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SJSU

San José State 14 at Colorado State 42

CSU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Canvas Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:05 · Ryan Stonehouse punt for 34 yds, downed at the SJSt 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+29.6Home team on offense+23.8Score differential+16.6Garbage-time factor+8.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:58: DeJon Packer run for 14 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:32: Nick Stevens pass complete to Cameron Butler for 50 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:18: Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 24 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:24: Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 9 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:47: Malike Roberson run for 54 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SJSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:51SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:48SJSU 4th & 6 at CSU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:58CSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:58SJSU 4th & 19 at SJSU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:32SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:02SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:05CSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:01SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:44CSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:18SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:59CSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 46, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:28SJSU 4th & 7 at CSU 7, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:58SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:51CSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:53CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:32CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:18CSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:24CSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:47SJSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:57CSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 8 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
97.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
97.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 4 yds to the ColSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
97.8%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup, broken up by Jonathan Lenard Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
97.8%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
97.8%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:453% → 3%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
97.5%
Malike Roberson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
97.5%
Malike Roberson run for no gain to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+49
97.5%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 49 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
97.4%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 8 yds to the ColSt 15Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+1
97.4%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the ColSt 14Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+14
96.8%
DeJon Packer run for 14 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0797% → 97%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 6 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+31
96.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 31 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
96.9%
Rashaad Boddie run for 5 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+29
96.9%
Rashaad Boddie run for 29 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.8%
Rashaad Boddie run for 4 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.7%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
96.7%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
96.7%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
96.7%
Bryce Crawford punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:1397% → 97%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+35
96.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 35 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
96.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 36Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+17
96.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Warren Jackson for 17 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
96.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 8 yds to the SJSt 11Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+5
96.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Adam Prentice for 5 yds to the SJSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.7%
Rashaad Boddie run for 6 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Billy HumphreysSimilar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+21
96.5%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tyler Nevens for 21 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
96.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
96.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
96.3%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
96.5%
Bryce Crawford punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7MISSED FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 5:0496% → 95%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
96.2%
COLORADO ST Penalty, delay of game (Nick Stevens) to the ColSt 15Similar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+16
96.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 16 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
96.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
96.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
96.3%
Nick Stevens run for 3 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
96.4%
Nick Stevens run for 11 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
96.1%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup, broken up by Jermaine KellySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+13
96.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 13 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
96.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
96.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Adam Prentice for 7 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+3
96.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.1%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
96.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
96.1%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Olabisi JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
95.4%
Wyatt Bryan 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
95.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-16
95.3%
Montel Aaron sacked by Josh Watson for a loss of 16 yards to the SJSt 11Similar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
95.5%
Bryce Crawford punt for 43 yds, downed at the ColSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 1:0295% → 97%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
95.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 47Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
95.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 6
50
+50
96.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Cameron Butler for 50 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.2%
Montel Aaron run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
96.2%
DeJon Packer run for 12 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
96.1%
Malike Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-5
96.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+4
96.2%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Walker for 4 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+8
96.3%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Walker for 8 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
96.2%
Bryce Crawford punt for 42 yds, downed at the ColSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 5:1896% → 99%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
96.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for no gain to the ColSt 13Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
96.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 18 yds to the ColSt 31 COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the ColSt 16Similar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
96.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 16 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
96.1%
COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (Detrich Clark) to the ColSt 27Similar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+12
96.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 12 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
50
+16
96.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Cameron Butler for 16 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
96.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+11
96.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+13
96.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Cameron Butler for 13 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
96.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-7
96.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the SJSt 14 COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+24
98.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 24 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:162% → 2%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.1%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Zamore Zigler for 8 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
98.0%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 6 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
98.0%
Montel Aaron pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 4 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
98.0%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+5
98.1%
Montel Aaron run for 5 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
98.5%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Jake SchlagerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13INT
17 plays · 69 yds · 4:122% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
Malike Roberson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
98.0%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 3 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.0%
Malike Roberson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.0%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
98.0%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+15
98.0%
AARON, Montel pass incomplete to WALKER, Tre, PENALTY CSU pass interference (JOHNSON, S.) 15 yards to the CSU46, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
97.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 4 yds to the ColSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+9
97.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 9 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
97.8%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+17
97.8%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Zamore Zigler for 17 yds to the ColSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
97.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the ColSt 14Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
98.0%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+8
98.2%
Montel Aaron run for 8 yds to the ColSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.0%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Rahshead JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.0%
Montel Aaron pass intercepted, touchback. Josh Watson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 37 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+36
98.7%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 36 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Olabisi JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for no gain to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+1
98.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 1 yd to the SJSt 43Similar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
98.6%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 34 yds, downed at the SJSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
98.5%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 6 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+7
98.5%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 7 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
98.5%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Justin Holmes for 11 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
98.4%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 4 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
98.4%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Justin Holmes for 4 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-5
98.4%
Montel Aaron sacked by Kiel Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
98.5%
Bryce Crawford punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 5:2099% → 100%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
98.8%
Detrich Clark run for 1 yd to the ColSt 30Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for no gain to the ColSt 30Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+36
98.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 36 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
98.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 10 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
98.8%
Nick Stevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+2
98.8%
Nick Stevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+1
98.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the SJSt 15Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+2
98.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the SJSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
98.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 4 yds to the SJSt 9Similar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 9 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Keoni Taylor) to the SJSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Justin SweetSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+38
99.9%
Bryce Crawford punt for 38 yds , Olabisi Johnson returns for 38 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
Darius May run for 4 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+8
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Darius May for 8 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 5 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-3
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Darius May for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 9Similar
Q4 14:32
3RD & 8
OPP 9
-4
99.9%
Nick Stevens run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 8 Nick Stevens fumbled, forced by Frank Ginda, recovered by SJSt Ethan AguayoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
99.9%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the SJSt 11Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+6
99.9%
DeJon Packer run for 6 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+1
99.9%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.9%
DeJon Packer run for 6 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Shun JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Bryce Crawford punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Darius May run for 2 yds to the ColSt 35Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
99.9%
Darius May run for 10 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for no gain to the ColSt 45Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Darius May run for 9 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Darius May run for no gain to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Rashaad Boddie run for no gain to the SJSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.3%
Malike Roberson run for 54 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.6%
Nick Stevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+22
99.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 22 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the SJSt 4Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:190% → 0%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Malike Roberson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 5
50
+39
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 39 yds to the ColSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
Malike Roberson run for 2 yds to the ColSt 9Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the ColSt 7Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+4
99.9%
AARON, Montel pass incomplete to WALKER, Tre, dropped pass, PENALTY CSU personal foul (WATSON, J.) 4 yards to the CSU3, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.9%
Malike Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 4Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
99.9%
Montel Aaron sacked by Evan Colorito for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 7 Montel Aaron fumbled, recovered by SJSt Malike Roberson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Rahshead JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
100.0%
Darius May run for 3 yds to the ColSt 10Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+20
100.0%
Darius May run for 20 yds to the ColSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
100.0%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 6 yds to the ColSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:18
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 24 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 9:32
Nick Stevens pass complete to Cameron Butler for 50 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q3 0:24
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 9 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com