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FRES

Fresno State 13 at Wyoming 7

WYO
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadFRES aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreFRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:56 · Blake Cusick punt for 43 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Home team on offense−33.7Score differential−4.5Pregame prior−0.2Garbage-time factor−13.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−13.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 3:46: Jimmy Camacho 29 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +10.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:19: Josh Hokit run for no gain to the FrsSt 13 — FRES win probability +8.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:25: Nick Smith pass complete to Nico Evans for 6 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +24.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:25: Cooper Rothe kickoff for 12 yds WYOMING Penalty, illegal kicking (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 42 — FRES win probability +9.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:25: Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the Wyom 40 — FRES win probability +13.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 12FRES made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:21WYO 4th & 11 at WYO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:17FRES 4th & 8 at WYO 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:17WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:31FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00WYO 4th & 1 at FRES 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.0%−1.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:57FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:12WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:43FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:45WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 37, down 10
    Close callPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:00FRES 4th & 7 at FRES 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:29FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 32, up 10
    Close callPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:55WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 36, down 10
    Close callPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:46FRES 4th & 11 at WYO 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−10.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:46WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 47, down 13
    Close callPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:48WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 39, down 13
    Close callPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:31FRES 4th & 3 at FRES 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:16WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 30, down 13
    Close callPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%−0.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:25FRES 4th & 11 at FRES 40, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:56FRES 4th & 11 at WYO 43, up 6
    Close callPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:50WYO 4th & 6 at FRES 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%−6.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−8.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:50WYO 4th & 10 at FRES 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−3.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−7.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 0 of 1FRES made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:12FRES Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 2:25WYO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.6%
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
39.6%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
39.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+3
39.6%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
39.6%
Blake Cusick punt for 54 yds, downed at the Wyom 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-6
40.2%
Nick Smith sacked by Malik Forrester for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 15Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+5
40.2%
Austin Fort run for 5 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 11
OWN 20
0
40.1%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 11
OWN 20
+2
40.1%
Tim Zaleski punt for 48 yds , KeeSean Johnson returns for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:3759% → 59%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
40.6%
Josh Hokit run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
40.4%
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
40.4%
Josh Hokit run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
40.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 9 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+3
40.3%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+32
40.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 32 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
40.2%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
40.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
40.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Da'Mari ScottSimilar
Q1 8:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+27
41.1%
Jimmy Camacho 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.1%
Kellen Overstreet run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
41.2%
Nick Smith pass complete to Austin Conway for 4 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
41.0%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
40.9%
Tim Zaleski punt for 47 yds , KeeSean Johnson returns for 1 yd to the FrsSt 33 FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the FrsSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 1:1758% → 58%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
41.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+5
41.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
42.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
41.7%
Josh Hokit run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
41.7%
Josh Hokit run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
41.4%
Jordan Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+2
41.7%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+7
41.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
41.9%
Blake Cusick punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 43 yds · 1:5042% → 44%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
42.4%
Nick Smith pass complete to Austin Conway for 13 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
42.7%
Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
43.5%
Austin Conway run for 7 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
43.6%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
43.1%
Kellen Overstreet run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
50
-5
44.3%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+9
42.9%
Nick Smith pass complete to Trey Woods for 9 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
44.7%
Kellen Overstreet run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
44.7%
Kellen Overstreet run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
44.5%
Kellen Overstreet run for no gain to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
43.9%
Nick Smith run for no gain to the FrsSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for no gain Ronnie Rivers fumbled, forced by Andrew Wingard,Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
42.4%
KeeSean Johnson run for no gain to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+1
42.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 1 yd to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
43.3%
Blake Cusick punt for 42 yds , Austin Conway returns for no gain to the Wyom 21 Austin Conway fumbled, recovered by FrsSt George Helmuth WYOMING Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8TD
1 play · 21 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
35.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 21 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
35.5%
Austin Conway run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 24Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
35.4%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
34.8%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
34.4%
Tim Zaleski punt for 51 yds, downed at the FrsSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
36.5%
MIMS, Jordan rush for 1 yard to the FS25 (GRANDERSON, C.), PENALTY FS holding 10 yards to the FS14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 20
OWN 14
+3
36.7%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+8
36.8%
Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
36.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
37.5%
Blake Cusick punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
34.3%
Kellen Overstreet run for 2 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
34.3%
Kellen Overstreet run for 1 yd to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+4
33.8%
Nick Smith pass complete to Austin Conway for 4 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
33.7%
Tim Zaleski punt for 32 yds, downed at the FrsSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4667% → 66%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
33.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+4
33.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
33.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Da'Mari Scott, broken up by Marcus EppsSimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
34.2%
Blake Cusick punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 65 yds · 0:0034% → 37%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
33.6%
Austin Conway run for 4 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
34.0%
Kellen Overstreet run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
33.8%
Nick Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
34.1%
Nick Smith pass complete to Austin Fort for 25 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
35.8%
Austin Fort run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+5
37.2%
Trey Woods run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
37.2%
Nick Smith pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 15 yds Drew Van Maanen fumbled, forced by Jaron Bryant, recovered by FrsSt Jeffrey Allison , return for 3 yds to the FrsSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
31.2%
Josh Hokit run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
30.8%
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
29.6%
Trey Woods run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
30.3%
Trey Woods run for 2 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
29.7%
Nick Smith run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+42
29.1%
Tim Zaleski punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WYOMING 19 WYOMING Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
29.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
29.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 4 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
29.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Ronnie Rivers, broken up by Taniela LoloheaSimilar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 2
OWN 32
+1
30.7%
Blake Cusick punt for 40 yds , Austin Conway returns for 1 yd to the Wyom 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
28.3%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Austin FortSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
28.0%
Kellen Overstreet run for 4 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+3
27.7%
Nick Smith pass complete to James Price for 3 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
27.4%
Tim Zaleski punt for 58 yds, downed at the FrsSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18FG
14 plays · 83 yds · 6:2971% → 83%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+14
28.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 14 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
28.4%
Josh Hokit run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
27.7%
Josh Hokit run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+12
28.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 12 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+8
27.3%
Marcus McMaryion run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
26.7%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Ronnie RiversSimilar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+16
26.8%
Josh Hokit run for 16 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
26.6%
Josh Hokit run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+30
26.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 30 yds to the Wyom 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
26.2%
Josh Hokit run for no gain to the Wyom 5Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
26.2%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
26.8%
Marcus McMaryion sacked by Sidney Malauulu for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 11Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
16.6%
Jimmy Camacho 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
21.8%
Nick Smith pass complete to James Price for 5 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
22.4%
Kellen Overstreet run for 1 yd to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+2
21.5%
Nick Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
21.5%
Tim Zaleski punt for 38 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20FUMBLE
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:0084% → 87%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
15.7%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 18Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+2
15.6%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+44
15.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 44 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
14.2%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
12.3%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
12.6%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
12.3%
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
12.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Da'Mari ScottSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+7
12.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds KeeSean Johnson fumbled, forced by Tyler Hall, recovered by Wyom Cassh Maluia , return for 3 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
16.6%
Nick Smith pass complete to James Price for 14 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
17.2%
Nick Smith pass complete to Josh Harshman for 2 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
17.0%
Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+1
17.0%
Nick Smith run for 1 yd to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
16.9%
Tim Zaleski punt for 48 yds, downed at the FrsSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:4892% → 94%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
8.3%
Josh Hokit run for no gain to the FrsSt 13Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
6.2%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+7
6.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds to the FrsSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
5.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
6.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+2
6.2%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
6.1%
Blake Cusick punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
8.5%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to James Price, broken up by Malik ForresterSimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
8.1%
Nick Smith pass complete to Austin Conway for 4 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
8.5%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
7.9%
Tim Zaleski punt for 29 yds, downed at the FrsSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:5496% → 97%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
3.8%
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
3.5%
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
3.5%
Josh Hokit run for no gain to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 6
OWN 45
-5
3.3%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
3.3%
Blake Cusick punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:526% → 32%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
5.9%
Nick Smith pass complete to James Price for 9 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+14
6.5%
Nick Smith pass complete to Austin Fort for 14 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
6.5%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
6.4%
Nick Smith pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 12 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
7.1%
Nick Smith pass complete to Austin Conway for 9 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+30
7.6%
Nick Smith pass complete to Austin Conway for 30 yds to the FrsSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
32.1%
Nick Smith pass complete to Nico Evans for 6 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:2990% → 94%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
9.6%
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
9.5%
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
10.4%
Josh Hokit run for no gain to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 6
OPP 38
-5
5.6%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
5.9%
Blake Cusick punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 53 yds · 0:0011% → 13%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+41
11.1%
Nick Smith pass complete to Austin Conway for 41 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
15.3%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
14.9%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+4
13.7%
Nick Smith pass complete to Nico Evans for 4 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+8
13.8%
Nick Smith pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
21.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
18.2%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
15.6%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 10
OPP 27
0
13.1%
Nick Smith run for no gain to the FrsSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:25
Nick Smith pass complete to Nico Evans for 6 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+24.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:25
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the Wyom 40
-13.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-13.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com