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OHIO

Ohio 34 at Akron 37

AKR
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 14, 2017 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:27 · Nick Gasser punt blocked by Dylan Wears blocked by Dylan Wears Dylan Wears return for 1 yd to the Akron 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior−27.4Home team on offense−1.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score differential−0.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:12: Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 71 yds for a TD, (Nick Gasser KICK) — AKR win probability +5.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:56: Austin Wolf 23 Yd pass from Kato Nelson (Nick Gasser Kick) — AKR win probability +5.9 pts (now 32%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:01: Kwadarrius Smith 54 Yd pass from Kato Nelson (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — AKR win probability +11.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:30: Manny Morgan 8 Yd Run (Nick Gasser Kick) — AKR win probability +17.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:58: Nathan Rourke 13 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick) — OHIO win probability +23.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 10OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:50AKR 4th & 1 at OHIO 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45AKR 4th & 2 at OHIO 2, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:27AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 16, down 4
    Close callPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:31OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:14OHIO 4th & 1 at AKR 1, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−8.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:01OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 34, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:55AKR 4th & 9 at OHIO 39, up 6
    Close callPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−0.4
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:52OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:14AKR 4th & 12 at OHIO 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    47.1%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:17OHIO 4th & 5 at AKR 29, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−11.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:12AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 31, up 3
    Close callPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:33OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 30, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 44, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:26OHIO 4th & 1 at AKR 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.1%−3.5
    80% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−11.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:58AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−9.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:44OHIO 4th & 4 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.3%−3.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 5OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:56OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:13AKR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:32OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:54OHIO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:12AKR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 10:56AKR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:01AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    40.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:30AKR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:58OHIO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.3%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
17.7%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
17.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete, broken up by Quentin PolingSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
17.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 5 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
17.7%
Nick Gasser punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:4282% → 82%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
18.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+68
18.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 68 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3FG
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:0518% → 22%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
18.3%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
18.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Manny Morgan for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+8
18.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 8 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
18.3%
Kato Nelson run for 12 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
18.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kevin Gladney for 6 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
18.4%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kevin GladneySimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+3
18.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 3 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
18.3%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
18.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 8 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
18.5%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+21
18.4%
Manny Morgan run for 21 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
18.5%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 8Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
18.5%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
18.4%
Kato Nelson run for 6 yds to the Ohio 2Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
21.5%
Nick Gasser 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4INT
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
20.9%
Papi White run for 25 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+45
20.6%
Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Shawn Featherstone return for 45 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:4423% → 25%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
22.7%
Manny Morgan run for 10 yds to the Ohio 16 AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 15
OPP 31
+15
22.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 15 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 15
OPP 31
0
22.5%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
25.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 16 yds for a TD, (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:3476% → 78%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
23.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+24
23.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the AKRON 44 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
23.2%
Rourke, Nathan pass incomplete to White, Papi, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON14, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
23.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
23.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 8
OPP 12
-5
23.5%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Akron 17Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+14
23.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 14 yds to the Akron 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
21.8%
Brendan Cope pass complete to Nathan Rourke for 3 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
22.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Bradd EllisSimilar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+8
22.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 8 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
22.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 2
OWN 16
+1
22.2%
Nick Gasser punt blocked by Dylan Wears blocked by Dylan Wears Dylan Wears return for 1 yd to the Akron 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:1578% → 81%
Q1 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
22.2%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the Akron 5Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
18.8%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
19.6%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+8
19.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 8 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
19.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
19.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
18.9%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+3
19.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
19.2%
Nathan Rourke run for no gain to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
19.4%
Michael Farkas punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Shawn Featherstone at the Akron 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11TD
1 play · 71 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
25.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 71 yds for a TD, (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13TD
1 play · 23 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
31.7%
Austin Wolf 23 Yd pass from Kato Nelson (Nick Gasser Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 4:4270% → 71%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
29.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 27 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
28.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+7
28.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
27.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 19 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
27.5%
Papi White run for 13 yds to the Akron 1 OHIO Penalty, personal foul (-14 Yards) to the Akron 15Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+7
28.1%
Rourke, Nathan pass incomplete to White, Papi, PENALTY AKRON personal foul 7 yards to the AKRON6, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
27.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
27.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Akron 2Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
28.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
27.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+3
27.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
28.6%
Louie Zervos 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:0733% → 44%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
32.7%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+20
33.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 20 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
44.3%
Kwadarrius Smith 54 Yd pass from Kato Nelson (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:0059% → 58%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
41.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
39.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
40.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
42.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Shawn Featherstone at the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
42.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 11 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
42.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+14
42.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kevin Gladney for 14 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
44.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kevin GladneySimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
44.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kevin Gladney for 11 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
45.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Kylan NelsonSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
44.8%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 39Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
44.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
42.1%
Nick Gasser punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18END OF HALF
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:0058% → 61%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
41.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
41.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 10 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
40.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Darian DaileySimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
40.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 12 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
38.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
39.6%
Rourke, Nathan pass incomplete to Ouellette, A.J., PENALTY AKRON offside 5 yards to the AKRON42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
38.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Troy MangenSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
39.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi White, broken up by Jamal BaggettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
43.8%
Rourke, Nathan pass incomplete to White, Papi, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the OHIO40, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
42.1%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+4
43.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
42.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
44.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Shawn Featherstone at the Akron 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 36 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
48.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Manny Morgan for 2 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+7
48.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 7 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+1
48.7%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
49.0%
Manny Morgan run for 8 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
51.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius Smith, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+7
49.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 7 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
51.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 13 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
51.5%
MORGAN, Manny rush for 3 yards to the OHIO36 (Fox, Jalen), PENALTY AKRON false start 5 yards to the OHIO44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 15
OPP 44
0
50.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+2
49.9%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+1
48.8%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
46.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:5149% → 52%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+19
51.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 19 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
50.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 31Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+3
51.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+15
51.7%
Rourke, Nathan pass incomplete to Cope, Brendan, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the OHIO49, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
47.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 17 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
45.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
45.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+1
47.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 1 yd to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+46
48.2%
Louie Zervos 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
51.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 7 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+1
52.6%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
50.6%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Manny MorganSimilar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
49.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 47 yds, downed at the Ohio 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
52.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-1
52.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 21Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+9
54.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
54.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 35 yds , Shawn Featherstone returns for no gain to the Akron 37 Shawn Featherstone fumbled, recovered by Akron Shawn FeatherstoneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:1855% → 54%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
55.3%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to WOLF, Austin, PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 20
OWN 27
0
53.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q3 0:18
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+2
53.2%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 29
+15
51.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 15 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+4
54.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 31 yds , Papi White returns for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0045% → 47%
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
55.0%
Rourke, Nathan pass incomplete to White, Papi, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the OHIO44, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
51.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 14:34
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
50.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Kyron BrownSimilar
Q4 14:34
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+28
52.9%
Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Jordan George return for 28 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:0465% → 83%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
65.3%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
65.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 3 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+12
63.5%
Kato Nelson run for 12 yds to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
65.3%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 8Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
82.6%
Manny Morgan 8 Yd Run (Nick Gasser Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 27TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:2821% → 46%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
78.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 6 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+16
77.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 16 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
75.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
75.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+5
73.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
75.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
73.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
73.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+4
75.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+4
77.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
54.0%
Nathan Rourke 13 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:5568% → 64%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
68.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+3
67.9%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
66.6%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Cleon AloeseSimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 7
OWN 11
-5
65.1%
AKRON Penalty, failure to wear required equipment (-5 Yards) to the Akron 6Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 12
OWN 6
0
64.4%
Nick Gasser punt for 50 yds, downed at the Ohio 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 29DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
58.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+2
59.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+3
59.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 4
50
0
60.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi White, broken up by Denzel ButlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 30END OF GAME
11 plays · -4 yds · 1:5785% → 95%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
50
-1
85.3%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+5
84.9%
Kato Nelson run for 5 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+6
87.5%
Kato Nelson run for 6 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
88.9%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
88.3%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 12
OPP 42
-5
87.2%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 17
OPP 47
-7
94.5%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:58
Nathan Rourke 13 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)
-23
TD · Q4 11:30
Manny Morgan 8 Yd Run (Nick Gasser Kick)
+17.4
TD · Q2 5:01
Kwadarrius Smith 54 Yd pass from Kato Nelson (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com