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BGSU

Bowling Green 31 at Eastern Michigan 34

EMU
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 21, 2017 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.5EMU 81.7%Paul Fricano 39 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 13 · Q1 3:49
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:49 · Paul Fricano 39 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior+27.8Home team on offense+1.8Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score differential+0.2Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:58: Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +9.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:49: Ian Eriksen run for 17 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +10.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:36: Jarret Doege pass complete to Teo Redding for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +14.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 4:35: Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 62 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +19.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:00: Ian Eriksen 7 Yd Run (Paul Fricano Kick) — EMU win probability +20.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:27BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:39EMU 4th & 5 at BGSU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    79.8%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:49EMU 4th & 18 at BGSU 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    78.9%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:25BGSU 4th & 6 at EMU 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:05EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:45EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:31EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 48, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:58BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:11BGSU 4th & 16 at BGSU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−2.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:23BGSU 4th & 8 at EMU 34, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.7%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:25EMU 4th & 6 at BGSU 26, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    75.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−5.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:45EMU 4th & 16 at EMU 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−4.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:33BGSU 4th & 2 at EMU 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−14.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:21EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:47BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.8%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:46BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:06EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:57BGSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:58EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:49EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:36BGSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:35BGSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1INT
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:3283% → 82%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
83.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
82.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+7
82.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
82.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
82.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Brian Sanders) to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+11
82.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 11 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
82.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Shift (5 Yards) to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+3
82.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
82.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
82.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
82.2%
Blake Banham run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+18
82.1%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Montre Gregory return for 18 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2TD
1 play · 72 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
80.3%
Josh Cleveland run for 72 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:2481% → 82%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
80.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 7 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+18
82.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 18 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:3319% → 19%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
81.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
81.1%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
81.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
81.0%
Joseph Davidson punt for 33 yds, downed at the EMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 54 yds · 1:4181% → 81%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+34
80.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 34 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
81.4%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+9
81.4%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
81.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 5 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
81.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Jaron JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
80.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
81.2%
Paul Fricano 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
81.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 13 Josh Cleveland fumbled, forced by Tyler LaBarbera, recovered by EMich Brody HoyingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7FG
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:1982% → 82%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
81.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
81.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Ian EriksenSimilar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-10
81.2%
Brogan Roback sacked by Nico Lautanen for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+39
81.7%
Paul Fricano 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:1518% → 21%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
81.3%
Andrew Clair run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
81.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 8 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
80.5%
Jarret Doege run for 4 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
80.2%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+29
79.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 14 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Justin Moody) to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
79.5%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
79.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
79.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
79.2%
Jake Suder 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0079% → 78%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
79.4%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+3
79.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
78.6%
Isaac Stiebeling pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+6
78.2%
Jake Julien punt for 40 yds , Marcus Milton returns for 6 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:0321% → 28%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
78.9%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
79.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+35
77.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 20 yds to the EASTMICH 42 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Justin Moody) to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
76.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for 2 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+24
76.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 24 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
76.5%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 2Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.0%
Jarret Doege run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0074% → 73%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
74.1%
Isaac Stiebeling pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
73.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
73.6%
Isaac Stiebeling pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
72.6%
Jake Julien punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:3028% → 31%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
72.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+10
71.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 10 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
71.3%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
71.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+9
71.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 9 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
69.5%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
68.8%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Juan Giraldo return for 3 yds to the EMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2972% → 70%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
71.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
72.4%
Isaac Stiebeling pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 6 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
71.7%
Isaac Stiebeling run for no gain to the EMich 48 Isaac Stiebeling fumbled, recovered by EMich Ian EriksenSimilar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
70.4%
Jake Julien punt for 19 yds, downed at the BwGrn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2732% → 31%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
67.8%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
68.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+3
69.3%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
69.3%
Joseph Davidson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5769% → 79%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
68.9%
Isaac Stiebeling pass complete to Isaac Holder for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+35
70.3%
Shaq Vann run for 35 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
72.2%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
72.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+6
70.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
71.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+10
71.0%
Isaac Stiebeling pass complete to Dan Buschman for 10 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
69.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
69.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:4723% → 21%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-15
76.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tristan Davis) to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 25
OWN 17
+9
77.4%
Andrew Clair run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 16
OWN 26
0
77.5%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 16
OWN 26
0
78.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Andrew ClairSimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+49
78.8%
Joseph Davidson punt for 49 yds , Blake Banham returns for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
76.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:2725% → 27%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
75.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
73.7%
Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+19
72.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Maxx Crosby) to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-15
72.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 25
OWN 49
+7
73.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 7 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 18
OPP 44
+12
73.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 12 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-7
71.7%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the EMich 29 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Caleb Bright) to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+5
73.4%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+51
73.5%
Jake Suder 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:2675% → 87%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+36
75.3%
Isaac Stiebeling run for 36 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
78.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
78.1%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
77.4%
Isaac Stiebeling pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+9
75.8%
Isaac Stiebeling pass complete to Antoine Porter for 9 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
86.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 17 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:0916% → 33%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
84.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
83.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Janarvis PoughSimilar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+24
84.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 24 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
82.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 6 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+9
81.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 9 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
67.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Teo Redding for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4074% → 71%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
74.2%
Isaac Stiebeling pass complete to Antoine Porter for 4 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
74.4%
Isaac Stiebeling pass incomplete to Shaq VannSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 6
OWN 27
-10
72.9%
Isaac Stiebeling sacked by David Konowalski for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 17Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
71.0%
Jake Julien punt for 46 yds, downed at the BwGrn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22TD
1 play · 62 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
51.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 62 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 4:2555% → 76%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
54.7%
Isaac Stiebeling pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+23
54.1%
Shaq Vann run for 23 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
59.1%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+10
57.0%
Isaac Stiebeling run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
58.6%
Shaq Vann run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
57.8%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 17 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jeremy Hickey) to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 14
OPP 27
+4
56.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
57.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+7
54.6%
Isaac Stiebeling pass complete to Dan Buschman for 7 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
56.5%
Blake Banham run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 13 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (6 Yards) to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 5
OPP 7
0
56.3%
Isaac Stiebeling pass incomplete to Dan BuschmanSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
76.3%
Ian Eriksen 7 Yd Run (Paul Fricano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 5:0230% → 34%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
70.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+11
69.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
50
-1
66.5%
Jarret Doege run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+21
68.7%
Josh Cleveland run for 21 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
64.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+12
65.9%
Andrew Clair run for 12 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+1
64.8%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
62.7%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
63.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd to the EMich 19Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+7
65.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 7 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
65.7%
Jake Suder 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0474% → 75%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.2%
Isaac Stiebeling pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
73.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+7
74.1%
Isaac Stiebeling pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 7 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
75.5%
Isaac Stiebeling run for 1 yd to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
75.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 4
OWN 40
-1
76.2%
Isaac Stiebeling pass complete to Blake Banham for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 6:21
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
74.6%
Jake Julien punt for 41 yds, downed at the BwGrn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:2831% → 33%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
68.8%
Josh Cleveland run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
67.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
68.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+3
66.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-3
66.8%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27END OF GAME
14 plays · 30 yds · 4:3781% → 97%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
81.1%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 37 Shaq Vann fumbled, recovered by EMich Shaq VannSimilar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+6
83.9%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+4
84.0%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
85.6%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
88.1%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+9
89.6%
Isaac Stiebeling run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
91.5%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
92.3%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
92.7%
Isaac Stiebeling run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
95.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:00
Ian Eriksen 7 Yd Run (Paul Fricano Kick)
+20
TD · Q3 4:35
Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 62 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
-19.2
TD · Q3 6:36
Jarret Doege pass complete to Teo Redding for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
-14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com