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NEV

Nevada 14 at Boise State 41

BOIS
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:59 · Quinton Conaway punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Pregame prior+20.5Home team on offense+23.8Score differential+14.8Garbage-time factor+4.6Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:42: Trevion Armstrong 1 Yd pass from Ty Gangi (Spencer Pettit Kick) — NEV win probability +2.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:50: Cedrick Wilson 44 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick) — BOIS win probability +2.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:35: Ryan Wolpin 1 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick) — BOIS win probability +2.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:31: Jake Roh 25 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick) — BOIS win probability +5.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:03: Alexander Mattison 6 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick) — BOIS win probability +3.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 5NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:31NEV 4th & 1 at NEV 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:58BOIS 4th & 2 at NEV 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:49NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q3 8:59NEV 4th & 11 at NEV 17, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  5. Q3 4:55BOIS 4th & 1 at NEV 12, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:11NEV 4th & 8 at NEV 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:48BOIS 4th & 7 at NEV 24, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 6:00BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 29, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:13NEV 4th & 11 at NEV 45, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:46BOIS 4th & 7 at NEV 42, up 27
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NEV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:45NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:42BOIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:42NEV Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:50BOIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:35BOIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:31BOIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:03BOIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:108% → 11%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
91.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 13 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
91.5%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 6 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
91.3%
Ty Gangi run for 2 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
91.1%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 1 yd to the Nevad 47Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+3
90.9%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
50
+3
90.7%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+10
90.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 10 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
90.4%
Kelton Moore run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+13
90.1%
Ty Gangi run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
89.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Andrew Celis for 5 yds to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+8
89.7%
Kelton Moore run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
89.5%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Trevion ArmstrongSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
88.6%
Kelton Moore 4 Yd Run (Spencer Pettit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:3189% → 88%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
88.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 14 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
88.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 8 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+14
88.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 14 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
88.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 8 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+3
88.5%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Octavius EvansSimilar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+15
88.2%
Cedrick Wilson pass complete to Brett Rypien for 15 yds to the Nevad 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
88.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 8 yds to the Nevad 3Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 2
OPP 3
-2
87.8%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 5Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+2
87.3%
Jake Roh run for 2 yds to the Nevad 3Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+20
87.7%
Haden Hoggarth 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:0313% → 13%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
87.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 12 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
87.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brandon Scott for 2 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
86.6%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Brandon ScottSimilar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+13
86.8%
Ty Gangi pass intercepted Kekoa Nawahine return for 13 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:0888% → 89%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
87.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
87.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to CT Thomas for 11 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
87.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
87.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. RichardsonSimilar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+13
87.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 13 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
87.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
88.7%
Alexander Mattison 13 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4812% → 17%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the Nevad 25Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 4 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q1 0:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+26
87.8%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 26 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
86.7%
Kelton Moore run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
86.5%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+34
86.3%
Kelton Moore run for 34 yds to the BoiSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
85.7%
Ty Gangi run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.8%
Trevion Armstrong 1 Yd pass from Ty Gangi (Spencer Pettit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 0:2485% → 87%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
85.1%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+44
87.2%
Cedrick Wilson 44 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7INT
13 plays · 30 yds · 2:5014% → 15%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
86.1%
Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 7 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
86.1%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.0%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
86.1%
Ty Gangi run for 2 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+16
85.7%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 1 yd to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
84.8%
Gangi, Ty pass incomplete to Armstrong, Trevion, PENALTY NEVADA holding 10 yards to the NEVADA45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+3
85.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Blake Wright for 3 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+7
85.3%
Blake Wright run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+17
84.6%
Ty Gangi pass intercepted Curtis Weaver return for 17 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:5286% → 90%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
86.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Octavius Evans for 10 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
86.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 12 yds to the Nevad 25 Alexander Mattison fumbled, recovered by BoiStSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
86.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Ryan Wolpin for 6 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 4
OPP 19
-10
86.5%
Cozart, Montell pass incomplete, PENALTY BOISEST holding (Cleveland, Ezra) 10 yards to the NEVADA29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+5
86.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 5 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+21
85.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Ryan Wolpin for 21 yds to the Nevad 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
86.2%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the Nevad 1Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.4%
Ryan Wolpin 1 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:3910% → 10%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.9%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
89.9%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Nevad 28Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
90.1%
Gangi, Ty pass incomplete to O'Leary-Orange, Brendan, PENALTY BOISEST pass interference 15 yards to the NEVADA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEVADA.Similar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
89.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
88.9%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
89.0%
Kelton Moore run for no gain to the Nevad 49Similar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
89.9%
Ty Gangi punt for 26 yds, downed at the BoiSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0990% → 95%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
89.8%
Brett Rypien run for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 22 Brett Rypien fumbled, recovered by BoiStSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+19
88.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 19 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
89.6%
Rypien, Brett pass incomplete, PENALTY NEVADA personal foul (Meyer, Kalei) 15 yards to the NEVADA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST.Similar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
89.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 18 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
90.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
90.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Octavius Evans for 1 yd to the Nevad 25Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+25
95.3%
Jake Roh 25 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:207% → 7%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.1%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
93.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 13 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:3593% → 98%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
93.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 6 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
93.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
93.6%
Cedrick Wilson pass complete to Montell Cozart for 31 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
93.8%
Ryan Wolpin run for 5 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-3
94.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 7 yds to the Nevad 16 BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nevad 26Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+6
94.4%
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+14
94.2%
Brett Rypien run for 14 yds to the Nevad 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.6%
Alexander Mattison 6 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:493% → 2%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
97.4%
Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 6
OWN 22
-4
97.4%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 18Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-1
97.6%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 17Similar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
97.6%
Quinton Conaway punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:5498% → 98%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
97.7%
Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+16
97.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jake Roh for 16 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
97.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
97.9%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+14
97.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 14 yds to the Nevad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
98.2%
Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+6
98.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 6 yds to the Nevad 14Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+2
98.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the Nevad 12Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 1
OPP 12
0
98.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Alec DhaenensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:382% → 2%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
98.2%
Kelton Moore run for 13 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.2%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Nevad 26Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
98.2%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brandon Scott for 1 yd to the Nevad 27Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.3%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Wyatt DempsSimilar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
98.3%
Quinton Conaway punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:1499% → 100%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
98.6%
Alexander Mattison run for 16 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
98.8%
Robert Mahone run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
98.8%
Ryan Wolpin run for 5 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+9
98.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 9 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
98.9%
Rypien, Brett pass complete to Wilson, Cedrick for 32 yards to the NEVADA6, PENALTY BOISEST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the NEVADA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+10
98.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 10 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
98.9%
Ryan Wolpin run for 4 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
99.0%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.1%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+1
99.1%
Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the Nevad 24Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
99.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. RichardsonSimilar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
99.9%
Haden Hoggarth 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17INT
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
99.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 27Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+30
99.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 30 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Ty Gangi run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+12
99.9%
Kelton Moore run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Ty Gangi pass intercepted Tyler Horton return for no gain to the BoiSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
99.9%
Robert Mahone run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 5
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Robert MahoneSimilar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+10
99.9%
Montell Cozart run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
99.9%
Robert Mahone run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 2
OWN 29
-1
99.9%
Robert Mahone run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Montell Cozart run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Joel Velazquez punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Vosean Crumbie at the Nevad 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Ty Gangi run for no gain to the Nevad 36Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 5 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Trevion Armstrong for 5 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Blake Wright run for 2 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-3
99.9%
Ty Gangi sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 45Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Robert Mahone run for 7 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 3
OPP 38
-5
99.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 43Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Robert Mahone run for no gain to the Nevad 43Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+1
100.0%
Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the Nevad 42Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Quinn Skillin punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Vosean Crumbie at the Nevad 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
100.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 8 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 11 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-OrangeSimilar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Russell BoozeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:31
Jake Roh 25 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick)
+5.1
TD · Q3 11:03
Alexander Mattison 6 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick)
+3.4
TD · Q2 12:42
Trevion Armstrong 1 Yd pass from Ty Gangi (Spencer Pettit Kick)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com