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WYO

Wyoming 14 at Boise State 24

BOIS
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:31 · Haden Hoggarth 29 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+30.2Home team on offense−1.5Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score differential−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 0:17: Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Fort for 20 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +26.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:17: Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 8 yds to the Wyom 49 — BOIS win probability +7.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 10:40: Montell Cozart run for 4 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +22.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:40: Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29 — WYO win probability +5.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:35: Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 24 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +12.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WYO 4th & 1 at BOIS 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:31BOIS 4th & 11 at WYO 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:31WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:41BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:18BOIS 4th & 4 at WYO 6, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.3%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−5.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:18WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:45BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:51WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:36BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00BOIS 4th & 2 at WYO 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    66.9%−1.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−7.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:40WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:35WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:24BOIS 4th & 1 at WYO 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−0.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:46WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:15WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:16BOIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:17WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:40BOIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:35BOIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:4515% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
84.8%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin FortSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
84.8%
Josh Allen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+12
84.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 12 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
84.8%
Trey Woods run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
84.8%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to James Price, broken up by Avery WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+4
84.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 4 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
84.8%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+30
84.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 30 yds to the BoiSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
84.8%
Trey Woods run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 3
0
84.8%
Trey Woods run for no gain to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
84.8%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.8%
Josh Allen run for no gain to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.5%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:4482% → 80%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
82.1%
Brett Rypien run for 12 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+22
82.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 22 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
82.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 15 yds to the Wyom 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
82.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+3
82.5%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-6
82.3%
Brett Rypien sacked by Carl Granderson for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 12Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
79.7%
Haden Hoggarth 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
79.5%
Trey Woods run for 3 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
79.4%
Josh Allen run for 12 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
79.2%
Trey Woods run for 2 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
79.2%
Austin Conway run for 1 yd to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
79.1%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+2
79.5%
Tim Zaleski punt for 43 yds , Avery Williams returns for 2 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
77.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-10
77.9%
RYPIEN, Brett pass complete to MODSTER, Sean for 7 yards to the BSU32, PENALTY BSU holding (QUEVEDO, Eric) 10 yards to the BSU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+9
77.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 9 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
77.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. Richardson, broken up by Rico GaffordSimilar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
77.3%
Quinn Skillin punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5INT
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:4824% → 26%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
75.6%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
75.8%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to C.J. Johnson, broken up by Avery WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 9
OPP 0
+17
75.0%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive holding (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
75.0%
Trey Woods run for no gain to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+46
74.3%
Josh Allen pass intercepted DeAndre Pierce return for 46 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:2577% → 77%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
76.7%
Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
76.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 5 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+9
76.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jake Roh for 9 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
77.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (Logan Wilson) to the Wyom 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
77.2%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
77.2%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+4
76.6%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
76.7%
Haden Hoggarth 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
75.4%
Trey Woods run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
75.2%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin FortSimilar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+2
75.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 2 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+12
76.2%
Tim Zaleski punt for 44 yds , Avery Williams returns for 12 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
75.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Alexander MattisonSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
74.9%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
74.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+38
73.8%
Joel Velazquez punt for 38 yds, downed at the BOISEST 29 WYOMING Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:5726% → 30%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
73.8%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
73.9%
Josh Allen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+13
74.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Nico Evans for 13 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
72.8%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+1
72.9%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
69.1%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin Conway, broken up by Kekaula KanihoSimilar
Q2 5:51
4TH & 8
OWN 49
+2
70.5%
Tim Zaleski punt for 38 yds , Avery Williams returns for 2 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
70.8%
Montell Cozart run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
71.2%
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+6
72.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jake Roh for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
73.0%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
72.9%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-1
72.2%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
70.6%
Quinn Skillin punt for 37 yds, downed at the Wyom 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11END OF HALF
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:4834% → 36%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
66.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 7 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+19
65.8%
Josh Allen run for 19 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
64.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 4 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-6
64.2%
Josh Allen sacked by Jabril Frazier for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 42Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+13
66.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 13 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
63.1%
Josh Allen pass incomplete, broken up by Jabril FrazierSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-6
63.7%
Josh Allen sacked by Chase Hatada for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12TD
19 plays · 71 yds · 9:4468% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
67.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 2 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+8
67.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 8 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
68.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Alexander MattisonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
68.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 7 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+8
69.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 8 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
70.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Alec DhaenensSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
70.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 1 yd to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+13
69.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 13 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
71.7%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 33
-5
71.6%
Montell Cozart sacked by Carl Granderson for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 38
+14
68.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 14 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+4
68.8%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
71.7%
Montell Cozart run for 5 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
71.7%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+4
70.2%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds to the Wyom 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
71.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 3 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
71.7%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
77.4%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5927% → 58%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.1%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin FortSimilar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.2%
Trey Woods run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
73.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 9 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
71.1%
Austin Conway run for 8 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+14
69.4%
Josh Allen run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
69.4%
Trey Woods run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+1
67.8%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+15
70.2%
Josh Allen run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
68.6%
Josh Allen sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q3 0:17
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+20
42.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Fort for 20 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:3756% → 82%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
55.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 8 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+7
57.1%
Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
57.1%
Montell Cozart sacked by Robert Priester for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+18
54.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 18 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
59.6%
Montell Cozart run for 5 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+4
59.6%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
57.2%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
59.6%
Ryan Wolpin run for 6 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+5
59.6%
Montell Cozart run for 5 yds to the Wyom 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
82.2%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.6%
Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
72.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
74.3%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+16
75.7%
Tim Zaleski punt for 35 yds , Avery Williams returns for 16 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:1481% → 93%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
80.6%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+22
80.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 22 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
92.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 24 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Trey WoodsSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.2%
Josh Allen run for 7 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
91.8%
Tim Zaleski punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 5:1492% → 95%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
92.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
50
+12
92.8%
Ryan Wolpin run for 12 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
92.9%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+7
92.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 7 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+13
92.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 13 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
93.3%
Brett Rypien run for 2 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+4
93.3%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+3
92.9%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 1
OPP 12
-1
95.2%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:335% → 3%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
95.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Nico Evans for 7 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 3
OWN 20
-9
94.8%
Josh Allen sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 11Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+10
96.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 10 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 2
OWN 21
+3
96.7%
Josh Allen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.5%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin Conway, broken up by Tyler HortonSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
96.6%
Josh Allen pass intercepted Avery Williams return for no gain to the BoiSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
96.8%
Brett Rypien run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
96.7%
TEAM run for no gain to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-1
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:17
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Fort for 20 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
-26.1
TD · Q4 10:40
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
+22.5
TD · Q4 8:35
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 24 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
+12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com