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USU

Utah State 24 at New Mexico 10

UNM
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:01 · Tre Miller run for 1 yd to the NMex 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:44: LaJuan Hunt run for 65 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +11.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:00: Dominik Eberle 28 yd FG GOOD — USU win probability +10.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:42: Timeout UTAH ST, clock 02:42 — USU win probability +6.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:55: LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the UthSt 6 — USU win probability +5.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q4 8:56: Tevaka Tuioti run for a loss of 10 yards Tevaka Tuioti fumbled, recovered by UthSt David Woodward , return for 70 yds, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +13.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 9USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 11:32USU 4th & 1 at USU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24UNM 4th & 8 at USU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:59USU 4th & 6 at USU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:14USU 4th & 2 at UNM 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    40.0%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:04USU 4th & 4 at USU 16, up 7
    Close callPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:51UNM 4th & 1 at USU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%−2.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−6.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:52UNM 4th & 3 at USU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    48.8%−1.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:08UNM 4th & 7 at USU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:14UNM 4th & 2 at USU 43, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    39.0%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:42UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:00USU 4th & 9 at UNM 11, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−8.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:20UNM 4th & 28 at USU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:20USU 4th & 3 at USU 37, up 14
    Close callPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00UNM 4th & 15 at UNM 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−1.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:55USU 4th & 3 at USU 9, up 14
    Close callPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:49UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 38, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:11USU 4th & 7 at USU 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:10USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:44USU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:20UNM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
56.8%
Jordan Love pass intercepted Stanley Barnwell Jr. return for 8 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
56.8%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 3 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
56.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 14:50
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+8
56.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 8 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
56.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
56.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q1 14:50
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+3
56.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the UthSt 4 Lamar Jordan fumbled, forced by Justus Te'i, recovered by UthSt Cameron HaneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+22
57.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 22 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
57.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 9 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
56.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 35Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
56.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+27
57.1%
Aaron Dalton punt for 42 yds UTAH ST Penalty, kick catching interference (Gaje Ferguson) to the NMex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
57.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
57.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
50
+6
57.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+4
57.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for 4 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
57.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+2
57.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+1
57.5%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Tyrone Owens for 1 yd to the UthSt 38Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
57.1%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 35 yds, downed at the UthSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
57.1%
Tre Miller run for 3 yds to the UthSt 6Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+1
57.2%
Tre Miller run for 1 yd to the UthSt 7Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 6
OWN 7
0
57.5%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 6
OWN 7
0
57.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
58.3%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+4
58.3%
Romell Jordan run for 4 yds to the UthSt 38 Romell Jordan fumbled, forced by Devon Anderson, recovered by UthSt Devon AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:0444% → 50%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
56.4%
LOVE, Jordan pass incomplete to SCARVER, Savon, PENALTY NM roughing passer (HUGHES, Garrett) 15 yards to the NM47, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
55.8%
Savon Scarver run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line Savon Scarver fumbled, recovered by UthSt Savon Scarver , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 13
50
+5
56.4%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+8
55.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
55.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 10 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
55.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
55.6%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Savon ScarverSimilar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+3
56.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 3 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+5
56.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Jalin Burrell) to the NMex 19Similar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+13
56.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 13 yds to the NMex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
55.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8FUMBLE
10 plays · 57 yds · 1:0352% → 54%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
51.8%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+8
52.3%
Daryl Chestnut run for 8 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
52.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
52.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
50
+5
52.5%
Daryl Chestnut run for 5 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
52.9%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Q' Drennan for 19 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
53.6%
Richard McQuarley run for 7 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+7
53.6%
Richard McQuarley run for 7 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
53.6%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the UthSt 10 Richard McQuarley fumbled, forced by Justus Te'i, recovered by UthSt Justus Te'iSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
49.4%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
49.5%
Jordan Love run for 1 yd to the UthSt 11Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
50.1%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion Tarver, broken up by Jalin BurrellSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 9
OWN 11
+5
50.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, roughing the kicker (5 Yards) to the UthSt 16Similar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+17
50.6%
Aaron Dalton punt for 56 yds , Romell Jordan returns for 17 yds to the NMex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
50.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 17 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
51.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+2
52.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+3
51.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 9:51
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
50.1%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the UthSt 29 Tyrone Owens fumbled, forced by Devon Anderson, recovered by NMex Tyrone OwensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0054% → 56%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
45.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 12 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
44.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Austin Ocasio) to the UthSt 46Similar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 5
OWN 46
-3
44.3%
Jordan Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 42 Jordan Love fumbled, recovered by NMex Jake RothschillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 4:4449% → 52%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
49.3%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Patrick Reed for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+9
48.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 9 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
49.2%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the UthSt 35Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+7
47.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for 7 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
50.3%
Richard McQuarley run for no gain to the UthSt 28Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
50.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+2
49.0%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
51.6%
Jason Sanders 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2451% → 62%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
48.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 10 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
37.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 65 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 0:3038% → 38%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.5%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Chris Davis Jr. for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
37.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 10 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
39.5%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Q' DrennanSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
39.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 8 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+2
38.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
38.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 8 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
39.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
39.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IV, broken up by Jalen DavisSimilar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
38.1%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15Uncategorized
1 play · -10 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
35.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Moroni Iniguez) to the UthSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:1836% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
36.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
34.2%
Daryl Chestnut run for no gain to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+8
33.8%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 36 , Jordan Nathan returns for 8 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:5867% → 78%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
33.1%
Savon Scarver run for 6 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-2
32.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
32.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 7 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
32.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 31 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
32.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+6
32.0%
Jordan Love run for 6 yds to the NMex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
32.0%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
32.0%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Braelon Roberts, broken up by Jalin BurrellSimilar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+6
32.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Cody Baker) to the NMex 6Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-5
32.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Roman Andrus) to the NMex 11Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
32.6%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
22.0%
Dominik Eberle 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18MISSED FG
16 plays · 45 yds · 6:4024% → 18%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
23.5%
Lamar Jordan run for 11 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
24.5%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
25.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+19
25.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 19 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
26.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+11
26.2%
Romell Jordan run for 11 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
27.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+9
27.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 9 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
27.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the UthSt 7Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
-3
27.2%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 10Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 8
OPP 10
-15
20.4%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Patrick Reed) to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 23
OPP 25
-5
19.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, SUB (Marcus Williams) to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 28
OPP 30
0
19.0%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Aaron MolinaSimilar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 28
OPP 30
+47
18.1%
Jason Sanders 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
14.1%
Tre Miller run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 26Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+11
14.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 11 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
14.3%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion Tarver, broken up by D'Angelo RossSimilar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
14.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:3716% → 15%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
15.6%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Chris Davis Jr.Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
15.4%
Daryl Chestnut run for 15 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
15.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
15.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-8
15.7%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Gaje Ferguson for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
14.9%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 68 yds, downed at the UthSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
9.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the UthSt 6Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+3
9.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 9Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 3
OWN 9
0
9.6%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Aaren VaughnsSimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
9.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Romell Jordan at the UthSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:2715% → 3%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
15.2%
Richard McQuarley pass incomplete to Delane Hart-Johnson, broken up by Baron GajkowskiSimilar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
14.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+1
14.6%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Tyrone Owens for 1 yd to the UthSt 45Similar
Q4 11:23
4TH & 9
OPP 45
+15
14.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, roughing the kicker (Louy Compton) to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
16.1%
Romell Jordan run for 2 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+8
16.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Romell Jordan for 8 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+70
3.1%
Tevaka Tuioti run for a loss of 10 yards Tevaka Tuioti fumbled, recovered by UthSt David Woodward , return for 70 yds, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
2.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Q' DrennanSimilar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
2.4%
Kentrail Moran run for 1 yd to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+3
2.4%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 3 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
2.4%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
1.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 2 yds to the UthSt 16Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+2
1.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-1
1.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 17Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
1.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Romell Jordan at the NMex 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 1:281% → 4%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
1.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 6 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
1.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem UmehSimilar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+9
1.2%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 9 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
1.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Chris Davis Jr.Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
1.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Chris Davis Jr. for 9 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
1.4%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 3 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
4.1%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 34 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26END OF GAME
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:1498% → 99%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
2.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the NMex 33Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
2.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+9
1.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 9 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
1.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the NMex 22Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-5
1.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Justus Te'i) to the NMex 27Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+5
1.5%
Jordan Love run for 5 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+1
1.5%
Tre Miller run for 1 yd to the NMex 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q4 8:56
Tevaka Tuioti run for a loss of 10 yards Tevaka Tuioti fumbled, recovered by UthSt David Woodward , return for 70 yds, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-13.2
TD · Q2 1:44
LaJuan Hunt run for 65 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-11
FG · Q3 9:00
Dominik Eberle 28 yd FG GOOD
-10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com