Try the model
AKR

Akron 3 at Florida Atlantic 50

FAU
2017 · Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl · Dec 19, 2017 · FAU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:41 · Nick Gasser punt for 58 yds, downed at the FlAtl 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Pregame prior+9.5Home team on offense+35.9Score differential+30.7Blowout margin+18.4Garbage-time factor+8.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:08: Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +1.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 11:14: Nick Gasser 19 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +1.1 pts (now 10%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 49%).
  3. TD · Q2 5:38: Jason Driskel run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +2.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:37: Devin Singletary run for 6 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +2.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:13: Devin Singletary run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9AKR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:42FAU 4th & 7 at AKR 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:30FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:08FAU 4th & 4 at AKR 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:14AKR 4th & 2 at FAU 2, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:38FAU 4th & 3 at AKR 3, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:35AKR 4th & 5 at FAU 47, down 11
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:26AKR 4th & 1 at FAU 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:13FAU 4th & 2 at AKR 2, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.7%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:11AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 28, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:21AKR 4th & 20 at AKR 15, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:18FAU 4th & 5 at AKR 27, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:19AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 26, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:09AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 25, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:35FAU 4th & 8 at AKR 45, up 40
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:41AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 24, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:00FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 20, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:36AKR 4th & 3 at FAU 47, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:01FAU 4th & 13 at AKR 35, up 47
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:13AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 38, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 1:08FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:38FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:37FAU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:13FAU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:30FAU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:35FAU Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:47FAU Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1MISSED FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 2:5395% → 94%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
94.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 6 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
94.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 1 yd to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
94.5%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
94.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 3 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+20
94.4%
Willie Wright run for 5 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Face Mask (15 Yards) to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
94.3%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+1
94.3%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+4
94.1%
Jason Driskel run for 4 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
94.0%
Greg Joseph 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:386% → 8%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
93.9%
Manny Morgan run for 7 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+12
93.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 12 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
93.6%
Manny Morgan run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
50
+7
93.4%
Kato Nelson run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
93.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 20 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
93.1%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+1
93.0%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+14
92.7%
Kato Nelson run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
92.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to A.J. Coney, broken up by Rashad SmithSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
92.4%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-11
92.4%
Kato Nelson sacked by Hunter Snyder for a loss of 11 yards to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 0
OPP 21
+38
92.3%
Nick Gasser 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 4:3292% → 93%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
92.3%
Kalib Woods run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-1
92.2%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+5
91.9%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+3
91.8%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
91.9%
Driskel, Jason pass incomplete to Harrison, Tavaris, PENALTY AKRON pass interference (Brown, Kyron) 15 yards to the FLAATLANTC47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLAATLANTC.Similar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
92.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 9 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+23
92.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to John Raine for 23 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
92.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+1
92.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 21Similar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+15
91.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 15 yds to the Akron 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
91.8%
Jason Driskel sacked by Denzel Butler for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 9Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
91.7%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
91.4%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 4Similar
Q1 1:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4FG
15 plays · 42 yds · 4:318% → 10%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
91.8%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+7
91.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 7 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
91.4%
Manny Morgan run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-7
91.2%
Kato Nelson sacked by Azeez Al-Shaair for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 17
OPP 37
0
91.6%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 17
OPP 37
+15
92.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Van Edwards Jr. for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Personal Foul (Andrew Soroh) to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
91.2%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+20
91.3%
Kato Nelson run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Azeez Al-Shaair) to the FlAtl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
90.9%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
90.8%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
91.0%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q2 11:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
89.9%
Nick Gasser 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:3290% → 92%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.1%
Jason Driskel run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
90.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
90.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 9 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+12
90.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 12 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
90.5%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+11
90.4%
Devin Singletary run for 11 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
90.3%
Willie Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+7
90.1%
Jason Driskel run for 7 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+7
90.0%
Willie Wright run for 7 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
90.1%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the Akron 9Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
90.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 4 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
89.5%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.1%
Jason Driskel run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:498% → 8%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.2%
Nelson, Kato pass complete to Smith, Kwadarrius for 17 yards to the AKRON42, PENALTY AKRON ineligible downfield on pass (Brown, Trevor) 5 yards to the AKRON20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
92.2%
Kato Nelson run for 5 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
92.3%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
92.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 11 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
91.8%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+1
92.4%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+8
92.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 8 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+3
91.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 37 yds , Jalen Young returns for 3 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 87 yds · 0:5392% → 95%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+63
92.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 63 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
92.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 13 yds to the Akron 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
92.8%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
94.9%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:145% → 6%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.6%
Manny Morgan run for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
94.3%
Manny Morgan run for 11 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:195% → 6%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
94.9%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Azeez Al-Shaair) to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
94.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 5 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+3
94.5%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
94.5%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
94.5%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the FlAtl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:0797% → 99%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
96.6%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+6
96.7%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
96.7%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+9
96.7%
Devin Singletary run for 9 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
96.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 9 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+9
96.7%
Devin Singletary run for 9 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
96.7%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 9:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
96.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to D'Anfernee McGriff for 3 yds to the Akron 2Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q3 8:11
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+23
98.7%
Nick Gasser punt for 35 yds , Jalen Young returns for 23 yds to the Akron 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:4099% → 100%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-8
99.0%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 48 Jason Driskel fumbled, recovered by FlAtlSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 18
OPP 48
+25
99.1%
Jason Driskel run for 25 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+10
99.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 10 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 3 yds for a TD, (W. Wright Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-15
99.7%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 29 AKRON Penalty, Personal Foul (-14 Yards) to the Akron 15Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+24
99.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 54 yds , Jalen Young returns for 24 yds to the Akron 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 15
50
+10
99.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 10 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+8
99.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 8 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
99.8%
Greg Joseph 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
99.8%
Kato Nelson sacked by Hunter Snyder and Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Manny Morgan run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-3
99.8%
Kato Nelson sacked by Rashad Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 26Similar
Q3 1:19
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.8%
Devin Singletary run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+43
99.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 43 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.8%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the Akron 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+10
99.8%
Willie Wright run for 10 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Jason Driskel run for 7 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:200% → 0%
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:22100% → 100%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+14
99.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+10
99.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 10 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for no gain to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-3
99.9%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 45Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 8
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
Jason Driskel run for 10 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
99.9%
Devin Singletary run for 9 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Devin Singletary run for 26 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rickel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
99.9%
Robbie Kelley sacked by Ocie Rose for a loss of 10 yards to the Akron 17Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+7
99.9%
Chuck Turfe run for 7 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 58 yds, downed at the FlAtl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:30100% → 100%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
Jason Driskel run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
99.9%
John Franklin III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Ryan Rickel punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Chuck Turfe run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 6
50
0
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 6
50
+3
99.9%
Chuck Turfe run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 3
OPP 47
-3
100.0%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Newman Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
50
+18
99.9%
Kalib Woods run for 18 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
99.9%
Kamrin Solomon run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+2
100.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 13
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Jason Driskel run for no gain to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 13
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Chuck Turfe run for 2 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Chuck Turfe run for 1 yd to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Robbie Kelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Nick Gasser punt for 45 yds, downed at the FlAtl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
100.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+40
100.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 40 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
100.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+10
100.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Willie Wright for 10 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:38
Jason Driskel run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q2 0:37
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q3 9:13
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com