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BOIS

Boise State 41 at Utah State 14

USU
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:33 · Quinn Skillin punt for 47 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 12 UTAH ST Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Home team on offense−11.6Pregame prior−21.6Score differential−5.1Garbage-time factor−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:58: Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 2 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +4.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:32: Montell Cozart pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 3 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:42: Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 22 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +6.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:12: Montell Cozart pass complete to Jake Roh for 35 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +4.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:29: LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +7.0 pts (now 11%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:00USU 4th & 21 at USU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:59USU 4th & 8 at USU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:23BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:32USU 4th & 7 at BOIS 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:33BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:57USU 4th & 6 at USU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:41BOIS 4th & 17 at BOIS 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:21USU 4th & 11 at USU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00USU 4th & 2 at USU 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:12USU 4th & 8 at BOIS 19, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:26BOIS 4th & 4 at USU 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.9
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:40USU 4th & 13 at BOIS 17, down 21
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−4.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:48BOIS 4th & 6 at USU 10, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:48USU 4th & 10 at USU 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:25BOIS 4th & 7 at USU 40, up 24
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:00USU 4th & 10 at USU 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:30BOIS 4th & 3 at USU 12, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:23USU 4th & 6 at USU 35, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:00BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:12BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:58USU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:32BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:42BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:12BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:29USU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0080% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
20.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 32 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
20.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 2 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+21
20.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 21 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
20.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the UthSt 19Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+19
20.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 19 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
20.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 24Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
20.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 5 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
20.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 11 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
21.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-15
20.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 24Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 26
OWN 24
0
20.9%
Aaren Vaughns pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 26
OWN 24
+5
20.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 5 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 21
OWN 29
+3
20.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 42 yds , Avery Williams returns for 3 yds to the BoiSt 32 BOISE ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the BoiSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:5579% → 81%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
21.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+12
21.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 12 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
21.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
21.0%
Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
50
+17
21.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 17 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
21.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 38Similar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+1
21.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 1 yd to the UthSt 37Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+20
21.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 20 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
21.0%
Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the UthSt 12Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
19.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Octavius Evans for 12 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0621% → 21%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
20.8%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
20.9%
Tre Miller run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
20.9%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to LaJuan Hunt, broken up by Avery WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 8
OWN 46
+46
20.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the UTAHST 15 BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive holding (7 Yards) to the BoiSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
20.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-4
20.0%
MATTISON, Alex rush for no gain to the BSU8 (INGRAM, J.;TE'I, Justus), PENALTY BSU holding 4 yards to the BSU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+7
20.0%
Montell Cozart run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
20.0%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+1
20.1%
Joel Velazquez punt for 41 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 1 yd to the UthSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:5721% → 25%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
21.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 8 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+2
21.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 2 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
21.1%
NATHAN, Jordan rush for loss of 4 yards to the BSU45 (HATADA, Chase), PENALTY BSU face mask 15 yards to the BSU26, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
21.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
21.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+7
21.1%
Jordan Love run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
21.3%
Jordan Love run for no gain to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
21.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 6
OWN 0
0
20.2%
LOVE, Jordan pass incomplete to TERRELL, Carson, PENALTY BSU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY USU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+6
20.1%
LOVE, Jordan pass incomplete to ROBERTS, B., PENALTY BSU pass interference 6 yards to the BSU2, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
24.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 2 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:2677% → 82%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
23.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 13 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
22.4%
Cedrick Wilson run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
22.5%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+23
22.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 23 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
22.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
22.3%
Ryan Wolpin run for 6 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+15
22.3%
COZART, Montell pass incomplete to WILSON, Cedrick, PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the USU17, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
22.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Octavius Evans for 13 yds to the UthSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
22.0%
MATTISON, Alex rush for loss of 1 yard to the USU5 (ANDERSON, Devon;GAJKOWSKI, B.), PENALTY USU offside 2 yards to the USU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
22.0%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.0%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
17.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 3 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
18.9%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
18.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+18
18.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 18 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
19.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+6
19.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-1
19.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 2
OPP 44
-5
19.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
19.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 36 yds , Avery Williams returns for no gain to the BoiSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
17.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-2
17.3%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+4
17.6%
Brett Rypien run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 6
OWN 17
-5
17.8%
Quinn Skillin punt for 47 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 12 UTAH ST Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
17.7%
Tre Miller run for 6 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
18.1%
Tre Miller run for 2 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-4
18.1%
Jordan Love run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 35Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
17.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
16.9%
Cedrick Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
17.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. RichardsonSimilar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-6
17.4%
Montell Cozart sacked by Ofa Latu for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
17.7%
Joel Velazquez punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
18.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 43Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
17.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Savon ScarverSimilar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
17.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for no gain to the UthSt 43Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
17.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 36 yds , Avery Williams returns for no gain to the BoiSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:0784% → 92%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
16.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+24
16.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 24 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
15.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 11 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
15.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 10 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
15.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
15.3%
Ryan Wolpin run for 5 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+1
14.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
14.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
8.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 22 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
14.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
14.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
10.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 8 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
10.6%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
10.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
10.3%
Aaron Dalton punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:3692% → 97%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
8.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 4 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-5
8.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+5
8.4%
RYPIEN, Brett pass incomplete to ROH, Jake, PENALTY USU pass interference 5 yards to the BSU27, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+4
8.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
8.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 9 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
8.0%
Brett Rypien sacked by Deante Fortenberry for a loss of 10 yards to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 20
OWN 30
+4
8.4%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 16
OWN 34
+18
8.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 18 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
7.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 13 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
7.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Alec DhaenensSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
3.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jake Roh for 35 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:434% → 11%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.0%
Eltoro Allen run for 6 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
3.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Eltoro Allen for 3 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
3.9%
Jordan Love run for 11 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+34
4.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 34 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
4.7%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
4.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 2 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
4.5%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan NathanSimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+18
4.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 18 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
3.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+1
3.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-1
3.4%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+1
3.8%
Quinn Skillin punt for 29 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 1 yd to the UthSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 71 yds · 0:505% → 5%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
4.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 15Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+57
4.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 57 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
5.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 14 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
5.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Aaren Vaughns, broken up by Tyler HortonSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-3
5.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 13
OPP 17
0
5.0%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 13
OPP 17
0
4.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Braelon Roberts, broken up by Avery WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 2:5398% → 98%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
2.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 7 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 3
OWN 24
-7
2.1%
Brett Rypien sacked by Deante Fortenberry for a loss of 7 yards to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+15
2.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
2.1%
Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+48
2.0%
Alexander Mattison run for 48 yds to the UthSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
1.9%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
1.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
1.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Cedrick Wilson, broken up by Jalen DavisSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
1.8%
Haden Hoggarth 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
1.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion Tarver, broken up by Avery WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
1.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
1.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+12
1.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for 12 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
1.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-1
1.5%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+1
1.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 1 yd to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
1.7%
Quinn Skillin punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
2.1%
Tre Miller run for 18 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
2.2%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
2.1%
Tre Miller run for no gain to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
2.1%
Jordan Love pass incomplete, broken up by Reid Harrison-DucrosSimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
2.1%
Aaron Dalton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 6:1899% → 100%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
1.0%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-5
1.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+9
1.0%
Ryan Wolpin run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+38
1.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Sean Modster for 38 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
0.9%
Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+2
0.9%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+11
1.0%
Montell Cozart run for 11 yds to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
0.9%
Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the UthSt 16Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
0.9%
Montell Cozart run for 1 yd to the UthSt 15Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+3
0.9%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the UthSt 12Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
0.1%
Haden Hoggarth 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
0.2%
Tre Miller run for 11 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
0.2%
Tre Miller run for 1 yd to the UthSt 32Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
0.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan NathanSimilar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+3
0.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Carson Terrell for 3 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 11
OWN 33
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 12
OWN 32
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:29
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+7
TD · Q2 0:42
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 22 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
-6
TD · Q1 0:58
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 2 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com