice Alexander sacked by William Kwenkeu for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+43
35.3%
Jose Borregales 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:2666% → 66%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
34.5%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 22 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
32.9%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 3 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
32.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-7
32.5%
Frank Nutile sacked by Anthony Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
34.2%
Alex Starzyk punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Julian Williams at the FlaIn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:0735% → 33%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
34.7%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 3 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+17
34.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Shermar Thornton for 17 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
35.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
37.0%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Darrius ScottSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+4
35.9%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 4 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
36.9%
Alexander, Maurice pass incomplete to Thornton, Shermar, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (Jones, Mike) 15 yards to the TEMPLE38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLAINTL.Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
37.9%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Dan Archibong for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 12
OPP 40
0
35.5%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Shawndarrius PhillipsSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
34.1%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Pharoah McKeverSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
32.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Mike Jones at the Temp 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:1368% → 68%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
31.8%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+1
32.0%
David Hood run for 1 yd to the Temp 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:3433% → 33%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
33.4%
Maurice Alexander run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+12
33.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 12 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
35.1%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-1
35.3%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+20
33.0%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 20 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
35.9%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
37.3%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete, broken up by Karamo DioubateSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+2
35.7%
Maurice Alexander run for 2 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 3
OPP 30
-5
33.9%
Alexander, Maurice pass complete to Maloney, Austin for 9 yards to the TEMPLE21, PENALTY FLAINTL ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEMPLE35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
32.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Mike Jones at the Temp 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:4269% → 68%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
31.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+7
31.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 7 yds to the Temp 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
30.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
31.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+8
31.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 8 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
31.0%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 1 yd to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
30.0%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Richard DamesSimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
31.2%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+5
32.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 46 yds , Bryce Singleton returns for 5 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:0434% → 41%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
33.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+2
35.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
34.4%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Jacob Kraut for 9 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+6
36.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 6 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
37.2%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Julian Williams for 16 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
39.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
38.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+11
36.7%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 11 yds to the Temp 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
38.9%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 3 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+2
38.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
36.7%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
40.5%
Jose Borregales 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3865% → 83%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
34.8%
David Hood run for 14 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
31.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 15
OWN 45
-15
32.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Audley Isaacs) to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
30.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to David Hood for 5 yds to the FLAINTL 45 TEMPLE Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 30
OWN 30
+13
34.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 13 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+17
33.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 17 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+39
30.5%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 39 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.2%
David Hood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3521% → 17%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
20.6%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 2
OWN 35
-2
21.3%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-5
18.8%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Quincy Roche and Todd Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
16.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 50 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for no gain to the Temp 22 Isaiah Wright fumbled, recovered by Temp Isaiah WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:4983% → 82%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-7
17.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 15Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 17
OWN 15
0
17.5%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 17
OWN 15
0
18.0%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Keith Kirkwood, broken up by Anthony WintSimilar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 17
OWN 15
0
18.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 40 yds , Julian Williams returns for no gain to the FlaIn 42 Shermar Thornton return for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:1619% → 13%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
19.0%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Sharif Finch for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+3
16.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 13
OWN 39
-5
16.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (Kai Absheer) to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 18
OWN 29
+11
15.2%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Keith Kirkwood for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Face Mask (16 yards) (Keith Kirkwood) to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
15.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 12 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
16.5%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Shermar ThorntonSimilar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-8
16.0%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Sam Franklin for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 18
OWN 49
0
13.4%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 18
OWN 49
0
12.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Mike Jones at the Temp 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23TD
6 plays · 93 yds · 1:4487% → 97%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
12.7%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+44
11.7%
David Hood run for 29 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Personal Foul (Treyvon Williams) to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
10.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+6
9.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-5
9.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+45
2.6%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 45 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:074% → 3%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
3.9%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 5 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+6
3.9%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 6 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.6%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
3.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 12 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-9
3.4%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Dana Levine for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaIn 23 Maurice Alexander fumbled, forced by Dana Levine, recovered by Temp Freddie Booth-Lloyd , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0498% → 100%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
2.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-3
1.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+16
1.9%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Freddie Johnson for 16 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
1.5%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Jovahn Fair) to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+7
1.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+20
0.2%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Julian Williams for 20 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Maurice Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
0.2%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Darrius Scott for 8 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
0.2%
Maurice Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+5
0.2%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Julian Williams for 5 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.2%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
0.2%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete, broken up by Dan ArchibongSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+7
0.2%
Maurice Alexander run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
0.2%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Linwood CrumpSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
0.1%
Rob Ritrovato run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-1
0.1%
Frank Nutile run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:28
David Hood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
-13.3
TD · Q4 7:26
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 45 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
-7.2
TD · Q2 11:45
Frank Nutile run for 4 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
-5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com