Try the model
SJSU

San José State 13 at UNLV 41

UNLV
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Sam Boyd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Riley Erickson punt for 12 yds, downed at the SJSt 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Pregame prior+10.8Home team on offense+34.3Score differential+26.7Garbage-time factor+10.4Blowout margin+11.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:50: Lexington Thomas run for 56 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +4.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:36: Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 44 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +5.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:20: Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:09: Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 11 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +3.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:29: Armani Rogers pass complete to Trevor Kanteman for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez PAT MISSED) — UNLV win probability +2.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 4SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 9:16SJSU 4th & 8 at UNLV 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:19SJSU 4th & 9 at UNLV 35, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UNLV 4th & 4 at SJSU 49, up 11
    Close callPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:23SJSU 4th & 5 at UNLV 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:53SJSU 4th & 5 at UNLV 5, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.7%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:49SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 38, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:29SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 23, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:36UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 45, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:43SJSU 4th & 2 at UNLV 19, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 8 at SJSU 40, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:44SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 47, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:29UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 19, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:28UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:50UNLV Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:50UNLV Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:36UNLV Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:20UNLV Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:09SJSU Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:29UNLV Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3287% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 8 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+26
87.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Tim Holt for 26 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
87.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 16 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
86.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+1
86.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the SJSt 21Similar
Q1 14:24
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+7
86.8%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 7 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
86.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 8 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 2
OPP 6
-5
86.9%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 11Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+4
86.9%
Armani Rogers run for 4 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
86.8%
Armani Rogers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:0714% → 14%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
86.5%
Zamore Zigler run for 16 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+40
86.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 25 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
86.3%
ZIGLER, Zamore rush for loss of 1 yard to the UNLV15 (KALILI, Jocquez), PENALTY SJ holding (GONZALEZ, Chris) 10 yards to the UNLV24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+6
86.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 6 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+7
86.4%
Josh Love run for 7 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 7
OPP 11
-1
86.4%
Josh Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 12Similar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+28
85.9%
Bryce Crawford 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2686% → 87%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 9 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
85.9%
Brandon Presley run for 13 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
85.9%
Armani Rogers run for 4 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
86.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 5 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
86.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
86.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 16 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
86.1%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+1
86.1%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+12
86.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Kendal Keys for 12 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
86.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.1%
Armani Rogers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 2:2613% → 14%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
86.9%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 3 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
86.9%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+9
87.0%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 9 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
86.8%
Brandon Monroe run for no gain to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
86.9%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+23
87.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 23 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
86.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 13 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
86.3%
Malike Roberson run for 1 yd to the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
86.1%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
86.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+52
86.5%
Bryce Crawford 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1987% → 87%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
86.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 10 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
86.9%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-6
86.8%
Armani Rogers sacked by Frank Ginda for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+10
86.5%
Armani Rogers run for 10 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
86.5%
Riley Erickson punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6FG
20 plays · 75 yds · 5:3414% → 14%
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
86.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 12 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
86.3%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 6 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-5
86.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+2
86.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+10
86.5%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 10 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
86.1%
Josh Love run for 2 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
86.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+23
86.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 8 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, player disqualification (Jocquez Kalili) to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
85.5%
DeJon Packer run for 5 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
85.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Hartley SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
85.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+6
86.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for 6 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
86.0%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
86.0%
Malike Roberson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+7
86.4%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to HARTLEY, Tre, PENALTY UNLV holding (JACKSON, Robert) 7 yards to the UNLV7, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
86.0%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
86.0%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
86.4%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
85.6%
Bryce Crawford 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0386% → 90%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 15 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
86.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+56
90.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 56 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
89.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
88.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.9%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
89.0%
Malike Roberson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+1
89.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 1 yd to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
89.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jericho Flowers at the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:3991% → 96%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+11
90.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 11 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
90.5%
Armani Rogers run for 21 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
96.2%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 44 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
95.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
95.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete, broken up by Brian KeyesSimilar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
95.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
95.4%
Jackson Burrill punt blocked by Johnny Stanton, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 4 blocked by Johnny StantonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:4596% → 99%
Q2 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
96.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 2:021% → 5%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.0%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+7
99.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 7 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 9 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+10
98.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 10 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
98.9%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+10
99.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for 10 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
98.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 17 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
98.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
95.0%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 11 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.6%
TEAM run for no gain to the UNLV 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14INT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
95.5%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 4 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+13
95.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 13 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
95.2%
ZIGLER, Zamore rush for 5 yards to the SJ44 (BAKER, Dalton), PENALTY SJ illegal motion (ZIGLER, Zamore) 5 yards to the SJ34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+17
95.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 17 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
95.1%
Josh Love pass intercepted Chauncey Scissum return for 6 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.6%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
96.6%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
96.5%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+2
96.1%
Riley Erickson punt for 38 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 2 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 61 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+19
96.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 19 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
95.8%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
50
+8
95.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+5
95.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
95.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 10 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
95.4%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 5 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-5
95.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Tre Walker) to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
95.6%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+9
96.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for 9 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-1
95.7%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:5497% → 100%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
97.2%
Armani Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+5
97.1%
Armani Rogers run for 5 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+9
97.1%
Armani Rogers run for 9 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
97.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+12
97.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 12 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
97.4%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 11 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
97.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
97.4%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 13 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
97.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 10 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
97.4%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the SJSt 3Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Trevor Kanteman for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
99.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+21
99.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 21 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.7%
Malike Roberson run for 4 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
99.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+10
99.7%
Josh Love pass intercepted, touchback. Jericho Flowers return for no gain UNLV Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Javin White)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+36
99.8%
Evan Owens run for 36 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Evan Owens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-2
99.8%
Armani Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
50
+8
99.8%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 8 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
99.8%
OWENS, Evan rush for 7 yards to the SJ35 (HAWKINS, Chandl;OSSAI, William), PENALTY UNLV holding (JACOBSON, Natha) 3 yards to the SJ45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 13
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Drew TejchmanSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+5
99.8%
Armani Rogers run for 5 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Riley Erickson punt for 12 yds, downed at the SJSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 13 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Zamore ZiglerSimilar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete, broken up by Bailey LaolagiSimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Josh Love run for 6 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Evan Owens run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-3
99.9%
Armani Rogers sacked by Jamal Scott for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 19Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+48
99.9%
Riley Erickson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSU 43 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, roughing the kicker (10 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 67 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 28 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Josh Oliver for 8 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+4
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 6 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 4 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the UNLV 2Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the UNLV 1 Tyler Nevens fumbled, forced by Gabe McCoy, recovered by UNLV Salanoa-Alo Wily , return for 1 yd to the UNLV 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23END OF GAME
10 plays · 96 yds · 4:33100% → 100%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
99.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+1
99.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 5Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+53
99.9%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 53 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
99.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 11 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 5 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+24
99.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 24 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 2Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:36
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 44 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q2 7:50
Lexington Thomas run for 56 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)
+4
TD · Q2 0:09
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 11 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com