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CSU

Colorado State 27 at Utah State 14

USU
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:08 · Ryan Stonehouse punt blocked by DJ Nelson blocked by DJ Nelson DJ Nelson return for 20 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Home team on offense−16.1Pregame prior−17.0Score differential−7.4Garbage-time factor−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:44: Izzy Matthews run for 5 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +5.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:36: Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 20 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:31: Timeout UTAH ST, clock 00:31 — USU win probability +4.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:17: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 18 — CSU win probability +8.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:37: Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 22 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — USU win probability +5.0 pts (now 7%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11CSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00USU 4th & 7 at USU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:07USU 4th & 11 at USU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:06CSU 4th & 10 at USU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    69.1%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:59USU 4th & 4 at USU 30, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00USU 4th & 13 at USU 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:29USU 4th & 10 at USU 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:08CSU 4th & 12 at CSU 43, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:08CSU 4th & 4 at CSU 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:38USU 4th & 4 at USU 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:49CSU 4th & 2 at CSU 41, up 17
    Close callPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:31USU 4th & 9 at CSU 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 34, up 17
    Close callPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:17USU 4th & 9 at CSU 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:35CSU 4th & 6 at USU 28, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−4.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:35USU 4th & 9 at CSU 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:45CSU 4th & 2 at USU 2, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−4.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:45USU 4th & 21 at USU 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:32CSU 4th & 4 at USU 31, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:21USU 4th & 13 at USU 43, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:57CSU 4th & 5 at USU 38, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1CSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:14CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:44CSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:36CSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:37USU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
24.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-3
24.1%
Kent Myers sacked by Arjay Jean for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
24.1%
Kent Myers run for 7 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
24.1%
Aaron Dalton punt for 32 yds, downed at the ColSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:2275% → 75%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
24.7%
STEVENS, N. pass complete to DAWKINS, D. for 32 yards to the USU28 (HANEY, Cameron;FERGUSON, Gaje), PENALTY CSU holding 10 yards to the CSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+22
24.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 22 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
24.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 13 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
24.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 6 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 4
OPP 29
-5
24.6%
DAWKINS, D. rush for 5 yards to the USU24 (TAMAIVENA, Suli;WILDMAN, Jacoby), PENALTY CSU illegal formation 5 yards to the USU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+2
24.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+15
24.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 15 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
24.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the UthSt 15Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
24.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Cameron Butler for 15 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
25.1%
MYERS, Kent pass incomplete to ALLEN, Eltoro (HICKS, J.), PENALTY CSU personal foul 15 yards to the USU33, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
25.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+1
25.1%
Eltoro Allen run for 1 yd to the UthSt 32Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
25.0%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+13
24.9%
Aaron Dalton punt for 46 yds , Olabisi Johnson returns for 13 yds to the ColSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 4FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:4175% → 75%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
25.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 1 yd to the ColSt 36Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+9
24.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 9 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
24.7%
Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the ColSt 45Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
24.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 11 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
24.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Adam Prentice for 16 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
24.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+10
24.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 10 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
24.6%
Nick Stevens run for no gain to the UthSt 15Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
24.6%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Detrich ClarkSimilar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
24.8%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Cameron ButlerSimilar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
25.4%
Wyatt Bryan 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
25.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 25Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
25.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+1
25.7%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+50
25.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Olabisi Johnson at the UTAHST 30 COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the ColSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:3575% → 81%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
25.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 5 yds to the ColSt 25Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+25
25.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 10 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
50
+26
24.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 26 yds to the UthSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
24.6%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+19
24.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 19 yds to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
18.8%
Izzy Matthews run for 5 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:4420% → 20%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
20.2%
Jordan Love run for 11 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
20.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Dax Raymond for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
19.9%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
19.8%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
19.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:0081% → 89%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
19.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 15Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+17
19.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 17 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
18.9%
STEVENS, N. pass incomplete to GALLUP, M., PENALTY USU pass interference 13 yards to the CSU45, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
18.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 8 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
18.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
18.4%
Izzy Matthews run for 6 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
18.4%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q2 14:36
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
18.5%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
18.4%
Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
15.9%
Detrich Clark run for no gain to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+14
16.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 14 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
11.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 20 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
13.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 31Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+7
13.7%
Kent Myers run for 7 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 4
OWN 38
-6
14.2%
Kent Myers sacked by Emmanuel Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 32Similar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+5
13.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 49 yds , Olabisi Johnson returns for 5 yds to the ColSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10PUNT TD
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0288% → 84%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
12.3%
Nick Stevens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 26Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+4
12.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 4 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+15
12.5%
STEVENS, N. pass incomplete to DAWKINS, D., PENALTY USU roughing passer 15 yards to the CSU45, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
11.8%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Dalyn DawkinsSimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-2
11.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 43Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 12
OWN 43
0
12.4%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 12
OWN 43
+20
16.0%
Ryan Stonehouse punt blocked by DJ Nelson blocked by DJ Nelson DJ Nelson return for 20 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
15.6%
DAWKINS, D. rush for 2 yards to the CSU27 (TOGIAI, Ian;LARSEN, Derek), PENALTY CSU holding 10 yards to the CSU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+2
15.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the ColSt 17Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+2
15.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the ColSt 19Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+12
16.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 12 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
16.0%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 54 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 3 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
17.1%
Kent Myers run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 24 Kent Myers fumbled, forced by Arjay Jean, recovered by UthSt Ron'quavion Tarver , return for 9 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
17.2%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
16.9%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Ron'quavion Tarver, broken up by Anthony HawkinsSimilar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
16.9%
Aaron Dalton punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Olabisi Johnson at the ColSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:2285% → 87%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
14.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 11 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
14.6%
Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the ColSt 33Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
14.7%
Izzy Matthews run for 7 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+1
14.3%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 41Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+7
13.0%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 42 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 7 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 1:0916% → 22%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
16.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 5 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
16.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+11
15.9%
Kent Myers run for 11 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
16.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Eltoro Allen for 7 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
17.3%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Jordan NathanSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
17.1%
MYERS, Kent pass incomplete to BYERS, Alex, PENALTY CSU offside 5 yards to the CSU48, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
17.4%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-7
17.3%
Kent Myers sacked by Emmanuel Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+8
22.1%
Kent Myers run for 8 yds to the ColSt 47Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
21.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
13.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
14.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+13
14.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 13 yds to the ColSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
14.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
15.0%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 62 yds, downed at the UthSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 51 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
14.6%
Kent Myers run for 7 yds to the UthSt 11Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+1
14.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 12Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+8
14.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
14.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 7 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+3
15.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 3 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
14.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 5 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
15.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+19
15.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 19 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
16.4%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the ColSt 43Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
16.3%
Eltoro Allen run for 3 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-5
16.4%
Kent Myers sacked by Jakob Buys for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 45Similar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
15.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 41 yds, downed at the ColSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18MISSED FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:3688% → 92%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+22
11.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 22 yds to the ColSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
11.5%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+1
11.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 27Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+10
11.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 10 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
11.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 18 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
10.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 7 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
10.3%
Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
10.5%
Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
10.4%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+1
10.2%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the UthSt 28Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
10.4%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
8.2%
Wyatt Bryan 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
11.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 8 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+17
11.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Eltoro Allen for 17 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
12.6%
Kent Myers sacked by Evan Colorito and Arjay Jean for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 45Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 18
OWN 45
-5
11.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 23
OWN 40
+14
11.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 14 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
12.3%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
11.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Olabisi Johnson at the ColSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20FG
14 plays · 88 yds · 5:1793% → 98%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
7.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+25
7.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 25 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
7.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 9 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
6.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
6.7%
Izzy Matthews run for 9 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+7
6.4%
Izzy Matthews run for 7 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
6.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
6.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+23
6.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 23 yds to the UthSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
6.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 16 Dalyn Dawkins fumbled, forced by Gasetoto Schuster, recovered by ColSt Colby MeeksSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+14
6.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 14 yds to the UthSt 2Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
3.7%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup, broken up by Jalen DavisSimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
1.7%
Wyatt Bryan 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
2.4%
Kent Myers sacked by Richard King and Arjay Jean for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 24Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+26
2.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 11 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
50
0
2.6%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Damion HobbsSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 10
50
-11
2.6%
Kent Myers sacked by Caleb Smith for a loss of 11 yards to the UthSt 39 UTAH ST Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 21
OWN 39
0
2.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Alex ByersSimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 21
OWN 39
0
2.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Olabisi Johnson at the ColSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:3299% → 99%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+33
1.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 33 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
1.3%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+4
1.3%
Darius May run for 4 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+1
1.4%
Darius May run for 1 yd to the UthSt 31Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 4
OPP 31
0
0.6%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Dalyn DawkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:511% → 7%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
1.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Eltoro Allen for 6 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+6
1.2%
Kent Myers run for 6 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
1.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Eltoro Allen for 6 yds to the UthSt 49 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 14
OWN 39
+16
1.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Carson Terrell for 16 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
1.3%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
1.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Eltoro Allen for 9 yds to the ColSt 36Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+11
1.4%
Eltoro Allen run for 11 yds to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
1.5%
Eltoro Allen run for 3 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
6.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 22 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:154% → 3%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
4.3%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'quavion Tarver, broken up by Justin SweetSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
4.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 43Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 13
OWN 43
0
3.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'quavion Tarver, broken up by Jordan FogalSimilar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
3.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Savon Scarver, broken up by Justin SweetSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:1299% → 99%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
1.4%
Rashaad Boddie run for 5 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-1
1.3%
Rashaad Boddie run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+1
1.3%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
1.4%
Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
1.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 12 yds to the UthSt 47 lat. to Jordan Nathan for 10 yds to the UthSt 47 lat. to LaJuan Hunt for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 47 lat. to Kent Myers for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:17
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 18
-8.2
TD · Q1 0:44
Izzy Matthews run for 5 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)
-5.8
TD · Q4 1:37
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 22 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
+5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com