Try the model
WMU

Western Michigan 20 at Eastern Michigan 17

EMU
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Rynearson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:49 · Jake Julien punt for 45 yds, downed at the WMich 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialTime remainingGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 154Home team on offense+1.0Score differential−1.2Time remaining−0.4Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Defense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:17: Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 35 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +10.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:58: Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +13.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:04: Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +16.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:57: Breck Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +32.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Josh Grant 21 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +15.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 10:06EMU 4th & 14 at WMU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    47.2%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:53WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:24EMU 4th & 12 at WMU 28, tied
    Close callWent for it · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.6%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    47.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:25WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:50WMU 4th & 9 at EMU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:44EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 23, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.8%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:17EMU 4th & 3 at WMU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    46.1%−1.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:17WMU 4th & 9 at EMU 38, down 4
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:56EMU 4th & 5 at WMU 25, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.9%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−9.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 4 at EMU 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:48EMU 4th & 11 at WMU 32, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.4%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−2.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:50WMU 4th & 14 at EMU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−5.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−4.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:49EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−4.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:14EMU 4th & 17 at WMU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−5.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 6:17EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:58WMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:04WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:57EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
17 plays · 36 yds · 4:5450% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
49.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
49.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 6 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
49.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 4 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
49.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+7
49.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
49.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 49
0
49.6%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 49
0
49.6%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+16
50.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 16 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
50.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
50.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
50.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 9
OPP 34
-5
50.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 14
OPP 39
+37
50.3%
Ivan Oraha punt for 37 yds, downed at the WMich 2 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
50.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+17
50.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 17 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
50.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 22Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+2
50.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
50.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+6
50.9%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 46 yds , Isaac Holder returns for 6 yds to the EMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
51.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 10 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
51.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 9 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 1
OPP 45
-1
51.7%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+8
51.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 8 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
51.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+8
51.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 8 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
51.9%
Brogan Roback run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+2
51.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 2 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 11
OPP 27
-1
51.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 12
OPP 28
+3
50.8%
Brogan Roback run for 3 yds to the WMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
50.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 4 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
50.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
50.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete, broken up by Luke MacleanSimilar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
51.5%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0552% → 51%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
51.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 5Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+1
51.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 6
0
51.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 6
+2
50.8%
Jake Julien punt for 50 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 2 yds to the WMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:5250% → 51%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
49.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 12 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
49.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Chukwuma Okorafor) to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+27
49.9%
Jon Wassink run for 27 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
48.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the EMich 19Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
48.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
49.6%
WASSINK, Jon pass complete to CURTIS, Anton for 10 yards to the EMU9, out-of-bounds, QB hurry by RACHWAL, Kyle, PENALTY WMU illegal touching (CURTIS, Anton) 0 yards to the EMU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
48.9%
Josh Grant 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7FUMBLE
10 plays · 58 yds · 0:0049% → 52%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
49.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to John NiupalauSimilar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
49.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
48.4%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+27
47.9%
Kyle Rachwal run for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
50
+13
51.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner for 13 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
51.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 6 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+10
52.2%
Sergio Bailey II run for 10 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
52.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
52.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the WMich 20 Ian Eriksen fumbled, forced by Caleb Bailey, recovered by WMich Davontae GinwrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 33 yds · 0:0051% → 53%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
48.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 4 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+12
48.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 12 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
48.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 12 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
47.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the EMich 47 Jamauri Bogan fumbled, forced by Justin Moody, recovered by EMich Jeremiah HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:5951% → 59%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
51.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 11 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
51.4%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
51.5%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
51.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to John Niupalau, broken up by Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+35
58.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 35 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
58.9%
Deadball foul, PENALTY EMU personal foul (NIUPALAU, Johnnie) 15 yards to the EMU20, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
50
+1
54.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
54.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+10
55.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 10 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
54.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-15
54.6%
WASSINK, Jon pass incomplete to ESKRIDGE, D'Wayne, PENALTY WMU holding declined, PENALTY WMU personal foul (ERNSBERGER, Donnie) 15 yards to the WMU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 23
OWN 48
+5
56.7%
WASSINK, Jon pass complete to SANDERS, Luke for 17 yards to the EMU35, fumble forced by CALHOUN, Vince, fumble by SANDERS, Luke recovered by EMU BECK, Jason at EMU35, PENALTY EMU offside (CROSBY, Maxx) 5 yards to the EMU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 18
OPP 47
+9
56.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Anton Curtis for 9 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
54.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keishawn Watson, broken up by Juan GiraldoSimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
56.9%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Isaac Holder at the EMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0058% → 59%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+10
58.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 10 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
59.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Isaac HolderSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-15
58.8%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Sam Beal return for a loss of 15 yards to the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 2:0742% → 60%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
58.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 15 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
56.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 14 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+30
55.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 30 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
53.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
39.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0047% → 49%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
46.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
48.5%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
45.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Anton CurtisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
45.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 8 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
44.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-3
45.9%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 43 yds , Isaac Holder returns for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:3747% → 56%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
46.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 4 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+6
47.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
47.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
47.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+11
45.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
48.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+32
48.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 32 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
52.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 5 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
52.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
50.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Sam BealSimilar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
56.2%
Paul Fricano 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5249% → 70%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
51.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Anton Curtis for 19 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
48.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 5 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
48.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Anton CurtisSimilar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+19
48.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 19 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
46.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+11
46.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 11 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
46.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
29.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17FUMBLE
9 plays · 66 yds · 0:0036% → 42%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
35.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 7 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+1
37.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 1 yd to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+12
35.8%
Breck Turner run for 12 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
38.6%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+8
39.4%
Breck Turner run for 8 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
40.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 10 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
40.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 22 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
42.0%
Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the WMich 12 Breck Turner fumbled, forced by Malik Rucker, recovered by WMich Andre TurnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:2869% → 72%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+20
31.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 20 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
29.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
29.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+5
28.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
28.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 6 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
27.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
26.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
27.8%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:5130% → 63%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+36
30.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 21 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Asantay Brown) to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+25
33.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 25 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
37.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
37.4%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 3
OPP 24
-8
35.4%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+29
30.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 29 yds to the WMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
62.9%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:5850% → 47%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
50.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
49.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
46.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-5
45.8%
Jon Wassink sacked by Maxx Crosby for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-3
48.8%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Keishawn Watson for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
53.2%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaac Holder at the EMich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
55.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 9 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+3
55.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 3 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 0
-9
56.0%
ROBACK, Brogan pass complete to SEXTON, Mathew for 64 yards to the WMU18, PENALTY EMU IB off-setting, PENALTY WMU roughing passer off-setting, PENALTY EMU sideline interference 9 yards to the EMU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+29
55.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 29 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
58.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
57.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Bryce KempSimilar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
55.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
53.3%
Jake Julien punt for 45 yds, downed at the WMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:0050% → 54%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
50.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 13 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
49.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+2
45.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 41 Jamauri Bogan fumbled, recovered by EMich Brody HoyingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:4063% → 56%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-16
62.6%
Antoine Porter run for a loss of 16 yards to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 26
OWN 43
-2
57.7%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 28
OWN 41
+11
55.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 11 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 17
OPP 48
0
56.4%
Ivan Oraha punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24MISSED FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 3:0749% → 63%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
51.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 3
OWN 26
-2
49.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+5
53.8%
GODDARD, Reece sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WMU15 (HOYING, Brody), PENALTY EMU offside (HARRIS, Jeremiah) 5 yards to the WMU29, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
51.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 35 Jarvion Franklin fumbled, forced by Maxx Crosby, recovered by WMich Jarvion FranklinSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
49.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+8
47.3%
Reece Goddard run for 8 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
47.6%
Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Anton CurtisSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
49.0%
Reece Goddard pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 15 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
45.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+9
43.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (Maxx Crosby) to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
38.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+37
37.4%
Josh Grant 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25END OF GAME
14 plays · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 35%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
40.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the EMich 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+11
40.5%
Reece Goddard run for 11 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
40.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the EMich 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
40.5%
Reece Goddard run for no gain to the EMich 5Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
43.0%
Reece Goddard run for 1 yd to the EMich 4Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
27.8%
Josh Grant 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 0
OPP 25
+3
45.2%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to BAILEY, Sergio (PHILLIPS, Darius), PENALTY WMU pass interference (PHILLIPS, Darius) 3 yards to the WMU22, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
41.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the WMich 17Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+9
41.3%
ERIKSEN, Ian rush for 2 yards to the WMU15 (RUCKER, Malik;BAILEY, Caleb), PENALTY WMU personal foul 9 yards to the WMU8, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
41.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the WMich 2Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
41.3%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 4Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
37.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 7Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 0
OPP 7
+24
35.1%
Paul Fricano 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-35.1
TD · Q4 11:57
Breck Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
+32.7
TD · Q3 7:04
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)
-16.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com