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WYO

Wyoming 28 at Utah State 23

USU
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:54 · Tim Zaleski punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Home team on offense+5.4Pregame prior+2.7Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:41: Aaren Vaughns pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 29 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +7.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:46: Jordan Love pass intercepted for a TD Kevin Prosser return for 28 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +15.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q4 12:40: DJ Nelson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +21.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:45: Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 28 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +46.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. SAFETY · Q4 0:37: Carl Granderson Safety — WYO win probability +7.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00USU 4th & 11 at USU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:29USU 4th & 4 at WYO 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:58WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:58WYO 4th & 4 at USU 4, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:19USU 4th & 9 at WYO 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00WYO 4th & 4 at USU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    43.0%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:14WYO 4th & 1 at USU 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    41.2%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:41WYO 4th & 18 at WYO 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−2.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:30WYO 4th & 5 at USU 49, down 4
    Close callPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:54WYO 4th & 11 at WYO 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:59WYO 4th & 14 at USU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:40USU 4th & 3 at WYO 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−2.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−20.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:51WYO 4th & 11 at USU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−5.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−14.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:44USU 4th & 4 at USU 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−3.0
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:06WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.7%−7.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:27WYO 4th & 1 at USU 41, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 10.3 ptsPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%−10.0
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%−10.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 9:14WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:41USU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:46WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:40USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:45WYO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
55.6%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+10
55.6%
Kent Myers run for 10 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
55.6%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
55.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
55.6%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
55.6%
Aaron Dalton punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
55.7%
Josh Allen pass intercepted Dallin Leavitt return for no gain to the Wyom 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4556% → 56%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
56.0%
Kent Myers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+2
56.0%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+6
56.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 6 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
56.3%
Dominik Eberle 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:3144% → 43%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.2%
Trey Woods run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
56.3%
Trey Woods run for no gain to the Wyom 28Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
56.5%
Josh Allen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
56.6%
WYOMING Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
56.7%
Tim Zaleski punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
56.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Tre Miller for 8 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+1
57.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 1 yd to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+1
56.8%
Tre Miller run for 1 yd to the UthSt 42 Tre Miller fumbled, forced by Cassh Maluia, recovered by Wyom Andrew WingardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:4044% → 45%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
56.2%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
56.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 9 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+8
56.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 8 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
55.8%
Trey Woods run for 9 yds to the UthSt 16Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+10
55.8%
Trey Woods run for 10 yds to the UthSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
55.8%
Trey Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 7Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
55.8%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Trey WoodsSimilar
Q1 8:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
56.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Nico Evans for 3 yds to the UthSt 4Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
55.3%
Cooper Rothe 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:3956% → 58%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
56.1%
Kent Myers run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 21Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+15
56.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 15 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
56.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 12 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
57.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
57.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+4
57.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 4 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
57.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 11 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
57.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the Wyom 29Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+15
57.5%
MYERS, Kent pass incomplete to TERRELL, Carson, PENALTY WY pass interference 15 yards to the WY14, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
57.6%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 13Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
57.6%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
57.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
58.0%
Dominik Eberle 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8TD
15 plays · 68 yds · 5:5942% → 47%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+28
57.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Josh Harshman for 28 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
56.5%
Trey Woods run for 2 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-11
56.5%
Josh Allen sacked by Suli Tamaivena for a loss of 11 yards to the UthSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 49
+15
58.0%
Josh Allen pass complete to Nico Evans for 15 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+16
57.6%
Josh Allen run for 16 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
55.7%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+3
55.9%
Trey Woods run for 3 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 20
-8
56.0%
Josh Allen sacked by Suli Tamaivena for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 28
+23
57.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 23 yds to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
55.7%
Trey Woods run for no gain to the UthSt 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
55.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Trey Woods, broken up by Ja'Marcus IngramSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
56.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 4 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.8%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd for a TD UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Cooper Rothe PAT MISSED)Similar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
52.6%
WYOMING Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Wyom 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:2753% → 64%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
52.9%
Savon Scarver run for 5 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+22
54.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Carson Terrell for 22 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
55.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
55.3%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to LaJuan HuntSimilar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+7
54.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 7 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
56.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the Wyom 29Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+29
63.7%
Aaren Vaughns pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 29 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
61.2%
Trey Woods run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 22Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
61.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tyree MayfieldSimilar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
62.5%
Josh Allen sacked by Jalen Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 17Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
63.2%
Tim Zaleski punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
63.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 7 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
64.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+5
63.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
64.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 1 yd to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
64.0%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+6
63.0%
Jordan Love pass intercepted Carl Granderson return for 6 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
59.6%
Trey Woods run for 7 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-2
58.9%
Trey Woods run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 49Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
59.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete, broken up by Suli TamaivenaSimilar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
61.4%
Tim Zaleski punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 2:0763% → 69%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
62.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 13 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
62.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 14 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
64.0%
LOVE, Jordan rush for 4 yards to the USU43, out-of-bounds, PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the USU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+14
62.7%
Aaren Vaughns run for 14 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+29
65.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 29 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
66.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for 21 yds to the Wyom 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-15
67.6%
LOVE, Jordan pass complete to TARVER, R. for 7 yards to the WY0, clock 00:41, PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the WY22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 0
OPP 22
0
67.2%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 0
OPP 22
0
67.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Savon ScarverSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 0
OPP 22
-10
64.8%
Jordan Love sacked by Marcus Epps for a loss of 10 yards to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 0
OPP 32
+49
69.3%
Dominik Eberle 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
69.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
68.0%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
68.2%
Trey Woods run for 5 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+5
68.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 5 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
67.4%
Trey Woods run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+14
67.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
50
-12
65.2%
Josh Allen run for a loss of 12 yards to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 22
OWN 38
+6
67.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Trey Woods for 6 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 16
OWN 44
+5
68.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Nico Evans for 5 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
69.0%
Tim Zaleski punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16INT TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3871% → 55%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
70.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+9
70.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 9 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
71.0%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Braelon Roberts, broken up by Rico GaffordSimilar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
70.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+28
55.4%
Jordan Love pass intercepted for a TD Kevin Prosser return for 28 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
57.2%
Eltoro Allen run for 15 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
59.5%
Jordan Love run for 2 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
59.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
57.3%
Jordan Love pass intercepted Rico Gafford return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0050% → 45%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
50
+16
49.9%
Josh Allen run for 16 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
48.8%
Josh Allen pass complete to Milo Hall for 4 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-10
48.3%
WOODS, Trey rush for 17 yards to the USU13 (LARSEN, Derek;TAMAIVENA, Suli), PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the USU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+4
51.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 4 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 12
OPP 36
-5
52.1%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 17
OPP 41
-10
53.2%
ALLEN, Josh rush for 10 yards to the USU31 (FERGUSON, Gaje), PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the WY49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 27
OWN 49
+13
53.5%
Josh Allen run for 13 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 14
OPP 38
+10
55.0%
Tim Zaleski punt for 29 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 10 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
20 plays · 81 yds · 7:0757% → 83%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
56.9%
MYERS, Kent pass incomplete to TARVER, R., PENALTY WY pass interference 10 yards to the USU29, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
57.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 8 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+6
59.9%
Kent Myers run for 6 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
60.1%
Kent Myers sacked by Garrett Crall for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+17
56.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 17 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
60.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 3 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
61.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Savon ScarverSimilar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-10
61.2%
MYERS, Kent pass incomplete to MILLER, Tre (WILSON, Logan), PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the USU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+4
57.9%
Tre Miller run for 4 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 16
OWN 49
+17
55.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 17 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
62.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
62.7%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+20
60.7%
Kent Myers run for 20 yds to the Wyom 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
62.7%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
62.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
61.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the Wyom 4Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+4
83.3%
DJ Nelson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:4921% → 32%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
79.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 26 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
75.2%
Josh Allen run for 5 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
72.5%
Trey Woods run for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
73.4%
Kellen Overstreet run for 7 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+11
74.5%
Josh Allen run for 11 yds to the UthSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-4
72.5%
Josh Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 15Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 14
OPP 15
+3
74.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Kellen Overstreet for 3 yds to the UthSt 12Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
75.4%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
68.0%
Cooper Rothe 29 yd FG GOOD UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0073% → 70%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
72.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Eltoro Allen, broken up by Jalen OrtizSimilar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
72.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Carson Terrell for 3 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+3
71.0%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 4
OWN 21
+41
69.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 41 yds , Austin Conway returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:2132% → 83%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
67.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 4 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
65.8%
Trey Woods run for 5 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
65.6%
Josh Allen run for no gain to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+6
67.6%
Nico Evans run for 6 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
63.8%
Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+19
64.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Josh Harshman for 19 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
17.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 28 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0035% → 41%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
34.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 10 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
38.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 7 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-1
40.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line LaJuan Hunt fumbled, forced by Conner Cain, recovered by Wyom Cassh Maluia , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0484% → 81%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
50
+5
15.9%
Josh Allen run for 5 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
15.7%
Josh Allen run for 4 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
15.7%
Kellen Overstreet run for no gain to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
18.6%
Tim Zaleski punt for 34 yds, downed at the UthSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25SF
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:1218% → 10%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
17.7%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Aaren VaughnsSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 7
-7
10.1%
Carl Granderson SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:45
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 28 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
-46.5
TD · Q4 12:40
DJ Nelson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+21.8
TD · Q3 8:46
Jordan Love pass intercepted for a TD Kevin Prosser return for 28 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
-15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com