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BALL

Ball State 17 at Northern Illinois 63

NIU
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2017 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:55 · Matt Ference punt for 53 yds, downed at the BalSt 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Pregame prior+28.8Home team on offense+26.3Score differential+21.4Blowout margin+8.2Garbage-time factor+7.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:57: Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 23 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +1.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:51: D.J. Brown run for 6 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +2.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:02: Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 5 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:53: Malik Dunner run for 4 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +1.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:20: Marcus Childers pass complete to Christian Blake for 19 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5BALL made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 14:57BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:35BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 28, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:44BALL 4th & 19 at BALL 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:58BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:28NIU 4th & 14 at BALL 36, up 28
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:31BALL 4th & 14 at BALL 4, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.5%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:21NIU 4th & 6 at BALL 31, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:49BALL 4th & 9 at BALL 44, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:55NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 36, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:35BALL 4th & 14 at BALL 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:18BALL 4th & 4 at NIU 4, down 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 25, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:26BALL 4th & 23 at BALL 34, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:45BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 27, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:33NIU 4th & 3 at BALL 44, up 39
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:18BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 9, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:53NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:57BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:51NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:51NIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:02NIU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:53BALL Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:20NIU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:40NIU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:52NIU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
95.1%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 17Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 12
OWN 17
-3
95.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 14Similar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+4
95.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 18Similar
Q1 14:57
4TH & 11
OWN 18
+4
95.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 41 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 4 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:5695% → 94%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
94.7%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
94.6%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+17
94.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 17 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
94.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
94.7%
Marcus Jones run for 1 yd to the BalSt 33Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+5
94.7%
GRAHAM, Ryan rush for 5 yards to the BALL28 (MILLER, Josh), PENALTY BALL offside (WINBUSH, A.) 5 yards to the BALL28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+9
94.7%
Marcus Jones run for 9 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.7%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
94.7%
Marcus Jones run for 7 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+4
94.7%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the BalSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
94.7%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.7%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:526% → 7%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
94.1%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
94.2%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+12
94.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 12 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
94.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Khalil Newton for 26 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
94.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
94.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+23
92.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 23 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:0093% → 94%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
92.8%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
92.8%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+32
92.7%
Marcus Childers run for 32 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
93.1%
Christian Blake run for 4 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+8
93.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 8 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
93.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Christian Blake for 8 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+24
93.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jordan Huff for 24 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5PUNT TD
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:127% → 6%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
93.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-2
93.1%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 22Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+5
93.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q1 0:35
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+13
94.2%
Nathan Snyder punt blocked by Trayshon Foster blocked by Trayshon Foster Jackson Abresch return for 13 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:326% → 6%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-8
94.0%
Drew Plitt sacked by Weston Kramer for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 14
+12
94.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 12 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+2
94.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 2 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
94.1%
Morgan Hagee punt for 33 yds, downed at the NoIll 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:3895% → 97%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
94.5%
Marcus Jones run for 1 yd to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
94.5%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+11
94.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 11 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
94.6%
D.J. Brown run for 3 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
94.6%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Christian Blake, broken up by Josh MillerSimilar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+15
94.5%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass incomplete to WIMANN, Shane, PENALTY BALL roughing passer (WINBUSH, A.) 15 yards to the BALL29, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
94.6%
Ryan Graham run for 9 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+14
94.6%
Ryan Graham run for 14 yds to the BalSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.7%
D.J. Brown run for 6 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
96.5%
Markice Hurt run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 17Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
96.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Khalil NewtonSimilar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 12
OWN 17
-7
96.6%
Drew Plitt sacked by Joe Sanders for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 10Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 19
OWN 10
0
96.6%
Morgan Hagee punt for 31 yds, downed at the BalSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 1:1197% → 99%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+30
97.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Tre Harbison for 30 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
97.2%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the BalSt 5Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
98.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 5 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
98.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+12
98.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 12 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-7
98.7%
Drew Plitt sacked by Antonio Jones-Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 17
OWN 26
+7
98.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
98.8%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Cody Rudy, broken up by Trayshon FosterSimilar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
98.8%
Morgan Hagee punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 34 , Shawun Lurry returns for no gain to the NoIll 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
98.9%
Jordan Huff run for 7 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+11
98.8%
Christian Blake run for 11 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.9%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
98.9%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+8
98.8%
Jordan Huff run for 8 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
98.9%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-7
98.9%
Marcus Childers sacked by Jacob White for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 36Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 14
OPP 36
0
98.9%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jordan HuffSimilar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 14
OPP 36
0
98.8%
Matt Ference punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:171% → 1%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
99.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+2
99.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 6
OWN 12
-8
99.1%
Drew Plitt sacked by Josh Corcoran for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 4Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 14
OWN 4
-3
99.1%
Morgan Hagee punt for 28 yds , Shawun Lurry returns for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.0%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.0%
D.J. Brown run for 6 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+3
99.0%
Marcus Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 1
OPP 26
-5
99.0%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 6
OPP 31
0
98.9%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:351% → 1%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.1%
Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
98.9%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+5
99.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
99.2%
Drew Plitt sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 37Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+7
99.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Khalil Newton for 7 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
99.3%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Shawun LurrySimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Morgan Hagee punt for 12 yds, downed at the NoIll 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.3%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.4%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by Josh MillerSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Matt Ference punt for 53 yds, downed at the BalSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
11 plays · 89 yds · 5:151% → 3%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
99.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+4
99.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
99.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Khalil Newton for 10 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+12
99.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 12 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-2
99.2%
Jack Milas run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 7
50
+7
99.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
99.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Khalil Newton for 23 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
99.3%
Malik Dunner run for 16 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.3%
Malik Dunner run for 4 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:2798% → 100%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
98.0%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+12
98.0%
Tre Harbison run for 12 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
98.1%
Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 2
50
0
98.1%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 2
50
+4
98.1%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
98.2%
D.J. Brown run for 4 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brett Anderson II) to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.2%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Christian Blake, broken up by Sean Hammonds Jr.Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+15
98.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 15 yds to the BalSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-7
98.2%
Marcus Childers sacked by Christian Albright for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 19Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 17
OPP 19
+19
99.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Christian Blake for 19 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.7%
Jack Milas pass intercepted Jawuan Johnson return for 2 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.8%
Jordan Huff run for 35 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
99.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 10 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 38Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-4
99.8%
Jack Milas sacked by Drequan Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 34Similar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Morgan Hagee punt for 59 yds, downed at the NoIll 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
99.8%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 9Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+1
99.8%
Jauan Wesley run for 1 yd to the NoIll 6 Jauan Wesley fumbled, forced by Michael Robinson Jr., recovered by BalSt Bryce CosbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.8%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 7Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the NoIll 4Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Khalil Newton, broken up by Jalen EmbrySimilar
Q3 0:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
99.7%
Morgan Hagee 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:12100% → 100%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.8%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 1 yd to the NoIll 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Matt Ference punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Malik Dunner run for 3 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Khalil Newton for 11 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
99.8%
Malik Dunner run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 46Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 11
OWN 46
-14
99.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd to the BalSt 47 BALL ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Nolan Givan) to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 25
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 14:26
4TH & 23
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Morgan Hagee punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Dwayne Milton run for 1 yd to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Dwayne Milton run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+70
99.9%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 70 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Caleb Huntley for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 27Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Caleb HuntleySimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Morgan Hagee punt for 24 yds, downed at the NoIll 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
99.9%
Jauan Wesley run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 47Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Dwayne Milton run for 4 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Andrew Parchment run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Matt Ference punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 29PUNT TD
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-3
99.9%
Markice Hurt run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 8Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 13
OWN 8
-2
99.9%
Markice Hurt run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 6Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 15
OWN 6
+3
99.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Khalil Newton for 3 yds to the BalSt 9Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 12
OWN 9
0
100.0%
Morgan Hagee punt blocked by Jauan Wesley blocked by Jauan Wesley Jackson Abresch return for no gain for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 30END OF GAME
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Luke Endsley for 9 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
100.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Devin Reece for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
Markice Hurt run for 5 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
100.0%
Markice Hurt run for 8 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+8
100.0%
Markice Hurt run for 8 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Khalil NewtonSimilar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+14
100.0%
Markice Hurt run for 14 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.9%
Malik Dunner run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-6
99.9%
Jack Milas sacked by Herlandez Corley for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:51
D.J. Brown run for 6 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q3 8:53
Malik Dunner run for 4 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)
-1.9
TD · Q3 5:20
Marcus Childers pass complete to Christian Blake for 19 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com