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UIW

Incarnate Word 0 at Fresno State 66

FRES
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadUIW aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreUIW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:46 · Joe Zema punt for 45 yds , Dejonte O'Neal returns for 44 yds to the InWrd 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Pregame prior+45.0Home team on offense+1.5Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:51: Josh Hokit run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK) — UIW win probability +0.1 pts (now 3%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:51: Josh Hokit pass complete to Jared Rice for 65 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK) — FRES win probability +0.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 11:09: Jimmy Camacho 47 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:53: Josh Hokit run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK) — FRES win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:15: Chason Virgil pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 2 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK) — FRES win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UIW made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00FRES 4th & 1 at FRES 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:46UIW 4th & 2 at UIW 16, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:56FRES 4th & 6 at UIW 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:56UIW 4th & 6 at UIW 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:51UIW 4th & 7 at UIW 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 40, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:35UIW 4th & 8 at UIW 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:09FRES 4th & 6 at UIW 29, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:02UIW 4th & 14 at UIW 24, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:52FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 2, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:45UIW 4th & 4 at UIW 49, down 20
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:53UIW 4th & 1 at UIW 34, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:08UIW 4th & 8 at UIW 15, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:40UIW 4th & 3 at FRES 3, down 66
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:40FRES 4th & 1 at UIW 7, up 66
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 6:51FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:51FRES Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:53FRES Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:15FRES Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:57FRES Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:48FRES Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:40FRES Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:33FRES Touchdown, up 65 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
97.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
97.8%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 7 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
0
97.8%
Dejonte O'Neal run for no gain to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
97.8%
Blake Cusick punt for 53 yds , Zaire Andre returns for no gain to the InWrd 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 2FUMBLE
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
97.6%
Desmond Hite run for a loss of 5 yards to the InWrd 9Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+34
97.6%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Daryl Brooks for 34 yds to the InWrd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.6%
Desmond Hite run for no gain to the InWrd 43Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
97.6%
Taylor Laird pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+14
97.6%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Jamari Gilbert for 14 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
97.6%
Desmond Hite run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
97.6%
Desmond Hite run for no gain to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 14
OPP 47
-10
97.6%
Taylor Laird sacked by Emeka Ndoh for a loss of 10 yards to the InWrd 43 Taylor Laird fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Emeka Ndoh , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:3297% → 97%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
97.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 45Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+2
97.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the InWrd 43Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+29
97.1%
Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 29 yds to the InWrd 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
97.1%
Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the InWrd 10Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+9
97.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for 9 yds to the InWrd 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.1%
INCARNATEW Penalty, ( Yards) to the InWrd 1Similar
Q1 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
Josh Hokit run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
97.0%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Cam Johnson for 2 yds to the InWrd 10Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
97.0%
Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+6
97.0%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Desmond Hite for 6 yds to the InWrd 16Similar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 2
OWN 16
+44
97.0%
Joe Zema punt for 45 yds , Dejonte O'Neal returns for 44 yds to the InWrd 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1597% → 97%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
96.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the InWrd 14Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+1
96.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the InWrd 13Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
96.9%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
96.7%
Jimmy Camacho 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Sean Brophy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.6%
Desmond Hite run for 8 yds to the InWrd 33Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
96.6%
Desmond Hite run for 1 yd to the InWrd 34 INCARNATEW Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
96.6%
INCARNATEW Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the InWrd 29Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.7%
Joe Zema punt for 55 yds , Dejonte O'Neal returns for no gain to the FrsSt 16 Dejonte O'Neal fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 0:5097% → 97%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
96.6%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
96.5%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+24
96.5%
Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 24 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
96.7%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+65
97.4%
Josh Hokit pass complete to Jared Rice for 65 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Taylor Laird pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.3%
Desmond Hite run for 3 yds to the InWrd 28Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.3%
Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Daryl BrooksSimilar
Q1 1:51
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-4
97.3%
Joe Zema punt for 43 yds , Dejonte O'Neal returns for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 25 Dejonte O'Neal fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Jaron BryantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:4697% → 97%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
97.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.5%
Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jared RiceSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
97.4%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
97.4%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+34
97.3%
Blake Cusick punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zaire Andre at the FRESNOST 21 FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the InWrd 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.3%
Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Desmond HiteSimilar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-3
97.3%
Desmond Hite run for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 23Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+5
97.3%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Desmond Hite for 5 yds to the InWrd 28Similar
Q2 14:35
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+6
97.3%
Joe Zema punt for 49 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 6 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 1:4997% → 98%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
97.4%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+21
97.4%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Jordan Mims for 21 yds to the InWrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
97.5%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 16 yds to the InWrd 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
97.5%
Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the InWrd 29Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
97.5%
Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Ronnie RiversSimilar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
97.5%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
98.1%
Jimmy Camacho 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
98.1%
Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Zaire AndreSimilar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-4
98.1%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Desmond Hite for a loss of 4 yards to the InWrd 24Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 14
OWN 24
0
98.1%
Taylor Laird pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
98.1%
Joe Zema punt for 75 yds, downed at the FrsSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
98.1%
Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
98.1%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
98.0%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 9
OWN 2
+11
98.0%
Blake Cusick punt for 66 yds , Zaire Andre returns for 11 yds to the InWrd 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
98.1%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Jamari Gilbert for 9 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
98.0%
Desmond Hite run for no gain to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-3
98.0%
Desmond Hite run for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 49Similar
Q2 8:45
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
98.1%
Joe Zema punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 1:4898% → 99%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
98.1%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 3 yds to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+20
98.1%
Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 20 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
98.1%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 17 yds to the InWrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+40
98.1%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 40 yds to the InWrd 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Josh Hokit run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.4%
Desmond Hite run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 23Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
99.4%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Desmond Hite for 11 yds to the InWrd 34Similar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+13
99.3%
Joe Zema punt for 53 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 13 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:1599% → 100%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.4%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Derrion Grim for 8 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+6
99.3%
Dejonte O'Neal run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.4%
Dejonte O'Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+34
99.4%
Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 34 yds to the InWrd 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
99.4%
Josh Hokit run for 7 yds to the InWrd 21Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 3
OPP 21
0
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Da'Mari ScottSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+12
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 12 yds to the InWrd 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.4%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
99.4%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 7 yds to the InWrd 2Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 2 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 19SF
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
99.6%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Jezel Parra for 13 yds to the InWrd 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.6%
Desmond Hite run for 2 yds to the InWrd 23Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Taylor Laird pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Taylor Laird pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OWN 20
-5
99.6%
INCARNATEW Penalty, offside defense (-5 Yards) to the InWrd 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.7%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Justin Allen for 6 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+25
99.7%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 25 yds to the InWrd 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 30 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 21SF
6 plays · -19 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.8%
Desmond Hite run for 1 yd to the InWrd 20Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+4
99.8%
Taylor Laird run for 4 yds to the InWrd 24Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-5
99.8%
INCARNATEW Penalty, false start (Jeremy Jones) to the InWrd 19Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-9
99.8%
Laird, Taylor pass complete to McCollum, B. for 10 yards to the UIW29, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UIW pass interference (McCollum, B.) 9 yards to the UIW10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 19
OWN 10
-10
99.8%
Emeka Ndoh SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 5 yds to the InWrd 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for 6 yds to the InWrd 42Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the InWrd 39Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+15
99.8%
McMARYION sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UIW46 (McCoy, Tim;Montgomery, D.), PENALTY UIW face mask (McCoy, Tim) 15 yards to the UIW24, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 24 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Taylor Laird pass intercepted Chris Coleman return for no gain to the InWrd 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the InWrd 21Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+6
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the InWrd 15Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the InWrd 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Jordan Mims run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Desmond Hite run for no gain to the InWrd 13Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Desmond Hite run for 2 yds to the InWrd 15Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Sean Brophy pass incomplete to Desmond HiteSimilar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Joe Zema punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 26TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 3:27100% → 100%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Saevion Johnson for 8 yds to the InWrd 45Similar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+45
99.9%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Justin Allen for 45 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 27MISSED FG
16 plays · 72 yds · 5:530% → 0%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
K Philio run for 11 yds to the InWrd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.9%
Sean Brophy pass complete to Breylann McCollum for 9 yds to the InWrd 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+11
99.9%
Sean Brophy pass complete to Daryl Brooks for 11 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Sean Brophy pass incomplete to Malik Harris, broken up by Tainoa FosterSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-2
100.0%
K Philio run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+16
100.0%
Sean Brophy pass complete to Jamari Gilbert for 16 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
100.0%
K Philio run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+1
100.0%
Sean Brophy pass complete to Phillip Higgins for 1 yd to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+12
100.0%
Sean Brophy pass complete to Breylann McCollum for 12 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+16
99.9%
Sean Brophy pass complete to Jezel Parra for 16 yds to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
K Philio run for no gain to the FrsSt 3Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Sean Brophy pass incomplete to Daryl BrooksSimilar
Q4 13:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Sean Brophy pass incomplete to Jamari GilbertSimilar
Q4 9:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+30
99.9%
Jose Perez 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Chris Coleman N/A return for 20 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 28DOWNS
13 plays · 80 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
Deonte Perry run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+8
100.0%
Deonte Perry run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Deonte Perry run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Derrion GrimSimilar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+15
100.0%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Saevion Johnson for 15 yds to the InWrd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
100.0%
Saevion Johnson run for 11 yds to the InWrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
100.0%
Deonte Perry run for 6 yds to the InWrd 21Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+3
100.0%
Deonte Perry run for 3 yds to the InWrd 18Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
100.0%
Deonte Perry run for 2 yds to the InWrd 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Saevion Johnson run for no gain to the InWrd 16Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
100.0%
Saevion Johnson run for 3 yds to the InWrd 13Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+6
100.0%
Deonte Perry run for 6 yds to the InWrd 7Similar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 1
OPP 7
-1
100.0%
Deonte Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
100.0%
K Philio run for a loss of 4 yards to the InWrd 4Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+4
100.0%
K Philio run for 4 yds to the InWrd 8Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+4
100.0%
K Philio run for 4 yds to the InWrd 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:53
Josh Hokit run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q1 1:51
Josh Hokit pass complete to Jared Rice for 65 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)
+0.7
FG · Q2 11:09
Jimmy Camacho 47 yd FG GOOD
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com