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UNM

New Mexico 14 at Boise State 28

BOIS
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2017 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:40 · Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Pregame prior+24.7Home team on offense+4.4Score differential+1.0Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:15: Tyrone Owens 5 Yd Run (Jason Sanders Kick) — UNM win probability +3.6 pts (now 20%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:47: Jake Roh 5 Yd pass from Montell Cozart (Haden Hoggarth Kick) — BOIS win probability +3.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:31: Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 17 — BOIS win probability +3.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:44: Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the NMex 14 — BOIS win probability +3.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:55: Jake Roh 6 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick) — BOIS win probability +5.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UNM made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:52UNM 4th & 1 at BOIS 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:49UNM 4th & 3 at BOIS 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:52BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15UNM 4th & 1 at BOIS 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−0.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:40UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.5%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:16UNM 4th & 17 at UNM 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:38BOIS 4th & 9 at BOIS 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:56BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:57UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.7%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:30BOIS 4th & 7 at UNM 31, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:40UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:11BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−1.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:18UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:43BOIS 4th & 11 at BOIS 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−2.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:56UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−3.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:09BOIS 4th & 24 at UNM 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:38UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 25, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:49BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:15UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:47BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:55BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:11BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:11UNM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:5214% → 15%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
86.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 20Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+24
86.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 24 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
85.9%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+11
85.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+2
85.5%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+7
85.4%
Richard McQuarley run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 40 Richard McQuarley fumbled, forced by Leighton Vander Esch, recovered by BoiSt Kekoa Nawahine , return for 14 yds to the NMex 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:4486% → 86%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
85.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 6 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+5
85.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Sean Modster for 5 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
85.5%
Robert Mahone run for 6 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+1
85.5%
Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+28
86.1%
Montell Cozart run for 28 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:4414% → 15%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
85.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
85.7%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+20
85.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 20 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
85.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
50
+2
85.0%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
85.0%
Lamar Jordan run for no gain to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
85.1%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4686% → 85%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
85.6%
Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
85.6%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-1
85.3%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
85.0%
Quinn Skillin punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:3116% → 20%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
84.5%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Q' DrennanSimilar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
84.4%
Romell Jordan run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+8
84.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
83.9%
Jay Griffin IV run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+2
83.8%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+4
84.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
83.6%
Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
83.5%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
83.9%
Richard McQuarley run for no gain to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+5
80.3%
Tyrone Owens 5 Yd Run (Jason Sanders Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:2282% → 86%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
81.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
81.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ryan Wolpin for 15 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+47
81.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 47 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
82.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Eric Quevedo) to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+5
82.2%
Ryan Wolpin run for 5 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
82.3%
Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+11
81.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 11 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
82.1%
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the NMex 5Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
85.6%
Jake Roh 5 Yd pass from Montell Cozart (Haden Hoggarth Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 5 yds · 3:5816% → 14%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
84.2%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 22Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
84.4%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Chris Davis Jr. for 12 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
83.8%
Romell Jordan run for no gain to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
84.5%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
83.9%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 14
OWN 33
-16
84.3%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Jabril Frazier for a loss of 16 yards to the NMex 17Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 30
OWN 17
+13
85.6%
Daryl Chestnut run for 13 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 17
OWN 30
+42
85.8%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 42 yds , Avery Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2685% → 84%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
85.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ryan Wolpin for a loss of 7 yards to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+8
84.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 8 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
84.3%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+3
83.8%
Quinn Skillin punt for 56 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 3 yds to the NMex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9DOWNS
14 plays · 45 yds · 3:2115% → 17%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
84.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-5
84.8%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 18Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+15
85.4%
Jordan, Lamar pass incomplete, PENALTY BOISEST roughing passer (Hatada, Chase) 15 yards to the NEWMEXICO33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.Similar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
84.2%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+6
83.3%
Coltin Gerhart run for 6 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
83.3%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+8
82.5%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Patrick Reed for 8 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
82.0%
Coltin Gerhart run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
80.4%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
80.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-5
80.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 15
OPP 36
0
82.9%
Coltin Gerhart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+53
83.3%
Jason Sanders 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5683% → 82%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.4%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
83.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to CT Thomas for no gain to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
82.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Sean Modster for 3 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
81.5%
Joel Velazquez punt for 44 yds, downed at the NMex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4418% → 18%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
82.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
81.8%
Coltin Gerhart run for 4 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
81.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 35Similar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-1
82.3%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2185% → 84%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
84.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
84.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Sean Modster for 4 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 6
OPP 30
-1
84.2%
Montell Cozart sacked by Bijon Parker for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+3
83.9%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:4018% → 19%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
81.7%
Romell Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
81.2%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Patrick Reed for 9 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
80.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
79.6%
Daryl Chestnut run for 3 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
79.6%
Coltin Gerhart run for no gain to the NMex 48Similar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
81.1%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2085% → 83%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
84.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+5
84.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jake Roh for 5 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
83.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+1
82.7%
Quinn Skillin punt for 47 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 1 yd to the NMex 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4319% → 19%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
81.0%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 14 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
79.4%
Romell Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 47Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
79.9%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Romell Jordan for 2 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
79.8%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Anselem UmehSimilar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
81.5%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:2384% → 86%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
84.1%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+1
85.1%
Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+11
84.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 11 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
85.8%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-5
86.3%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 18
OWN 29
-14
86.3%
BOISE ST Penalty, Tripping (-14 Yards) to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q3 0:06
2ND & 32
OWN 15
+9
87.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 9 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 24
+12
86.3%
Montell Cozart run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
86.1%
Joel Velazquez punt for 63 yds, downed at the NMex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2617% → 14%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
82.8%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
84.8%
Richard McQuarley run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
85.7%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Q' DrennanSimilar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 10
OWN 1
+29
86.2%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 45 yds , Avery Williams returns for 29 yds to the NMex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:4990% → 96%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
89.7%
Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+8
89.8%
Ryan Wolpin run for 8 yds to the NMex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.6%
Jake Roh 6 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.0%
Coltin Gerhart pass intercepted Leighton Vander Esch return for 2 yds to the NMex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:0896% → 95%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
95.7%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
95.7%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 11
OPP 29
-5
95.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 16
OPP 34
-3
95.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 37Similar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 19
OPP 37
-5
94.8%
BOISE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 10:09
4TH & 24
OPP 42
0
94.9%
Quinn Skillin punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:166% → 4%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
93.8%
Coltin Gerhart run for 7 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+4
93.6%
Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.8%
Coltin Gerhart run for 6 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-1
93.3%
Coltin Gerhart run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 25Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Coltin Gerhart pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Corey Bojorquez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 4:1897% → 100%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
96.8%
Montell Cozart run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
97.1%
Ryan Wolpin run for 4 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
97.2%
Ryan Wolpin run for 18 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
97.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-1
97.7%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+10
97.6%
Montell Cozart run for 10 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
98.0%
Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
99.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jake Roh for 15 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:371% → 3%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.5%
Daryl Chestnut run for 8 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
99.5%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Chris Davis Jr. for 10 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete to Delane Hart-JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+18
99.5%
Coltin Gerhart run for 18 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
99.5%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 10 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
99.4%
Gerhart, Coltin pass incomplete to Griffin IV, Jay, PENALTY BOISEST pass interference 15 yards to the BOISEST14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.Similar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.8%
Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 14 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:4299% → 99%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 46Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:55
Jake Roh 6 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick)
+5.9
TD · Q2 14:15
Tyrone Owens 5 Yd Run (Jason Sanders Kick)
-3.6
TD · Q2 9:47
Jake Roh 5 Yd pass from Montell Cozart (Haden Hoggarth Kick)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com