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SJSU

San José State 20 at BYU 41

BYU
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Jonny Linehan punt for 40 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 3 yds to the SJSt 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Home team on offense+15.6Pregame prior+12.4Score differential+6.7Garbage-time factor+4.8Blowout margin−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:34: Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 11 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK) — BYU win probability +1.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 6:18: Bryce Crawford 48 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:27: KJ Hall run for 75 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK) — BYU win probability +5.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 5:09: Rhett Almond 36 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +5.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:30: Squally Canada run for 9 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK) — BYU win probability +5.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9SJSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:28SJSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:18SJSU 4th & 6 at BYU 31, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.6%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:53BYU 4th & 6 at SJSU 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:45SJSU 4th & 8 at BYU 8, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:54BYU 4th & 15 at BYU 43, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:09BYU 4th & 8 at SJSU 19, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:14SJSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:47SJSU 4th & 16 at SJSU 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−1.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:47BYU 4th & 4 at SJSU 25, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.7%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    88.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:37SJSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:52BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.5%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:14SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 34, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:14SJSU 4th & 19 at SJSU 48, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:44BYU 4th & 9 at BYU 12, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:52BYU 4th & 5 at SJSU 41, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:12BYU 4th & 8 at SJSU 13, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:12SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:04SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 44, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:43BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:34BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:27BYU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:30BYU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:52BYU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:24SJSU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:42SJSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.3%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
74.3%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Justin Holmes for 7 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
74.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
74.3%
Montel Aaron pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 4 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+1
74.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
74.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 1:5074% → 75%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+45
73.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 45 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
74.1%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 45Similar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+13
74.0%
KJ Hall run for 13 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+7
74.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 7 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
74.1%
KJ Hall run for 2 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+23
75.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Micah Simon for 23 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:0375% → 77%
Q1 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
75.1%
Brayden El-Bakri run for 4 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
75.1%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 11Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
76.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 11 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
76.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+10
76.2%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 10 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
76.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
76.1%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
76.1%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Josh Oliver, broken up by Zayne AndersonSimilar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
76.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
77.3%
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted Dakari Monroe return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7FG
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:5324% → 25%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
50
+15
76.5%
BYU Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
76.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+4
76.2%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 4
OPP 29
-4
76.3%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 31 Tyler Nevens fumbled,Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+48
75.1%
Bryce Crawford 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8MISSED FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 5:2576% → 76%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.8%
KJ Hall run for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
75.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 10 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
76.2%
Tanner Mangum run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+11
76.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
50
+8
76.3%
Riley Burt run for 8 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-1
76.3%
Riley Burt run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 43Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+12
76.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 12 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
76.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Beau Tanner for 11 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
76.3%
KJ Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+6
76.3%
KJ Hall run for 6 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
76.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q1 0:53
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
76.3%
Rhett Almond 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 5:0824% → 24%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
76.4%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
76.5%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 6 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
76.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
76.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 12 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
76.0%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tyler Nevens for no gain to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
76.1%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Malike Roberson for 15 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+22
75.6%
Malike Roberson run for 7 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
74.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
74.9%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+7
75.5%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Walker for 7 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
74.9%
Malike Roberson run for no gain to the BYU 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
74.9%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q2 11:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
75.6%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Josh Oliver for 1 yd to the BYU 8Similar
Q2 10:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
75.8%
Bryce Crawford 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1876% → 81%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.6%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Micah Simon, broken up by Andre ChachereSimilar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
80.7%
KJ Hall run for 75 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
80.0%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Jeremy Kelly for 3 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
80.2%
Montel Aaron pass intercepted Michael Shelton return for no gain to the BYU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0082% → 80%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
82.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Riley BurtSimilar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
81.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Beau Tanner, broken up by Dakari MonroeSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-15
81.2%
MANGUM, T. pass complete to HIFO, A. for 14 yards to the SJ38 (MONROE, Dakari), PENALTY BYU pass interference 15 yards to the BYU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 25
OWN 33
+10
80.4%
Riley Burt run for 10 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
80.4%
Jonny Linehan punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 38 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
80.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Walker for 3 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+3
81.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+20
81.2%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Jeremy Kelly for 20 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
80.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the SJSt 48 Tyler Nevens fumbled, forced by Zayne Anderson, recovered by BYU Austin LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:1582% → 89%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
82.3%
KJ Hall run for 1 yd to the SJSt 47Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+26
82.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to KJ Hall for 26 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
82.3%
KJ Hall run for 3 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-1
82.3%
Tanner Mangum run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 19Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
83.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+36
89.0%
Rhett Almond 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 6 yds · 2:1715% → 13%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.3%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
85.5%
Montel Aaron sacked by Morgan Unga for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 23 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, IF ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
86.1%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+10
86.2%
BYU Penalty, Defensive holding (Handsome Tanielu) to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+4
85.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
85.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-10
85.2%
Montel Aaron sacked by Sione Takitaki for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 19
OWN 28
+3
86.1%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+2
87.1%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 51 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 2 yds to the BYU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16END OF HALF
13 plays · 70 yds · 1:4890% → 88%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
90.3%
KJ Hall run for 3 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
90.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to KJ Hall for 12 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
90.2%
Brayden El-Bakri run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
50
+19
90.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 19 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
90.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Beau Tanner, broken up by Alii MatauSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
90.7%
KJ Hall run for 6 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
90.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt Bushman, broken up by William OssaiSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+6
88.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to KJ Hall for 6 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
89.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 21Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+11
89.8%
Tanner Mangum run for 11 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
88.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Micah SimonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Micah Simon for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
88.1%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
87.7%
Tanner Mangum run for 7 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
88.2%
Tanner Mangum run for 3 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
88.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Brayden El-Bakri for 1 yd to the BYU 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
88.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+3
87.4%
Jonny Linehan punt for 40 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 3 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
89.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 13 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
89.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-5
89.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+3
89.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
89.7%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Jeremy KellySimilar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
90.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 59 yds, downed at the BYU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 4:2292% → 99%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+14
92.2%
Squally Canada run for 14 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
93.2%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+9
93.3%
Tanner Mangum run for 9 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
93.3%
Squally Canada run for 8 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
93.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Beau TannerSimilar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
93.3%
Riley Burt run for 1 yd to the BYU 41Similar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
92.9%
Tanner Mangum run for 2 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
93.5%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 44Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
93.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 5 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+42
93.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 42 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.6%
Squally Canada run for 9 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20PUNT
14 plays · 23 yds · 1:162% → 2%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Josh OliverSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.7%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 23Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
97.4%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 11 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
98.3%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 5 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
98.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 9 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+2
97.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.0%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Jeremy KellySimilar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
98.0%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete, broken up by Khyiris TongaSimilar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-7
98.0%
Montel Aaron sacked by Khyiris Tonga for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 48 Montel Aaron fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 19
OWN 48
0
98.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Micah SimonSimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
99.2%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 12Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 9
OWN 12
0
99.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Squally Canada, broken up by William OssaiSimilar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 9
OWN 12
-46
99.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 41 yds , Brandon Ezell returns for a loss of 46 yards to the SJSt 46 Brandon Ezell fumbled, recovered by BYU Zayne AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:5299% → 100%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.3%
Brayden El-Bakri run for 2 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
99.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt Bushman, broken up by Andre ChachereSimilar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+3
99.3%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+41
99.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Micah Simon for 41 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-3
99.8%
Montel Aaron run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 27 Montel Aaron fumbled, recovered by BYU Langi TuifuaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
99.8%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to JJ Nwigwe for 12 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Squally Canada run for no gain to the SJSt 15Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.8%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
99.8%
Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Jonah TrinnamanSimilar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
99.9%
Rhett Almond 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:480% → 0%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Josh Oliver, broken up by Johnny TapusoaSimilar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 6 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 3 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 9 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
DeJon Packer run for 4 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
DeJon Packer run for 10 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Walker for 3 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+30
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Walker for 30 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 26FUMBLE
7 plays · 79 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Riley Burt run for no gain to the BYU 21Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+14
99.9%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Tanner Balderree for 14 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Riley Burt run for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Austin Kafentzis run for 6 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+34
99.9%
Austin Kafentzis run for 34 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
99.9%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 8 yds Neil Pau'u fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by SJStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 27TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:220% → 1%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Morgan UngaSimilar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+21
100.0%
Zamore Zigler run for 21 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 42Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass incomplete to Jeremy KellySimilar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+7
100.0%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 7 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 2
OWN 49
-5
99.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Troy Kowalski) to the SJSt 44Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 7
OWN 44
+9
100.0%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 9 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Austin Liles for 3 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+17
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Austin Liles for 17 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
99.9%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Walker for 16 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
Montel Aaron run for 2 yds to the BYU 9Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Tre Hartley for 9 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:30
Squally Canada run for 9 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q2 10:27
KJ Hall run for 75 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)
+5.1
FG · Q2 5:09
Rhett Almond 36 yd FG GOOD
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com