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UNLV

UNLV 38 at New Mexico 35

UNM
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2017 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-16.4UNM 40.4%Evan Pantels 40 yd FG GOODAWAY 30 - HOME 28 · Q4 6:11
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:11 · Evan Pantels 40 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Home team on offense−9.1Pregame prior+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.2Score differential−3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:23: Lamar Jordan run for 40 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +12.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q4 9:17: Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +26.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 6:11: Evan Pantels 40 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +16.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:11: Lamar Jordan run for 41 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +44.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:25: Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 14 yds for a TD, (Armani Rogers pass to Kendal Keys for Two-Point Conversion) — UNLV win probability +81.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:50UNLV 4th & 3 at UNM 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:01UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:05UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UNLV 4th & 22 at UNM 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−1.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:00UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 42, up 3
    Close callPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:33UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 30, down 3
    Close callPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:39UNLV 4th & 5 at UNM 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−12.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:28UNM 4th & 13 at UNM 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−4.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:50UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−3.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:29UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−2.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 15 at UNM 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    65.2%−1.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:11UNLV 4th & 12 at UNM 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−6.9
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−15.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:56UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 46, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:17UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 15, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−13.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:11UNLV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:00UNM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:26UNM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:43UNLV Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:12UNLV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:23UNM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:17UNM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−1.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:11UNM Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.2 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:25UNLV Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    69.6%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 4:1044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
56.4%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 13 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
56.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+24
56.4%
Armani Rogers run for 24 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
56.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+1
56.4%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+4
56.4%
Armani Rogers run for 4 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
56.1%
Evan Pantels 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:4956% → 56%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
56.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 9 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
56.6%
Daryl Chestnut run for no gain to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
56.4%
Daryl Chestnut run for 11 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
56.7%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
56.7%
Romell Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 49Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-2
56.3%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Nick Dehdashtian for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
55.7%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 4:0544% → 50%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
55.9%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-1
56.0%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 17Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+15
56.3%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 15 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
55.6%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+31
55.7%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 31 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
55.1%
Armani Rogers sacked by Emmanuel Joseph for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 38Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 12
OPP 38
0
55.2%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr., broken up by Alex HartSimilar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+16
55.5%
Armani Rogers run for 16 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
54.7%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 8 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+14
49.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 14 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
49.8%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
49.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-3
49.6%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
49.1%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:0950% → 51%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
49.7%
Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
49.2%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 25 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
48.5%
Armani Rogers run for 7 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+3
47.8%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
47.7%
Armani Rogers sacked by Evahelotu Tohi for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 37
0
47.9%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 37
-7
48.3%
Armani Rogers sacked by Jordan Flack for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 47 Armani Rogers fumbled, recovered by UNLV Armani Rogers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 22
OPP 47
+4
49.5%
Evan Pantels punt for 37 yds , Romell Jordan returns for 4 yds to the NMex 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 0:4946% → 57%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+67
46.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 67 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
49.1%
Daryl Chestnut run for 11 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.8%
Romell Jordan run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.6%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Emmanuel Joseph) to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
53.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
53.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
52.8%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
53.2%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
52.4%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
53.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 56 yds, downed at the NMex 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8TD
12 plays · 98 yds · 6:4353% → 64%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
52.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 1 yd to the NMex 3Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+30
52.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for 30 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
53.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 22 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
56.1%
Romell Jordan run for 3 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
56.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+11
55.6%
Romell Jordan run for 11 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
56.8%
Daryl Chestnut run for 15 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
56.8%
Romell Jordan run for 7 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+3
56.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
56.8%
Daryl Chestnut run for 1 yd to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.8%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:3841% → 52%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
58.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 1 yd to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+60
48.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 60 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:0450% → 49%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
50.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 8 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 2
OWN 31
-1
52.1%
Daryl Chestnut run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
49.4%
Daryl Chestnut run for no gain to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
49.0%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD
1 play · 83 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
38.9%
Armani Rogers run for 83 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:0138% → 37%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
37.8%
JORDAN, Lamar pass complete to DAVIS, Chris for 3 yards to the NM30, out-of-bounds (WHITE, Javin), PENALTY NM holding (UMEH, Anselem) 10 yards to the NM17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+1
37.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 18Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 19
OWN 18
+8
37.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 8 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+11
36.6%
Daryl Chestnut run for 11 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
36.7%
Romell Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:3337% → 53%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
37.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
37.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST down Tyrone Owens for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
38.6%
Jay Griffin IV run for 18 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
39.8%
Romell Jordan run for no gain to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
39.6%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+40
52.5%
Lamar Jordan run for 40 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 5:4451% → 63%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
48.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
48.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 10 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
46.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 12 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
45.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+24
46.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Tim Holt for 9 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, roughing passer (Austin Ocasio) to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
44.7%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
45.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+7
46.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the NMex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
44.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the NMex 2Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
44.7%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the NMex 2Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
46.0%
Armani Rogers run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 5Similar
Q3 6:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
37.5%
Evan Pantels 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
41.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 17 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
41.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 28Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+3
41.8%
Jay Griffin IV run for 3 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-7
40.9%
Jay Griffin IV run for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 24Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
39.0%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 27 , Jericho Flowers returns for no gain to the UNLV 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
35.7%
Armani Rogers run for 10 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
34.6%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr., broken up by Jacob GirgleSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
35.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-3
35.2%
Armani Rogers sacked by Kenneth Maxwell and Sitiveni Tamaivena for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
38.5%
Evan Pantels punt for 41 yds , Romell Jordan returns for no gain to the NMex 17 Romell Jordan fumbled, recovered by NMex Thomas VieiraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
38.9%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Tyrone OwensSimilar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
38.5%
Daryl Chestnut run for 5 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
37.3%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 22Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+6
36.2%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 45 yds , Jericho Flowers returns for 6 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0670% → 66%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
30.3%
Armani Rogers run for 12 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
29.6%
Armani Rogers run for 4 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
29.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Drew Tejchman for 5 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
29.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
29.6%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
29.6%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Drew TejchmanSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 36
-6
30.1%
Armani Rogers run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
34.3%
Evan Pantels punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:4237% → 69%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
37.3%
Romell Jordan run for 10 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
37.8%
Daryl Chestnut run for 17 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
41.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 4 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+12
42.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 12 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+35
42.8%
Daryl Chestnut run for 35 yds to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:0639% → 60%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
60.9%
Armani Rogers run for 33 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
55.6%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+21
55.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 21 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
53.2%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-5
53.2%
Armani Rogers sacked by Sitiveni Tamaivena and Evahelotu Tohi for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 12
OPP 23
0
56.8%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+40
40.4%
Evan Pantels 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0052% → 46%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-11
51.8%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 11 yards to the NMex 33 Lamar Jordan fumbled, recovered by NMexSimilar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 20
OWN 33
+12
46.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 12 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+1
47.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 46Similar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
46.1%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0068% → 64%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
31.7%
Armani Rogers run for no gain to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
32.2%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
34.4%
UNLV Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 15Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
34.3%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+10
36.0%
Evan Pantels punt for 57 yds , Romell Jordan returns for 10 yds to the NMex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:1344% → 94%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
44.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+13
46.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 13 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
49.0%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+4
49.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+41
93.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 41 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
Q4 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-9
93.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyrone Owens) to the UNLV 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 0:4022% → 95%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
78.2%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
85.0%
Armani Rogers run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+7
87.1%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 7 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+50
86.1%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 50 yds to the NMex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
4.7%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 14 yds for a TD, (Armani Rogers pass to Kendal Keys for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
20.5%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Q' Drennan, broken up by Javin WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
20.5%
Lamar Jordan pass intercepted Javin White return for 13 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
5.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:25
Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 14 yds for a TD, (Armani Rogers pass to Kendal Keys for Two-Point Conversion)
-81.4
TD · Q4 1:11
Lamar Jordan run for 41 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
+44.1
TD · Q4 9:17
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
+26.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com