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M-OH

Miami (OH) 28 at Ball State 7

BALL
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 21, 2017 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:12 · Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Home team on offense−43.0Pregame prior−16.3Score differential−26.3Garbage-time factor−9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:10: Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 7 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +2.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:05: Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 14 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +5.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:35: Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Sam Martin, broken up by Antonio Phillips — M-OH win probability +2.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:16: Jack Milas pass intercepted for a TD Joshua Allen return for 49 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +4.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Samuel Sloman kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — BALL win probability +3.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 7 of 12M-OH made the numbers' call on 1 of 7
  1. Q1 11:51BALL 4th & 3 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:09M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 15, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:13BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 48, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:03BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:04M-OH 4th & 9 at BALL 36, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:04BALL 4th & 3 at M-OH 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:05BALL 4th & 6 at M-OH 40, down 21
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:35M-OH 4th & 5 at BALL 45, up 21
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:06BALL 4th & 4 at M-OH 43, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%
    28% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00BALL 4th & 5 at M-OH 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:57M-OH 4th & 1 at midfield, up 28
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:12BALL 4th & 2 at M-OH 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:12BALL 4th & 3 at M-OH 37, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:17M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 49, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00BALL 4th & 4 at M-OH 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:49M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 26, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:28BALL 4th & 8 at M-OH 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:50M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 37, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:43BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 0 of 1M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:59M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:10M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:05M-OH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:16M-OH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:54BALL Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0188% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
12.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 7 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
12.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 14 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
12.4%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+37
12.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 37 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
12.4%
Leonard Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+9
12.4%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to GARDNER, James, PENALTY BALL holding (MILLER, Josh) 9 yards to the BALL9, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
12.4%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 11Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
13.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 11 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
13.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+5
13.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+2
13.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
13.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 10 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
13.3%
Malik Dunner run for 6 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+4
13.4%
Justin Hall run for 4 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
13.4%
Jack Milas run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 42Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 11
OWN 42
-5
13.3%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+12
13.3%
Jack Milas run for 12 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+1
13.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 3
50
0
13.3%
Jack Milas punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
14.8%
Leonard Ross run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+3
14.8%
Leonard Ross run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+3
14.9%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
15.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · -34 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
15.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Markice Hurt for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
15.7%
Malik Dunner run for no gain to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
15.5%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 11
OWN 48
+6
15.2%
Morgan Hagee run for a loss of 15 yards to the BalSt 9 Morgan Hagee fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Brad Koenig , return for 6 yds to the BalSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:4485% → 87%
Q1 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
14.9%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
14.9%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
12.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 7 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
13.5%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
13.4%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Joshua AllenSimilar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+5
13.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 5 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
13.5%
Nathan Snyder punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 4:2787% → 87%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
13.1%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
13.0%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+6
13.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 6 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
13.0%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
13.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 17 yds to the MiaOh 48 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (James Gardner) to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+11
12.8%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to SMITH, Ryan, PENALTY BALL pass interference (RUETH, David) 11 yards to the MIAMI49, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
12.7%
Jaylon Bester run for 9 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
12.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for no gain to the BalSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+5
12.8%
Leonard Ross run for 5 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
12.7%
Leonard Ross run for 1 yd to the BalSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
12.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
12.8%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Josh MillerSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+54
12.7%
Samuel Sloman 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
13.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
13.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
13.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
14.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
14.1%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Joshua AllenSimilar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+6
13.9%
Jack Milas run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+1
13.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 35 BALL ST Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MiaOh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 2:0188% → 93%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
12.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 12 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
12.5%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+22
12.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 22 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
12.4%
Leonard Ross run for 4 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
7.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 14 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
8.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
9.6%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
9.5%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+4
9.5%
Jack Milas run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
9.4%
Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
7.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Sam Martin, broken up by Antonio PhillipsSimilar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
7.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 12 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
7.5%
Jared Murphy run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
50
0
7.1%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
50
+4
7.1%
Leonard Ross run for 4 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+1
7.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 1 yd to the BalSt 45Similar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
7.7%
Kyle Kramer punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12INT TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:078% → 5%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
8.1%
Jack Milas run for 8 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+25
8.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 25 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
9.0%
Jack Milas run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+49
4.9%
Jack Milas pass intercepted for a TD Joshua Allen return for 49 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 1:105% → 2%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
4.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 8 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
4.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Nolan Givan for 7 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
2.7%
Jack Milas run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
2.8%
Jack Milas run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
2.1%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+4
2.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Nolan Givan for 4 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
1.5%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
3.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 21 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
4.2%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
4.0%
Jack Milas run for no gain to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+5
3.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, offside defense (Junior McMullen) to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
3.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Khalil NewtonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
4.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 43 yds, downed at the MiaOh 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:0096% → 97%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
3.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 1
OWN 15
0
3.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jaylon BesterSimilar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+5
3.3%
Leonard Ross run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
3.5%
Leonard Ross run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
3.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke Mayock, broken up by Antonio PhillipsSimilar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+18
3.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 18 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
3.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 4 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
3.4%
Leonard Ross run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
3.1%
Leonard Ross run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 1
50
0
3.4%
Kyle Kramer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:053% → 1%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+22
3.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 22 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
3.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
3.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
3.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
3.4%
Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 6
50
+4
3.4%
Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+2
1.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
1.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
1.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
1.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Caleb HuntleySimilar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+2
1.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
1.6%
Leonard Ross run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
1.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 3 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
1.5%
Leonard Ross run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
1.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
1.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jaylon BesterSimilar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
1.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 38 yds , Riley Miller returns for no gain to the BalSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 5:231% → 2%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
0.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+6
0.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
0.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
0.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+17
0.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Khalil Newton for 17 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
0.7%
Drew Plitt run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+5
0.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
0.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+1
0.7%
Malik Dunner run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
0.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Nolan GivanSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+5
0.7%
Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
2.4%
Malik Dunner run for 28 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
1.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
1.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
1.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Nate BeckerSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
1.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20MISSED FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:432% → 1%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
2.0%
Malik Dunner run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
2.0%
Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+11
2.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 11 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
2.2%
Malik Dunner run for no gain to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
2.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Nolan GivanSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+2
2.0%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
1.0%
Morgan Hagee 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3899% → 99%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
1.0%
Grant Niemiec run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+1
1.0%
Grant Niemiec run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+4
1.0%
Grant Niemiec run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
0.7%
Kyle Kramer punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 20 , Riley Miller returns for no gain to the BalSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22INT
16 plays · 79 yds · 4:090% → 0%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.4%
Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
0.4%
Malik Dunner run for 9 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
0.4%
Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Khalil NewtonSimilar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Khalil Newton, broken up by Heath HardingSimilar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Khalil NewtonSimilar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+6
0.4%
Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+19
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 19 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
0.5%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (Curtis Blackwell) to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+7
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for 7 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
0.5%
Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+11
0.4%
Malik Dunner run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
0.5%
Drew Plitt run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.5%
Malik Dunner run for no gain to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.3%
Drew Plitt pass intercepted Deondre Daniels return for no gain to the MiaOh 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:05
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 14 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)
-5.1
TD · Q2 1:16
Jack Milas pass intercepted for a TD Joshua Allen return for 49 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)
-4.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Samuel Sloman kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com