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WMU

Western Michigan 31 at Northern Illinois 35

NIU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2017 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:26 · Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Keishawn Watson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Pregame prior+13.6Home team on offense+3.1Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:06: Reece Goddard run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +17.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:36: Reece Goddard pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 13 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +20.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:04: Jordan Huff run for 14 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +24.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:37: Josh Grant 28 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +12.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:20: Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 26 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +33.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:49WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:22WMU 4th & 18 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:04NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:14NIU 4th & 12 at NIU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:54WMU 4th & 7 at NIU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:34NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:26WMU 4th & 6 at NIU 26, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:44NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:02WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:31NIU 4th & 14 at WMU 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:30WMU 4th & 15 at NIU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:37WMU 4th & 6 at NIU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−20.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:21WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 29, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:41NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:18WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:34NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:04WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:06WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:36WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:04NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:20NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5626% → 26%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
73.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 18
-4
73.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 9
OWN 14
-5
73.7%
Reece Goddard sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 9Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 14
OWN 9
0
73.7%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
1 play · 31 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
74.4%
Jordan Huff run for 31 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 25 yds · 5:0826% → 25%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
74.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
74.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
74.1%
Reece Goddard pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
74.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+3
74.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
74.0%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Ra'Sean Davie for 5 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
73.9%
Reece Goddard run for 3 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+4
74.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
73.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the NoIll 41Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
74.0%
Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Tyron ArnettSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-9
74.2%
Reece Goddard sacked by William Lee for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 18
50
0
74.8%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 30 yds, downed at the NoIll 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1475% → 74%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.7%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
74.6%
Christian Blake run for 3 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+4
74.5%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
74.3%
Matt Ference punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:3126% → 30%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
74.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+23
74.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 23 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+29
73.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 29 yds to the NoIll 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
70.1%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:3073% → 76%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
72.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Shane WimannSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
72.4%
Jordan Huff run for 12 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
72.7%
Jordan Huff run for 7 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+23
72.6%
Jordan Huff run for 23 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.7%
Jordan Huff run for no gain to the WMich 1Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.8%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:2025% → 26%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.6%
Reece Goddard run for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
74.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 10 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
74.1%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 8 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
73.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-1
73.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+1
74.2%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 38 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 1 yd to the NoIll 16 Chad Beebe fumbled, recovered by WMich Treshaun HaywardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:4128% → 33%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
72.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the NoIll 14Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+5
72.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the NoIll 9Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+6
72.9%
Reece Goddard run for 6 yds to the NoIll 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
72.1%
Reece Goddard run for 1 yd to the NoIll 2Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
72.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the NoIll 2Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:4469% → 68%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
69.3%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 4Similar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 15
OWN 4
0
69.2%
Jordan Huff run for no gain to the NoIll 4Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 15
OWN 4
+2
69.0%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 6Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 13
OWN 6
+1
68.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 1 yd to the NoIll 7Similar
Q2 10:14
4TH & 12
OWN 7
0
67.5%
Matt Ference punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0634% → 35%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
66.0%
Ra'Sean Davie run for 1 yd to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+15
65.6%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 15 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
64.6%
Ra'Sean Davie run for 1 yd to the NoIll 29Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+2
64.4%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 2 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
64.1%
Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Jarvion FranklinSimilar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
65.2%
Josh Grant 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0669% → 67%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
68.8%
Marcus Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+10
68.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Christian Blake for 10 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-5
69.2%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (Ryan Roberts) to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
67.9%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
67.0%
Matt Ference punt for 7 yds, downed at the NoIll 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12FUMBLE TD
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+58
73.3%
Reece Goddard run for a loss of 4 yards Reece Goddard fumbled, recovered by NoIll Sutton Smith , return for 58 yds, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:2926% → 25%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
74.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 38Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+2
75.3%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 2 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+30
75.6%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 30 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
72.1%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 7 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 23
-3
71.7%
Reece Goddard sacked by Alex Schwab for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
72.9%
Reece Goddard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 6
OPP 26
0
74.6%
Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:2976% → 76%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
76.4%
Jordan Huff run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 12
OWN 24
0
76.0%
Marcus Childers run for no gain to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+8
74.8%
Marcus Childers run for 8 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
76.1%
Josh Orne punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:3223% → 21%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
76.8%
Reece Goddard sacked by Sutton Smith and Ben LeRoy for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 38Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+7
77.8%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 7 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-8
76.8%
Reece Goddard run for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 35 Reece Goddard fumbled, recovered by WMich Reece GoddardSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
79.3%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:2477% → 77%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
76.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 18Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-2
76.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
17 plays · 38 yds · 6:2377% → 78%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
77.2%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (Ryan Roberts) to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+2
76.9%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+12
76.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 12 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
77.5%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
78.8%
Jordan Huff run for 8 yds to the NoIll 44 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christian Blake) to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 12
OWN 34
+8
77.3%
Marcus Childers run for 8 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
78.8%
Marcus Jones run for no gain to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+15
78.3%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Malik Rucker) to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
79.6%
Jordan Huff run for 5 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
79.6%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+4
79.0%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
80.1%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-15
81.4%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Illegal Block (Mitchell Brinkman) to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 22
OPP 44
+8
80.2%
Marcus Childers run for 8 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 14
OPP 36
0
79.5%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 14
OPP 36
0
77.8%
Josh Orne punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18FUMBLE
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:4123% → 22%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
77.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+21
77.1%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 21 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
75.9%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 4 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+10
75.5%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 10 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
74.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 45Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
75.5%
Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Anton CurtisSimilar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+12
76.6%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Anton Curtis for 12 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.7%
Reece Goddard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-5
74.4%
Reece Goddard sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 48Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 15
OPP 48
0
77.3%
Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Jarvion FranklinSimilar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 15
OPP 48
-4
78.5%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 32 yds , Trayshon Foster returns for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 12 Trayshon Foster fumbled, recovered by WMich Hunter BroersmaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:0928% → 45%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
72.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the NoIll 7Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
72.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the NoIll 7Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
54.8%
Reece Goddard run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
64.2%
Marcus Jones run for no gain to the NoIll 24 Marcus Jones fumbled, recovered by WMich Stefan Claiborne , return for 12 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:0447% → 68%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
52.8%
D'Wayne Eskridge run for 9 yds to the NoIll 15Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+2
52.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
32.3%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 13 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:2441% → 68%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+24
40.8%
Jordan Huff run for 24 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
45.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
44.1%
Jordan Huff run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+17
41.2%
Jordan Huff run for 17 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
43.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 3 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
67.9%
Jordan Huff run for 14 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23FG
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:2342% → 60%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
58.3%
Reece Goddard run for no gain to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+10
58.8%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (10 Yards) to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
57.8%
Reece Goddard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
58.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+68
59.5%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 68 yds to the NoIll 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
50.2%
Reece Goddard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
50.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+1
52.1%
Reece Goddard run for 1 yd to the NoIll 11Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
40.0%
Josh Grant 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:1745% → 84%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
45.3%
Jordan Huff run for no gain to the NoIll 33Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
44.9%
Marcus Childers run for 6 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+7
46.3%
Jordan Huff run for 7 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
48.4%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
46.1%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+12
47.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for 12 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
49.8%
Jordan Huff run for 5 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+5
49.8%
Jordan Huff run for 5 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
49.8%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+26
83.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 26 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5430% → 25%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.5%
Reece Goddard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
71.1%
Reece Goddard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
75.0%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 35 yds, downed at the NoIll 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26END OF GAME
14 plays · 39 yds · 4:4285% → 96%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
85.2%
Jordan Huff run for 12 yds to the NoIll 48 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jordan Huff) to the NoIll 33Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 13
OWN 33
+7
82.7%
Jordan Huff run for 7 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
84.9%
Jordan Huff run for 1 yd to the NoIll 41Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+13
86.7%
Christian Blake run for 13 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
89.3%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
89.9%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+4
89.9%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
92.1%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
93.5%
Christian Blake run for no gain to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+12
94.2%
Tre Harbison run for 12 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
95.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:20
Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 26 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+33.7
TD · Q4 14:04
Jordan Huff run for 14 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+24.3
TD · Q3 1:36
Reece Goddard pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 13 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)
-20.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com