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USU

Utah State 52 at UNLV 28

UNLV
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Riley Erickson punt for 39 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 22 yds to the UNLV 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Home team on offense−11.5Score differential−3.4Pregame prior+2.0Garbage-time factor−5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:05: Armani Rogers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +8.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:54: Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 75 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +8.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:28: LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +16.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:38: Jordan Love run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +15.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:15: LaJuan Hunt run for 30 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +16.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 9 of 11USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00USU 4th & 8 at UNLV 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:11UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:00USU 4th & 8 at UNLV 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:49UNLV 4th & 1 at USU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.6%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:51UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:49UNLV 4th & 6 at USU 25, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:54UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:22UNLV 4th & 10 at USU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UNLV 4th & 17 at USU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−2.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:38USU 4th & 3 at UNLV 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−1.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−12.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:38UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:14USU 4th & 3 at USU 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 20, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:53USU 4th & 7 at UNLV 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−7.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:53UNLV 4th & 2 at USU 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%−1.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−7.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:59UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 6:49UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:32UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:56USU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:58UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:51USU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:05UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:54USU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 2:28USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:38USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:15USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:59USU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
58.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 3 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+11
58.2%
Jordan Love run for 11 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
58.2%
Jordan Love run for 12 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
58.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
58.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to LaJuan HuntSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+1
58.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 1 yd to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
58.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 35 yds, downed at the UNLV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
58.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 13 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
58.3%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
58.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 23Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
58.2%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:11
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
58.1%
Riley Erickson punt for 35 yds, downed at the UthSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
57.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 12 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
57.8%
Eltoro Allen run for 2 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
57.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Eltoro AllenSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
57.9%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
58.3%
Aaron Dalton punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:2258% → 62%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
58.4%
Drew Tejchman run for 10 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
58.5%
Armani Rogers run for 26 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
59.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 21 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
59.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
59.1%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 6 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
58.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the UthSt 14Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+14
61.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 14 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
61.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 15 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
61.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+8
60.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 8 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
60.6%
Savon Scarver run for 2 yds to the UNLV 43 Savon Scarver fumbled, forced by Jason Fao, recovered by UNLV Brian KeyesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:1963% → 69%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
62.6%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
62.6%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+8
62.3%
Armani Rogers run for 8 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
62.7%
Armani Rogers run for 8 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+14
62.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 14 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
62.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 16 yds to the UthSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
69.1%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3633% → 38%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+70
62.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 70 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 2:5363% → 72%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
63.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+3
63.2%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 3 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+11
62.8%
Drew Tejchman run for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
64.3%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 19 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
65.1%
Armani Rogers run for 4 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+41
71.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 41 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:5732% → 39%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
68.0%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
68.1%
MYERS, Kent rush for 31 yards to the UNLV0, clock 13:35, PENALTY USU holding (VAN LEEUWEN, Z.) 0 yards to the UNLV31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+8
68.1%
Aaren Vaughns run for 8 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+3
68.4%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
67.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 7 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+13
61.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 13 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
64.7%
Armani Rogers sacked by Devon Anderson for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 20Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
64.4%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Drew Tejchman for 7 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
63.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 12 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
65.4%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
65.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 5 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
65.3%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
64.2%
Riley Erickson punt for 29 yds, downed at the UthSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:0035% → 36%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
65.1%
Jordan Love run for 6 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+4
64.4%
Eltoro Allen run for 4 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
64.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 5 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
63.7%
Eltoro Allen run for 2 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+14
63.8%
Eltoro Allen run for 14 yds to the UNLV 38 Eltoro Allen fumbled, forced by Jocquez Kalili, recovered by UNLV Brian KeyesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:4467% → 76%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+33
67.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 33 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
68.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 7 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-5
68.1%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
68.1%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+2
67.4%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 2 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+6
66.3%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
68.1%
Armani Rogers run for 12 yds to the UthSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
76.4%
Armani Rogers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
67.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 75 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.1%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
67.5%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Lexington ThomasSimilar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
66.5%
Riley Erickson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:3133% → 49%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
66.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 7 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+7
65.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 7 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
65.5%
Gerold Bright run for 6 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+12
64.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 12 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
64.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-7
63.9%
Jordan Love sacked by Jameer Outsey for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+38
67.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 38 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
60.4%
Kurt Palandech run for 8 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
61.2%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
60.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
61.5%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
61.2%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Drew Tejchman, broken up by Cameron HaneySimilar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
59.6%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q2 2:22
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
57.9%
Riley Erickson punt for 37 yds, downed at the UthSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
55.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 11Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+8
55.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18PUNT
14 plays · 38 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
58.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+9
58.5%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 9 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
58.9%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Kendal Keys for 8 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+3
60.8%
Kurt Palandech run for 3 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
60.0%
Kurt Palandech run for 6 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+4
61.4%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
61.4%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
60.8%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 4 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+8
61.0%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Kendal Keys for 8 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
61.9%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
61.8%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-7
60.6%
Kurt Palandech sacked by Suli Tamaivena for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 46
+70
57.2%
Riley Erickson punt for 40 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 70 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:3051% → 65%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
49.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+9
49.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 9 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
49.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Zach Van LeeuwenSimilar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
49.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+5
50.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 5 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+5
35.0%
Jordan Love run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
39.4%
PALANDECH, Kurt pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte, PENALTY USU roughing passer (SCHUSTER, G.) 15 yards to the UNLV44, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-12
41.7%
Kurt Palandech run for 5 yds to the UNLV 49 UNLV Penalty, personal foul (-17 Yards) to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 22
OWN 32
+5
38.7%
Kurt Palandech run for 5 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+2
38.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 15
OWN 39
-5
38.0%
UNLV Penalty, delay of game (Kurt Palandech) to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 20
OWN 34
+13
37.2%
Kurt Palandech run for 13 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
38.6%
Riley Erickson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0067% → 68%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
33.2%
UTAH ST Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 15Similar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+14
33.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 14 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
31.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 7 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
31.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to LaJuan HuntSimilar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
32.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 7 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
30.9%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan NathanSimilar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
32.3%
Aaron Dalton punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4336% → 30%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
35.5%
Kurt Palandech run for 2 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
35.6%
Kurt Palandech run for no gain to the UNLV 15Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+5
33.9%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 5 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+22
30.2%
Riley Erickson punt for 39 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 22 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:4573% → 89%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
27.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
27.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 7 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+30
10.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 30 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.9%
Kurt Palandech run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31 Kurt Palandech fumbled, forced by Mohelika Uasike, recovered by UthSt Deante FortenberrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:1089% → 93%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
10.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+1
10.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 1 yd to the UNLV 24Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+6
10.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
10.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+13
10.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 13 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
10.5%
Jordan Love run for 2 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
10.5%
Justen Hervey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 7Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
10.7%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q4 10:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
7.4%
Dominik Eberle 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26INT
14 plays · 52 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.8%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
6.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr., broken up by Cameron HaneySimilar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
6.7%
PALANDECH, Kurt pass incomplete to KEYS, Kendal, PENALTY USU pass interference (FERGUSON, Gaje) 15 yards to the UNLV40, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
7.3%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 5 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
7.5%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Tim Holt for 3 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+6
7.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
7.7%
Kurt Palandech run for 11 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
8.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
8.4%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Brandon Presley for 3 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+3
8.3%
Kurt Palandech run for 3 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+4
8.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
8.5%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
8.2%
Kurt Palandech pass intercepted Dallin Leavitt return for no gain to the UthSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27TD
19 plays · 94 yds · 6:1195% → 100%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
5.2%
Tre Miller run for 12 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
5.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 13Similar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+10
5.1%
Jordan Love run for 10 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+4
5.2%
Tre Miller run for 4 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
5.3%
Tre Miller run for 3 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
5.1%
Tre Miller run for 1 yd to the UthSt 31Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+18
5.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Alex Byers for 18 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
4.7%
Tre Miller run for 7 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+2
4.6%
Tre Miller run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+6
4.7%
Tre Miller run for 6 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
4.6%
Jordan Love run for 3 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+5
4.6%
UNLV Penalty, offside defense (Kolo Uasike) to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 2
OPP 28
-5
4.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Justus Te'i) to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+6
4.6%
Tre Miller run for 6 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+8
4.8%
Tre Miller run for 8 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
4.6%
Tre Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+1
4.7%
Tre Miller run for 1 yd to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+13
4.8%
Justen Hervey run for 13 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.4%
Justen Hervey run for 7 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 28INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.7%
Kurt Palandech run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
0.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Kendal Keys for 8 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
0.7%
Kurt Palandech pass intercepted Ofa Latu return for 3 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:15
LaJuan Hunt run for 30 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-16.3
TD · Q2 2:28
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-16.1
TD · Q3 6:38
Jordan Love run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com