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UNM

New Mexico 10 at San Diego State 35

SDSU
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2017 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:14 · Brandon Heicklen punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior+16.9Home team on offense+13.7Score differential+3.1Garbage-time factor+7.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:54: Rashaad Penny run for 20 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:29: Rashaad Penny run for 51 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:14: Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 62 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +5.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:48: Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Chris Davis Jr. for 5 yds to the SDSt 24 — UNM win probability +2.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:03: Christian Chapman pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 47 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNM made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:46UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:31SDSU 4th & 11 at SDSU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:00UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UNM 4th & 10 at SDSU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:16UNM 4th & 11 at SDSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:45SDSU 4th & 14 at SDSU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:59UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:22UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:07UNM 4th & 8 at SDSU 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:02SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 41, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:14SDSU 4th & 7 at SDSU 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:10UNM 4th & 9 at SDSU 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:10SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:49UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:54UNM 4th & 6 at SDSU 29, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:46SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:54SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:29SDSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:14UNM Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:03SDSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:54SDSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
91.7%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
91.7%
Jay Griffin IV run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+2
91.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyrone Owens for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
91.7%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 59 yds , Rashaad Penny returns for no gain to the SDSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 3:0891% → 91%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
91.2%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+41
91.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 41 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
91.3%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
91.3%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+24
91.2%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 24 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
91.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+7
91.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 7 yds to the NMex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
91.2%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 9 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
90.9%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Q' Drennan for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
90.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
91.0%
Romell Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
91.0%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
90.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 17Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+14
90.6%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 14 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
90.7%
Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SDSt 32Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-2
90.7%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 30Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
90.5%
Christian Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
90.4%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
14 plays · 32 yds · 5:0610% → 11%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
90.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 7 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-4
90.0%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+7
90.1%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 7 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
89.9%
Romell Jordan run for 8 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+1
89.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for 1 yd to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
89.7%
Zahneer Shuler run for no gain to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
89.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
89.7%
Romell Jordan run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
50
+10
89.7%
Tyrone Owens run for 10 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
88.8%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
88.9%
Romell Jordan run for no gain to the SDSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
89.1%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
89.5%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6INT
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
89.5%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the SDSt 25Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+14
89.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 14 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
89.8%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+12
89.9%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 12 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
90.0%
Juwan Washington run for 11 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+29
90.0%
Christian Chapman pass intercepted Jordan Flack return for 29 yds to the SDSt 7 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
88.0%
Romell Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 49Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+2
88.4%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
88.5%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
89.0%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 43 yds, downed at the SDSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
88.7%
Rashaad Penny run for 9 yds to the SDSt 13Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+5
88.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SDSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
88.8%
Rashaad Penny run for 8 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 2
OWN 0
+4
88.8%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
88.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-15
89.0%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Mikah Holder, broken up by Jalin Burrell SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SDSt 18Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 22
OWN 18
+8
88.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 8 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
88.1%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
88.1%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Romell Jordan for 2 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
87.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-2
87.6%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 41Similar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
88.5%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 3:5588% → 92%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
88.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 5
OWN 24
-14
87.8%
Christian Chapman sacked by Cody Baker and Emmanuel Joseph for a loss of 14 yards to the SDSt 10Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 19
OWN 0
+15
87.3%
PENNY, Rashaad rush for 13 yards to the SDSU23 (OCASIO, Austin), PENALTY SDSU holding 5 yards to the SDSU5, NO PLAY, PENALTY NM personal foul 15 yards to the SDSU20, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
87.7%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
87.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 9 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
87.9%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 20 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
88.7%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 9 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 1
OPP 38
-5
88.7%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 43Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+16
88.7%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 16 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
88.9%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 7 yds to the NMex 20Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
88.9%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Quest Truxton, broken up by D'Angelo RossSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+20
92.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 20 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
91.6%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+1
91.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:3192% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
92.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
92.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SDSt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-5
92.6%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
92.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 7 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
92.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+51
97.4%
Rashaad Penny run for 51 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
96.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 14Similar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+7
96.7%
Romell Jordan run for 7 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
96.6%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Tyrone OwensSimilar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-2
96.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Daryl Chestnut for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 19Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 10
OWN 19
+2
96.7%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 53 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 31 Quest Truxton fumbled, forced by Romell Jordan, recovered by NMex Patrick ReedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:474% → 5%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
96.4%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Daryl Chestnut for 3 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
96.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 3
OPP 24
-5
96.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 29Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
96.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Chris Davis Jr.Similar
Q3 9:07
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
94.7%
Jason Sanders 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
96.2%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
96.1%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 36Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+5
96.1%
Christian Chapman run for 5 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
95.9%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:515% → 11%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
95.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
95.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 5 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+6
95.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Zahneer Shuler for 6 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
95.1%
Romell Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
95.0%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+62
89.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 62 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.3%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to David WellsSimilar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 7 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-4
90.0%
Christian Chapman sacked by DaQuan Baker for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 28Similar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
89.2%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:3810% → 11%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
89.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 31 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
88.3%
Romell Jordan run for 4 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
87.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 4 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-3
88.3%
Zahneer Shuler run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 34Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+5
89.6%
TUIOTI, Tekava pass incomplete to GRIFFIN IV, Jay, PENALTY SDSU offside 5 yards to the SDSU29, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
87.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Chris Davis Jr. for 5 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+1
86.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 1 yd to the SDSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+4
87.9%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 4 yds to the SDSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
86.9%
Romell Jordan run for 1 yd to the SDSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
86.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Aaron Molina, broken up by Trey LomaxSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
88.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anu SomoyeSimilar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+35
89.2%
Jason Sanders 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
91.2%
Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 18Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+11
91.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 11 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+11
90.8%
Rashaad Penny run for 11 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
91.8%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-7
91.8%
Christian Chapman sacked by Austin Ocasio for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 36Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+8
90.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Kahale Warring for 8 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
90.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 50 yds, downed at the NMex 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
92.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem Umeh, broken up by Ron SmithSimilar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
92.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Aaron MolinaSimilar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+1
92.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 1 yd to the NMex 7Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 9
OWN 7
0
93.2%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the NMex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:4793% → 98%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
93.3%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+47
98.1%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 47 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
97.4%
Daryl Chestnut run for 5 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
97.3%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 3 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
97.4%
Kentrail Moran run for 3 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
97.3%
Kentrail Moran run for 3 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
97.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass intercepted Tariq Thompson return for no gain to the SDSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 1:4098% → 100%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
98.4%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
98.5%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 40Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+60
99.8%
Juwan Washington run for 60 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the SDSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24INT
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Kentrail Moran run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 20 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.7%
Kentrail Moran run for 4 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+18
99.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 18 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Aaron Molina, broken up by Kyree WoodsSimilar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Zahneer Shuler for 4 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IV, broken up by Tariq ThompsonSimilar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 6
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass intercepted Tariq Thompson return for no gain to the SDSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 7Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 11
OWN 7
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:14
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 62 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
-5.9
TD · Q3 12:29
Rashaad Penny run for 51 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q4 8:03
Christian Chapman pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 47 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com