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PRST

Portland State 6 at BYU 20

BYU
2017 · Week 1 · Aug 26, 2017 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:13 · Hayden Cowden punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tanner Jacobson at the BYU 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+23.2Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:01: Neil Pau'u 28 Yd pass from Tanner Mangum (Rhett Almond Kick) — BYU win probability +2.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:57: Squally Canada 1 Yd Run (Rhett Almond Kick) — BYU win probability +5.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:54: Darnell Adams 4 Yd pass from Jalani Eason (Noah Brosio PAT failed) — PRST win probability +5.2 pts (now 23%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:54: Thomas Ciobanasiu kickoff for 65 yds , Matt Hadley return for 15 yds to the BYU 30 — BYU win probability +3.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:33: Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 21 — BYU win probability +3.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9PRST made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:13PRST 4th & 8 at PRST 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:21BYU 4th & 7 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54PRST 4th & 16 at PRST 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:51BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:20PRST 4th & 11 at PRST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:51PRST 4th & 7 at PRST 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:17BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:22PRST 4th & 5 at PRST 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:24PRST 4th & 5 at BYU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    28.1%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:08PRST 4th & 7 at BYU 16, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    27.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−4.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:58BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 27, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−2.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:09BYU 4th & 5 at PRST 40, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    71.3%−1.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:43PRST 4th & 7 at PRST 43, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:26BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 29, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%−3.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:24PRST 4th & 3 at PRST 42, down 8
    Close callPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:22BYU 4th & 6 at PRST 10, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    72.0%−11.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:02PRST 4th & 9 at BYU 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.6%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:08BYU 4th & 6 at PRST 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−2.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:09BYU 4th & 5 at PRST 18, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−1.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:53PRST 4th & 15 at PRST 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PRST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:01BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:57BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:54PRST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4126% → 26%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
73.8%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Andre Petties-Wilson for 3 yds to the PrtSt 17Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-1
73.7%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Antwone Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 16Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
73.6%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Darnell AdamsSimilar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
73.6%
Hayden Cowden punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tanner Jacobson at the BYU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4874% → 73%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
73.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
73.6%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 7
50
0
73.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 7
50
0
73.3%
Jonny Linehan punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PrtSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 4:1827% → 27%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
73.3%
Kahlil Dawson run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 18Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+7
73.1%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 7 yds to the PrtSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.0%
Za'Quan Summers run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
72.8%
Antwone Williams run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 34Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
72.6%
Jason Talley run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
72.5%
Jason Talley run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 37Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
72.3%
Jalani Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-7
72.6%
Jalani Eason sacked by Sione Takitaki for a loss of 7 yards to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
72.9%
Hayden Cowden punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:5673% → 71%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
72.5%
Jonah Trinnaman run for 4 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+6
72.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Trey Dye for 6 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
72.4%
Squally Canada run for 6 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-15
72.8%
BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 19
OWN 21
0
72.1%
Tanner Mangum run for no gain to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 19
OWN 21
+9
71.6%
Squally Canada run for 9 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
71.4%
Jonny Linehan punt for 48 yds , Kahlil Dawson returns for no gain to the PrtSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3128% → 28%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
71.7%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 17Similar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 15
OWN 17
0
71.8%
Za'Quan Summers run for no gain to the PrtSt 17Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+4
71.6%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Josh Kraght for 4 yds to the PrtSt 21Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
71.8%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Carlos MartinSimilar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
72.1%
Hayden Cowden punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tanner Jacobson at the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:0972% → 76%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+36
72.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 36 yds to the PrtSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
73.1%
Squally Canada run for no gain to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
73.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
75.9%
Neil Pau'u 28 Yd pass from Tanner Mangum (Rhett Almond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0225% → 24%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.1%
Jason Talley run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
75.2%
Jalani Eason run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 33Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
75.1%
Za'Quan Summers run for a loss of 5 yards to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+45
75.9%
Hayden Cowden punt for 45 yds , Tanner Jacobson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:2476% → 76%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
75.8%
KJ Hall run for 4 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+8
75.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 8 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-11
76.3%
KJ Hall run for 4 yds to the BYU 42 BYU Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 21
OWN 27
0
75.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 21
OWN 27
+2
75.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 2 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 19
OWN 29
+14
75.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 14 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
75.5%
Jonny Linehan punt for 32 yds, downed at the PrtSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3725% → 24%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.5%
Za'Quan Summers run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
75.2%
Jalani Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
75.7%
Jalani Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
76.4%
Hayden Cowden punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:1476% → 84%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
76.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 12 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
77.2%
Kavika Fonua run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 47Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
77.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
77.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Micah Simon for 4 yds to the PrtSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
77.6%
Squally Canada run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 34Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+33
77.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 33 yds to the PrtSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.0%
Tanner Mangum run for no gain to the PrtSt 1Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.6%
Squally Canada 1 Yd Run (Rhett Almond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11TD
19 plays · 87 yds · 5:5118% → 23%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
82.4%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Andre Petties-WilsonSimilar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+5
82.6%
Za'Quan Summers run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 18Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+12
82.7%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 12 yds to the PrtSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
82.5%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Charlie TaumoepeauSimilar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+19
82.7%
Za'Quan Summers run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 34 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the PrtSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
82.1%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 13 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
81.9%
Za'Quan Summers run for 5 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
81.2%
Jalani Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
82.1%
Jalani Eason run for no gain to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+14
82.6%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 14 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
81.5%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Andre Petties-WilsonSimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
81.8%
Jason Talley run for 3 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
82.4%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to De'Sean ParsonsSimilar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+8
83.0%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Trent Riley for 8 yds to the BYU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
82.1%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Trent RileySimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
82.2%
Za'Quan Summers run for 4 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
76.9%
Darnell Adams 4 Yd pass from Jalani Eason (Noah Brosio PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:3280% → 78%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
79.9%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Davond Dade for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 27 Tanner Mangum fumbled, recovered by BYU Thomas Shoaf , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 13
OWN 27
0
79.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 13
OWN 27
0
78.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Jonah TrinnamanSimilar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
78.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 42 yds, downed at the PrtSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:4420% → 21%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-8
79.9%
Jalani Eason sacked by Sione Takitaki for a loss of 8 yards to the PrtSt 23Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 18
OWN 23
+5
80.4%
Za'Quan Summers run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+13
80.7%
Za'Quan Summers run for 13 yds to the PrtSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
78.7%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Darnell AdamsSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
78.9%
Za'Quan Summers run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 42Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+1
79.2%
Jalani Eason run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:5180% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
80.1%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
81.4%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-5
81.4%
Kavika Fonua run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 40Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+3
81.0%
KJ Hall run for 3 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+12
80.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 12 yds to the PrtSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
82.0%
Squally Canada run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 46Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
81.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Jonah TrinnamanSimilar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+6
80.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 6 yds to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
80.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2622% → 20%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
77.9%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+2
79.2%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Jalani Eason for 2 yds to the PrtSt 37Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+6
79.3%
Jalani Eason run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
78.5%
Jalani Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
80.0%
Hayden Cowden punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5181% → 80%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
80.6%
Ula Tolutau run for 3 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
80.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 5 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
80.2%
Trey Dye run for 1 yd to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
79.9%
Jonny Linehan punt for 50 yds , Kahlil Dawson returns for 2 yds to the PrtSt 23 PORTLAND ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the PrtSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:5720% → 19%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
79.7%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Andre Petties-WilsonSimilar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+1
80.0%
Za'Quan Summers run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 14Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+21
82.0%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 21 yds to the PrtSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
80.2%
Za'Quan Summers run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 34Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+2
80.8%
Za'Quan Summers run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 36Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+6
81.8%
Jalani Eason run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 42Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 3
OWN 42
-4
81.5%
Hayden Cowden punt for 47 yds , Tanner Jacobson returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18FG
16 plays · 83 yds · 5:4884% → 87%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
84.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 3 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+4
84.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Squally Canada for 4 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+9
84.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to KJ Hall for 9 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
85.4%
Tanner Mangum run for no gain to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+10
85.6%
Squally Canada run for 10 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
86.1%
Squally Canada run for 5 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 0:18
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+12
87.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Tanner Balderree for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
87.7%
Kavika Fonua run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 48Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+34
87.8%
Squally Canada run for 34 yds to the PrtSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
88.6%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 10Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+5
88.6%
Kavika Fonua run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 5Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-5
88.0%
BYU Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 10Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
88.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
88.0%
Rhett Almond 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 6
OWN 35
-5
87.5%
BYU Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 11
OWN 30
+15
87.1%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BYU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 19DOWNS
15 plays · 49 yds · 6:0013% → 9%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
87.4%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Antwone Williams for 8 yds to the PrtSt 19Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+7
86.7%
Jalani Eason run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
87.6%
Za'Quan Summers run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 33Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 3
OWN 33
-2
87.0%
Za'Quan Summers run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+6
88.3%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 6 yds to the PrtSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
89.1%
Za'Quan Summers run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+6
88.3%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Za'Quan Summers for 6 yds to the PrtSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
87.9%
Za'Quan Summers run for 3 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
88.8%
Jason Talley run for no gain to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+7
89.4%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Darnell Adams for 7 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
89.1%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to De'Sean ParsonsSimilar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
89.1%
Jalani Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+1
89.5%
Za'Quan Summers run for 1 yd to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
91.4%
Jalani Eason pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20MISSED FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:4993% → 94%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
92.7%
Squally Canada run for 6 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+34
93.1%
Kavika Fonua run for 34 yds to the PrtSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
93.8%
Kavika Fonua run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 15Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-5
93.9%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 20Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
94.1%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 16Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
94.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
93.8%
Rhett Almond 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 21INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:267% → 8%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
93.0%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 15Similar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+20
93.2%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Josh Kraght for 20 yds to the PrtSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
92.1%
Jalani Eason pass intercepted Zayne Anderson return for 27 yds to the PrtSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2495% → 98%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
95.2%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 21Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+1
95.7%
Kavika Fonua run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 20Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+2
95.7%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 18Similar
Q4 2:09
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
97.9%
Rhett Almond 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:043% → 2%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
97.3%
Jalani Eason sacked by Trajan Pili for a loss of 3 yards to the PrtSt 22Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
97.4%
Jalani Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-2
97.5%
Za'Quan Summers run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 20Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
97.8%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Andre Petties-WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3099% → 99%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 21Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-1
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:57
Squally Canada 1 Yd Run (Rhett Almond Kick)
+5.6
TD · Q2 1:54
Darnell Adams 4 Yd pass from Jalani Eason (Noah Brosio PAT failed)
-5.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:54
Thomas Ciobanasiu kickoff for 65 yds , Matt Hadley return for 15 yds to the BYU 30
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com