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USU

Utah State 61 at San José State 10

SJSU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:24 · Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:26: LaJuan Hunt run for 29 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:15: Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 19 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +5.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:44: Kent Myers pass complete to Gerold Bright for 43 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +9.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:04: Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 23 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +5.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:35: Kent Myers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10USU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:26USU 4th & 1 at SJSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:26SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:22USU 4th & 5 at USU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:19SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:15SJSU 4th & 23 at SJSU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−1.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:44USU 4th & 3 at SJSU 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−1.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    63.4%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:58SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:00USU 4th & 2 at SJSU 6, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:52SJSU 4th & 29 at SJSU 29, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:42USU 4th & 12 at USU 44, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:55USU 4th & 5 at midfield, up 38
    Close callPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:35SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 23, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:07USU 4th & 14 at SJSU 35, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:38SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 32, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:15SJSU 4th & 10 at USU 36, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:15USU 4th & 12 at USU 23, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:41SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 45, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:32USU 4th & 2 at SJSU 33, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:50USU 4th & 2 at SJSU 2, up 45
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:24USU 4th & 1 at SJSU 11, up 48
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:26USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:15USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:44USU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:04USU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:35USU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:38USU Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:51SJSU Touchdown, down 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.7%
Zamore Zigler run for no gain to the SJSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
42.7%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
42.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 11 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
42.7%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2INT
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
43.1%
Eltoro Allen run for 5 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+6
43.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 6 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
43.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 20 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+28
42.9%
Kent Myers pass intercepted Andre Chachere return for 28 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
43.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 41Similar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
43.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+16
43.5%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 16 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
43.8%
Zamore Zigler run for no gain to the UthSt 39 Zamore Zigler fumbled, forced by Chase Christiansen, recovered by UthSt Jacoby WildmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:3257% → 58%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
43.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 12 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
43.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 9 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+2
43.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 2 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
43.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 1 yd to the SJSt 37Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
43.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 4 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
43.2%
Kent Myers run for 4 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+29
41.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 29 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.2%
Malike Roberson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-4
42.5%
Malike Roberson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
42.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Cameron HaneySimilar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
41.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
41.7%
Eltoro Allen run for 5 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
41.5%
Eltoro Allen run for no gain to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
41.7%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
42.0%
Aaron Dalton punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
41.8%
Malike Roberson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+13
42.2%
Malike Roberson run for 13 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
42.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 3 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
42.5%
Malike Roberson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
42.5%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
42.1%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 31 yds, downed at the UthSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:2159% → 65%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
41.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 15 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
41.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
40.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+6
40.8%
Eltoro Allen run for 6 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
40.5%
ALLEN, Eltoro rush up middle for 2 yards to the SJ47 (BRIDGES, Bryson), PENALTY SJ 12 men on the field 5 yards to the SJ44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 5
OPP 44
+10
40.5%
Jordan Nathan run for 10 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
40.5%
Kent Myers run for 4 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+11
40.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for 11 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
40.4%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
40.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'quavion Tarver, broken up by Trevon BierriaSimilar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+19
35.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 19 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
36.3%
Josh Love run for 12 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
36.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
36.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-11
36.5%
Josh Love sacked by Baron Gajkowski for a loss of 11 yards to the SJSt 24 Josh Love fumbled, recovered by SJSt Malike Roberson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 23
OWN 24
0
36.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 37 yds, downed at the UthSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:5966% → 76%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
34.2%
Kent Myers run for 4 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+7
34.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
33.6%
Eltoro Allen run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-8
33.6%
Kent Myers sacked by Bryson Bridges for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 44
-5
34.2%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 39
+18
34.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Carson Terrell for 18 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+43
24.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Gerold Bright for 43 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11FUMBLE TD
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:1626% → 22%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
25.5%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
25.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 7 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
25.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
26.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Ja'Marcus IngramSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+18
25.8%
Zamore Zigler run for 18 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
26.8%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
26.6%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+38
22.1%
Josh Love sacked by Jalen Davis for a loss of 12 yards Josh Love fumbled, recovered by UthSt Maika Magalei , return for 0 yards , return for 38 yds, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:1979% → 84%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
21.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 7 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+5
20.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 5 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
21.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
21.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the SJSt 14Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+10
22.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 10 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
20.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the SJSt 8Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
20.4%
LOVE, Jordan pass incomplete to RAYMOND, Dax (GINDA, Frank), PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the SJ18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
20.7%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Dax Raymond, broken up by Frank GindaSimilar
Q2 8:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
-5
21.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+23
15.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 23 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
13.9%
LOVE, Josh pass complete to HARTLEY, Tre for 29 yards to the USU43 (HANEY, Cameron), PENALTY SJ illegal formation 5 yards to the SJ23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+5
13.8%
Zamore Zigler run for 5 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
13.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
13.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
13.5%
TEAM punt blocked by Louy Compton blocked by Louy ComptonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5889% → 89%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
11.2%
Kent Myers run for 5 yds to the SJSt 9Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+3
11.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jaren Colston-Green for 3 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
11.3%
Eltoro Allen run for no gain to the SJSt 6Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+23
11.0%
Dominik Eberle 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
8.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 14 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
9.0%
Malike Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 12
OWN 46
0
8.6%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 12
OWN 46
-17
8.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 44 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 29
OWN 29
0
8.3%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
8.4%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
8.4%
Kent Myers run for 9 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
8.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 4 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
8.2%
Kent Myers run for 7 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
8.2%
Kent Myers sacked by Ethan Aguayo for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+5
8.2%
ALLEN, Eltoro rush up middle for 7 yards to the USU49 (SCOTT, Jamal;KELLY, Jermaine), PENALTY SJ 12 men on the field 5 yards to the USU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
8.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Aaren Vaughns for no gain to the UthSt 47Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 9
OWN 47
-3
8.3%
Kent Myers sacked by William Ossai for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
9.0%
Aaron Dalton punt for 41 yds , Bailey Gaither returns for no gain to the SJSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18END OF HALF
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
5.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 16Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+10
5.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 10 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
5.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-2
5.0%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
5.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
5.1%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ron'quavion TarverSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+3
5.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 5
50
0
5.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 39 yds , Bailey Gaither returns for no gain to the SJSt 12 Bailey Gaither fumbled, recovered by UthSt Baron GajkowskiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4896% → 97%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
3.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the SJSt 9Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+7
3.7%
MYERS, Kent pass incomplete to RAYMOND, Dax, PENALTY SJ pass interference (BIERRIA, Trevon) 7 yards to the SJ2, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
3.6%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the SJSt 2Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
3.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the SJSt 1Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
3.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Owen Roberts) to the SJSt 1Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.8%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
2.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Nate Velichko) to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
2.4%
Zamore Zigler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
2.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
2.4%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:4297% → 97%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
2.8%
Eltoro Allen run for 17 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
2.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 4 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+9
2.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 9 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
2.7%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
2.7%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Gerold BrightSimilar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-7
2.8%
Kent Myers sacked by Dakari Monroe for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 35Similar
Q3 9:07
4TH & 14
OPP 35
+52
3.4%
Dominik Eberle 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23INT
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
1.5%
Malike Roberson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
1.5%
Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
1.6%
Malike Roberson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+11
1.5%
Malike Roberson run for 11 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
1.7%
Zamore Zigler run for 12 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
1.7%
Josh Love pass intercepted Baron Gajkowski return for 13 yds to the UthSt 24 UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Braxton Gunther) to the UthSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 2:1298% → 99%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
2.4%
Eltoro Allen run for 4 yds to the UthSt 12Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+12
2.2%
Eltoro Allen run for 12 yds to the UthSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
2.1%
Eltoro Allen run for 3 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
2.1%
Eltoro Allen run for 5 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+68
1.5%
Kent Myers run for 68 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
0.7%
Sam Allen run for 1 yd to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
0.7%
Sam Allen pass incomplete to Thai CottrellSimilar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
0.7%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26INT TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:4099% → 99%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
1.2%
Eltoro Allen run for 1 yd to the UthSt 23Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+7
1.2%
Chad Artist run for 7 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+6
1.2%
Eltoro Allen run for 6 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
1.1%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Carson Terrell, broken up by Chandler HawkinsSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
1.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Chad Artist for 4 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+9
1.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 9 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+68
0.8%
Jordan Love pass intercepted for a TD Jermaine Kelly return for 68 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27FUMBLE
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
0.8%
Eltoro Allen run for 9 yds to the UthSt 36 Eltoro Allen fumbled, forced by Frank Ginda, recovered by SJSt Jermaine KellySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 28FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:151% → 0%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
0.5%
Sam Allen run for 3 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 7
OPP 33
-1
0.5%
Malike Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-2
0.5%
Sam Allen sacked by Jacoby Wildman for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+53
0.4%
Bryce Crawford 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
0.7%
HERVEY, Justen rush up middle for no gain to the USU25 (PARKER, Tysyn), PENALTY USU clipping (TE'I, Justus) 12 yards to the USU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
0.7%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+10
0.7%
Jordan Love run for 10 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
0.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Justen Hervey for no gain to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
0.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
0.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
0.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 2
50
0
0.4%
Sam Allen pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Wesley BaileySimilar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 2
50
-5
0.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Troy Kowalski) to the SJSt 45Similar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
0.2%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 31FG
18 plays · 78 yds · 7:42100% → 100%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan NathanSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
0.4%
Justen Hervey run for 6 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
0.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 5 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
0.4%
Justen Hervey run for 6 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+10
0.4%
Justen Hervey run for 10 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
0.4%
Justen Hervey run for 6 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+6
0.3%
Justen Hervey run for 6 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
0.4%
Eltoro Allen run for 1 yd to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+5
0.4%
Eltoro Allen run for 5 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+2
0.3%
Eltoro Allen run for 2 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+2
0.4%
Eltoro Allen run for 2 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
0.3%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
0.4%
Justen Hervey run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+21
0.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 21 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
0.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 11Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
0.3%
Justen Hervey run for 1 yd to the SJSt 10Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
0.3%
Justen Hervey run for 8 yds to the SJSt 2Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
0.2%
Dominik Eberle 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 32FG
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
0.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Damion Hobbs for 17 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
0.2%
Justen Hervey run for 2 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+2
0.2%
Justen Hervey run for 2 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+5
0.1%
Justen Hervey run for 5 yds to the SJSt 11Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+27
0.1%
Dominik Eberle 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 33END OF GAME
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
0.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
0.1%
Michael Carrillo run for 3 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
0.1%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:44
Kent Myers pass complete to Gerold Bright for 43 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q2 8:04
Jordan Love pass complete to Ron'quavion Tarver for 23 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-5.9
TD · Q1 2:15
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 19 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
-5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com