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UNLV

UNLV 16 at Nevada 23

NEV
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:03 · Evan Pantels punt for 52 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Home team on offense+0.1Pregame prior+5.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:03: Evan Pantels 37 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +8.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:21: Spencer Pettit 35 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +4.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:57: Evan Pantels 53 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +8.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:41: Ty Gangi pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for 6 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK) — NEV win probability +18.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:34: Kelton Moore run for 1 yd for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK) UNLV Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — NEV win probability +23.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNLV made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 14:03UNLV 4th & 20 at UNLV 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:14NEV 4th & 17 at NEV 49, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:56UNLV 4th & 5 at NEV 7, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    39.9%−4.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:56NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:03UNLV 4th & 8 at NEV 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−6.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:21NEV 4th & 6 at UNLV 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−2.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:57UNLV 4th & 10 at NEV 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.4%
    42% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:49NEV 4th & 7 at NEV 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:54UNLV 4th & 1 at NEV 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−3.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−12.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 18 at UNLV 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−5.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:01NEV 4th & 1 at UNLV 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%−4.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    41.8%−18.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:31UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−1.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:34UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.7%−2.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:34UNLV 4th & 2 at NEV 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%−0.7
    72% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−12.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:03NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:47UNLV Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:41NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:34NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 0:5756% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+42
55.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 42 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
55.7%
Kelton Moore run for 5 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+21
56.1%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 21 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
56.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 22 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
55.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 11 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
55.9%
Armani Rogers run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 37 Armani Rogers fumbled,Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 31
OWN 37
-2
56.0%
Armani Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 33
OWN 35
+13
56.1%
Armani Rogers run for 13 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 14:03
4TH & 20
OWN 48
0
56.1%
Evan Pantels punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
57.4%
Kelton Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 17Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+6
57.3%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 6 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
57.2%
Ty Gangi pass intercepted Jericho Flowers return for no gain to the Nevad 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
56.9%
Armani Rogers run for no gain to the Nevad 38Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
56.9%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+24
57.1%
Armani Rogers run for 24 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
56.6%
Armani Rogers sacked by Patrick Choudja for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 33 Armani Rogers fumbled, recovered by Nevad Lawson Hall , return for 0 yards , return for 12 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
58.5%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+10
58.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 10 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
58.9%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+9
58.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 9 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
59.0%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-19
59.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 45 NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (Jaxson Kincaide) to the Nevad 40Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 26
OWN 40
+9
58.3%
Kelton Moore run for 9 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
58.0%
Ty Gangi punt for 39 yds, downed at the UNLV 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 5:0741% → 47%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+28
59.2%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 28 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
58.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+4
58.3%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
58.2%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 5 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
58.0%
Brandon Presley run for 11 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
58.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+2
57.5%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Cody Scherff for 2 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+6
58.0%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
57.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 12 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
57.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the Nevad 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
57.7%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
53.4%
Armani Rogers run for 12 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7FUMBLE
10 plays · 68 yds · 1:4355% → 58%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 9 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
56.5%
Kelton Moore run for 8 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
56.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 3 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+9
56.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 9 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
57.2%
Ty Gangi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
57.0%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+10
56.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 10 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+68
57.8%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 28 yds Wyatt Demps fumbled, forced by Brian Keyes, recovered by UNLV Jameer Outsey for a 1ST down , return for 53 yds to the Nevad 0 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, illegal block (Jameer Outsey) to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5448% → 50%
Q2 11:50
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+17
52.1%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 17 yds to the Nevad 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
51.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the Nevad 6Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+2
51.2%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the Nevad 4Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 2
OPP 4
-3
51.9%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 7Similar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
51.2%
Armani Rogers run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 29Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
50.3%
Evan Pantels 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
51.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 4 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
52.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 2 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
51.5%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Kelton MooreSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
51.0%
Quinton Conaway punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jericho Flowers at the UNLV 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 5:2551% → 61%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
49.2%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+11
49.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 11 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
48.1%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
48.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+7
48.4%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 7 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
47.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 13 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
46.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
46.6%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 5 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+1
47.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
46.6%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
46.6%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
47.9%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
39.5%
Evan Pantels 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 1:4242% → 49%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
42.3%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 17 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
44.6%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Andrew CelisSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
43.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 6 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
44.5%
Kelton Moore run for 7 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
46.0%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Kelton MooreSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
45.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 6 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+16
45.5%
Kelton Moore run for 16 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
47.1%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 4 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
46.9%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix, broken up by Brian KeyesSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
45.4%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+35
48.8%
Spencer Pettit 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:1752% → 53%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
47.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 3Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+3
47.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+3
46.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13FG
11 plays · 29 yds · 4:0354% → 62%
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+10
46.0%
Armani Rogers run for 10 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
45.1%
Drew Tejchman run for 8 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
47.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
45.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
44.7%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+5
45.2%
Armani Rogers run for 5 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
45.1%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the Nevad 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
45.1%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Tim HoltSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
45.8%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon Presley UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+53
37.8%
Evan Pantels 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
39.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 7 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 3
OWN 23
-2
40.3%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 21Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 5
OWN 21
-2
38.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 19Similar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
37.6%
Quinton Conaway punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jericho Flowers at the UNLV 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
34.9%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 27 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
33.8%
Armani Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 31Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+11
34.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 11 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
34.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
33.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-5
33.8%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Kyle Saxelid) to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+11
34.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 11 yds to the Nevad 9Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
34.5%
Armani Rogers run for no gain to the Nevad 9Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
36.0%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the Nevad 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 3:4836% → 62%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
35.8%
Kelton Moore run for 6 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+6
36.2%
Kelton Moore run for 6 yds to the Nevad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+22
36.3%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 22 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
39.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 3
50
+28
40.9%
Andrew Celis pass complete to McLane Mannix for 28 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
42.8%
Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+9
42.8%
Ty Gangi run for 9 yds to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
42.8%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Wyatt Demps, broken up by Robert JacksonSimilar
Q3 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
42.8%
Ty Gangi run for 3 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q3 0:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
61.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for 6 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:3347% → 43%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
52.6%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon Presley, broken up by Nephi SewellSimilar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
53.3%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-9
54.5%
Armani Rogers sacked by Korey Rush for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 20
+34
56.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 43 yds , McLane Mannix returns for 34 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0064% → 60%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
63.6%
NEVADA Penalty, delay of game (Ty Gangi) to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 15
OPP 34
0
62.4%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Wyatt DempsSimilar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+7
61.1%
Kelton Moore run for 7 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
61.7%
Kelton Moore run for 7 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 1
OPP 20
-3
59.6%
Kelton Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0047% → 44%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-6
52.8%
Armani Rogers sacked by Austin Paulhus for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 17Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 16
OWN 17
0
53.6%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Drew TejchmanSimilar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 16
OWN 17
+10
55.2%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 10 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 6
OWN 27
+17
55.9%
Evan Pantels punt for 51 yds , McLane Mannix returns for 17 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:1860% → 88%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+27
59.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 27 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
64.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 15 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
64.1%
Kelton Moore run for 9 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-1
64.1%
Austin Corbett run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 11Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+3
62.1%
Ty Gangi run for 3 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
64.1%
Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
64.1%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.8%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK) UNLV Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 53 yds · 0:0016% → 19%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.8%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
81.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
82.0%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
83.7%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
82.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 15 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
79.2%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 5 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+14
78.6%
Armani Rogers run for 14 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
77.5%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
76.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 2
OPP 22
0
79.0%
Armani Rogers run for no gain to the Nevad 22Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 2
OPP 22
0
80.6%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:4095% → 96%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
94.6%
Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+7
96.3%
Kelton Moore run for 7 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
96.3%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-2
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:34
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK) UNLV Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined
+23.8
TD · Q3 0:41
Ty Gangi pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for 6 yds for a TD, (Spencer Pettit KICK)
+18.8
FG · Q2 2:03
Evan Pantels 37 yd FG GOOD
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com