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2017 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2017 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:35 · Morgan Hagee 44 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+5.7Home team on offense+36.6Score differential+29.1Blowout margin+17.0Garbage-time factor+10.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+16.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:56: Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +2.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:40: Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 74 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +2.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:59: Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 4 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +3.5 pts (now 8%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:40: Shaq Vann run for 21 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +3.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:36: Shaq Vann run for 21 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:34BALL 4th & 17 at EMU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00BALL 4th & 13 at BALL 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:52BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 24, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:35BALL 4th & 4 at EMU 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:07EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:35BALL 4th & 6 at EMU 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:45EMU 4th & 6 at BALL 41, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:35BALL 4th & 7 at EMU 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:35EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 35, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:06EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:48BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:15EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:56EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:40EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:59BALL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:40EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:36EMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:39EMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:56EMU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
93.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the BalSt 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
93.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+9
93.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
93.4%
Morgan Hagee punt for 7 yds, downed at the BalSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:2993% → 93%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
93.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 20 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
93.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 11 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:187% → 8%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+23
93.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 23 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
93.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 10 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
93.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
93.1%
Malik Dunner run for 11 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
92.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Khalil Newton for 25 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
92.4%
Brogan Roback sacked by Anthony Winbush for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 26 Brogan Roback fumbled, recovered by BalSt Jacob White , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
92.1%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (Zac Ricketts) to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+3
92.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 12
OPP 28
-5
92.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 17
OPP 33
0
92.3%
Drew Plitt run for no gain to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 17
OPP 33
0
92.3%
Morgan Hagee punt for 27 yds, downed at the EMich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
17 plays · 94 yds · 7:1092% → 92%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
91.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 12 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
91.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 11 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
91.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 8 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+1
91.9%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+4
91.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
91.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
91.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
91.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 7 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
91.9%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+9
91.9%
Blake Banham run for 9 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
92.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
92.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 6 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+6
91.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 6 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
90.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
90.7%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the BalSt 20Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+20
91.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 20 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:099% → 9%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
91.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-5
91.3%
Drew Plitt run for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 16
0
91.3%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 16
0
91.4%
Morgan Hagee punt for 37 yds, downed at the EMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:5092% → 94%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
91.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 19 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
91.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for no gain to the BalSt 34Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
91.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Jaron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+18
91.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 18 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
91.7%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Jaron, PENALTY BALL pass interference (COSBY, Bryce) 13 yards to the BALL3, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
92.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 18Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+6
92.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
92.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Nolan Givan, broken up by Justin MoodySimilar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
93.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:4493% → 96%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
93.4%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+74
96.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 74 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:344% → 8%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+29
95.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 29 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
95.6%
Justin Hall run for 7 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Vince Calhoun) to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
95.4%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+2
95.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+2
95.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+16
95.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Brennan Gillis for 16 yds to the EMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
95.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the EMich 4Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
91.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 4 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:1293% → 97%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
93.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+15
93.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Isaac Holder for 15 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
93.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Isaac Holder for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+20
93.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 20 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
93.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+11
93.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 11 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
93.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Josh MillerSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
97.4%
Shaq Vann run for 21 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13MISSED FG
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:564% → 4%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+30
96.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 30 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Khalil NewtonSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
96.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+3
96.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 3 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
96.3%
Morgan Hagee 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2898% → 97%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
97.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
97.5%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+3
97.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
97.4%
Jake Julien punt for 38 yds, downed at the BalSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:2497% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+20
97.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 20 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
97.4%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the BalSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
97.4%
Blake Banham run for 3 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+15
97.4%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to BAILEY, Sergio (MILLER, Josh), PENALTY BALL pass interference (MILLER, Josh) 15 yards to the BALL23, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
97.4%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+21
99.5%
Shaq Vann run for 21 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 1:541% → 0%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.4%
Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+7
99.4%
Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.5%
Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+11
99.7%
Drew Plitt run for 11 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.7%
Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-2
99.6%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete, broken up by Kwanii FigueroaSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Morgan Hagee punt for 44 yds, downed at the EMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 97 yds · 5:44100% → 100%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+8
99.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 8 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 2
OWN 11
+12
99.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 12 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+8
99.7%
Brogan Roback run for 8 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.7%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+27
99.7%
Blake Banham run for 27 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
99.8%
Blake Banham run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 40Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+1
99.8%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the BalSt 39Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+36
99.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 36 yds to the BalSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Blake Banham run for 3 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18FUMBLE
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
99.9%
HUNTLEY, Caleb rush for 4 yards to the BALL19 (HOYING, Brody), PENALTY BALL illegal formation 5 yards to the BALL10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+7
99.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+11
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 11 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Khalil Newton for 31 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Markice Hurt run for 5 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-11
99.9%
Drew Plitt sacked by Jeremiah Harris for a loss of 11 yards to the BalSt 45 Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by EMich Maxx Crosby , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+7
99.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the BalSt 38 BALL ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the BalSt 38Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-5
99.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Jeremy Hickey) to the BalSt 41Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Blake Banham run for no gain to the BalSt 41Similar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Ivan Oraha punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20MISSED FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:000% → 0%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
100.0%
HURT, Markice rush for no gain to the BALL10 (VALASTI, Ville), PENALTY BALL holding 5 yards to the BALL5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+2
100.0%
Markice Hurt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+10
100.0%
PLITT, Drew pass incomplete to NEWTON, Khalil (McGILL, Kevin), PENALTY EMU holding (McGILL, Kevin) 10 yards to the BALL17, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
100.0%
Markice Hurt run for 6 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Khalil Newton for 19 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
Markice Hurt run for 7 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
99.9%
Markice Hurt run for 12 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
Markice Hurt run for 5 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-5
99.9%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 27Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Brennan Gillis, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
100.0%
Morgan Hagee 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Isaac Stiebeling pass incomplete to Keyan MarshallSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Jake Julien punt for 49 yds , Justin Hall returns for no gain to the BalSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22INT TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
100.0%
Markice Hurt run for 10 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
100.0%
Markice Hurt run for 1 yd to the BalSt 27Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+46
100.0%
Drew Plitt pass intercepted for a TD Jeff Hubbard return for 46 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23Uncategorized
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
100.0%
Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Markice Hurt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
Markice Hurt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:40
Shaq Vann run for 21 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q2 6:59
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 4 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)
-3.5
TD · Q2 10:40
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 74 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com