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SDSU

San Diego State 52 at San José State 7

SJSU
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:09 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:32: Rashaad Penny run for 13 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SJSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:29: Juwan Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:03: Juwan Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:40: Tre Walker pass complete to Justin Holmes for 54 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:27: Rashaad Penny run for 64 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SDSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:27SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:26SJSU 4th & 23 at SDSU 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:03SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 34, down 35
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:27SJSU 4th & 3 at SDSU 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 0:48SJSU 4th & 14 at SJSU 24, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q4 10:18SDSU 4th & 5 at SJSU 13, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:12SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 30, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SDSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:32SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:29SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:29SDSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:26SDSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:03SDSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:40SJSU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:27SDSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:55SDSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2894% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
5.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
5.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 12 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
5.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+9
5.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 9 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
5.9%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Fred TrevillionSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
5.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+7
5.9%
Christian Chapman run for 7 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
5.9%
Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+17
5.9%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 17 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
5.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 8 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+13
7.0%
Rashaad Penny run for 13 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
7.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
7.2%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Kameron KellySimilar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
7.1%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
7.1%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 59 yds , Quest Truxton returns for no gain to the SDSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3TD
1 play · 82 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
6.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 82 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
6.8%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Walker for 16 yds Tre Walker fumbled, forced by Ron Smith, recovered by SDSt Chibu OnyeukwuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 4:4593% → 95%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
6.6%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
6.6%
Christian Chapman run for 5 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+10
6.6%
Juwan Washington run for 10 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
6.6%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
6.5%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+2
6.6%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
6.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 12 yds to the SJSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
6.5%
Juwan Washington run for 7 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.4%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6INT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
5.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
5.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
5.8%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 13
OWN 32
-2
5.8%
Montel Aaron pass intercepted Parker Baldwin return for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 39 Parker Baldwin fumbled, forced by Josh Oliver, recovered by SDSt Ron SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 3:5095% → 95%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
5.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+8
5.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 8 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
5.1%
Rashaad Penny run for 7 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+6
5.1%
Rashaad Penny run for 6 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
5.1%
Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SJSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+6
5.1%
Rashaad Penny run for 6 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
5.3%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 8 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 26 Tyler Nevens fumbled, forced by Kameron Kelly, recovered by SJSt Montel AaronSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
4.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 5 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+37
4.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 37 yds to the SJSU 32 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
5.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
5.6%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 5
OPP 27
-5
5.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 32Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-13
5.4%
Montel Aaron sacked by Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 13 yards to the SDSt 45Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 23
OPP 45
0
5.5%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 38 yds, downed at the SDSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 4:4895% → 98%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+58
5.1%
Juwan Washington run for 58 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
4.9%
TREVILLION, F. rush left for 29 yards to the SJ6, out-of-bounds (McKNIGHT, Mauri), PENALTY SDSU illegal shift 5 yards to the SJ40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+9
4.9%
Juwan Washington run for 9 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+17
4.8%
Juwan Washington run for 17 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
4.8%
Juwan Washington run for 7 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+4
4.5%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
4.5%
WASHINGTON, J. rush left for 1 yard to the SJ2 (GINDA, Frank;TAYLOR, Je'Von), PENALTY SDSU holding (ROEMER, Tyler) 10 yards to the SJ13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+10
4.7%
Fred Trevillion run for 10 yds to the SJSt 3Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
4.1%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.1%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for no gain to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.8%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 8 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
1.7%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 1 yd to the SJSt 34Similar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
1.7%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11END OF HALF
9 plays · 30 yds · 1:2998% → 98%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
2.2%
Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SDSt 19Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
2.2%
Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SDSt 19Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+4
2.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the SDSt 23Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+15
2.1%
HEICKLEN, B. punt 37 yards to the SJ40, fair catch by COTTRELL, Thai, PENALTY SJ roughing the kicker (KELLY, Jermaine) 15 yards to the SDSU38, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
1.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+10
1.9%
Christian Chapman run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
50
-5
1.8%
PENNY, Rashaad rush up middle for 29 yards to the SJ21 (McKNIGHT, Mauri), PENALTY SDSU illegal formation 5 yards to the SDSU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+4
1.9%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:132% → 3%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
1.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 8 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+3
1.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
1.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
1.8%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Justin Holmes for 7 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
1.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 5 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+54
2.6%
Tre Walker pass complete to Justin Holmes for 54 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
1.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 64 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 50 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.2%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Ron SmithSimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
1.2%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Walker for 7 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
1.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 7 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
1.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+1
1.3%
Montel Aaron run for 1 yd to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
1.3%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+19
1.3%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Justin Holmes for 19 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
1.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+1
1.4%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the SDSt 26Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+1
1.3%
Montel Aaron run for 1 yd to the SDSt 25Similar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 3
OPP 25
0
1.3%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Jay HendersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.8%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 25 Juwan Washington fumbled, forced by Frank Ginda, recovered by SJSt Tysyn ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
1.0%
Montel Aaron pass intercepted, touchback. Kameron Kelly return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:3299% → 100%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
0.8%
Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 17Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+9
0.8%
Chase Jasmin run for 9 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 4
OPP 0
0
0.7%
CHAPMAN, C. pass incomplete to TRUXTON, Quest (CHACHERE, Andre), PENALTY SDSU holding off-setting, PENALTY SJ pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
0.9%
Chase Jasmin run for 9 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.8%
Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-10
0.8%
Christian Chapman sacked by Frank Ginda for a loss of 10 yards to the SDSt 29Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+20
0.9%
Chase Jasmin run for 20 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
0.8%
Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 48Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+1
0.8%
Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the SDSt 49Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+40
0.4%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 40 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
0.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 7 yds to the SJSt 4Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 3
OPP 4
-5
0.4%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (Keith Ismael) to the SJSt 9Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
0.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
0.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-6
0.3%
Montel Aaron sacked by Chibu Onyeukwu for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 24 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Montel Aaron) to the SJSt 24Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 14
OWN 24
0
0.3%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Kameron KellySimilar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
0.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 37 yds, downed at the SDSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:49100% → 100%
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
0.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 9 yds to the SDSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+9
0.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 9 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
0.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isiah Macklin for 12 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
0.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 8 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+5
0.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isiah Macklin for 5 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
0.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the SJSt 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
0.4%
Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the SJSt 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+4
0.4%
Ryan Agnew run for 4 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
0.2%
John Baron II 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
0.2%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
0.2%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
0.2%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
0.2%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 62 yds, downed at the SDSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21END OF GAME
15 plays · 78 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
0.3%
Tyler Wormhoudt run for 13 yds to the SDSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
0.2%
Tyler Wormhoudt run for 5 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+10
0.2%
Tyler Wormhoudt run for 10 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.2%
Tyler Wormhoudt run for 4 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
0.2%
Tyler Wormhoudt run for 2 yds to the SDSt 42Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
0.2%
Tyler Wormhoudt run for 7 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
0.2%
Chad Woolsey run for 13 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
0.2%
Chad Woolsey run for 1 yd to the SJSt 37Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-2
0.2%
Chad Woolsey run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 39Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+14
0.2%
Ryan Agnew run for 14 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
0.2%
Chad Woolsey run for 6 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
0.2%
Chad Woolsey run for 3 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+4
0.2%
Tyler Wormhoudt run for 4 yds to the SJSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 13Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 11
OPP 13
-1
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:03
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
-2
TD · Q3 12:27
Rashaad Penny run for 64 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
-1.3
TD · Q1 9:32
Rashaad Penny run for 13 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com