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NIU

Northern Illinois 48 at Bowling Green 17

BGSU
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFUMBLEFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:33 · Joseph Davidson punt for 43 yds, downed at the NoIll 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Home team on offense−9.3Pregame prior−21.7Score differential−4.8Garbage-time factor−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:33: Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +2.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:38: James Morgan pass complete to Quintin Morris for 11 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +3.8 pts (now 23%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:33: Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 15 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +4.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:19: Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 73 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +7.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q3 11:55: Andrew Clair run for a loss of 4 yards Andrew Clair fumbled, forced by Sutton Smith, recovered by NoIll Sutton Smith , return for 16 yds, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +2.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:42BGSU 4th & 6 at NIU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:01NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:50BGSU 4th & 1 at NIU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:10NIU 4th & 1 at BGSU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−1.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:43NIU 4th & 12 at BGSU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    77.6%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:48NIU 4th & 2 at BGSU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:33BGSU 4th & 4 at NIU 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:26NIU 4th & 9 at BGSU 42, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:50BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 23, down 31
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:20NIU 4th & 5 at BGSU 15, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:42BGSU 4th & 8 at NIU 36, down 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:42NIU 4th & 4 at BGSU 33, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:36BGSU 4th & 1 at NIU 8, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:47NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:33NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:38BGSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:33NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:19NIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:54BGSU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:50NIU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1381% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
19.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 11 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
19.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 13 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
19.2%
Tommy Mister run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+2
19.2%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+8
19.2%
Marcus Childers run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
19.2%
Tommy Mister run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+4
19.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 4 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
19.8%
Tommy Mister run for 30 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
20.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
20.2%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+9
20.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 9 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-9
20.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Janarvis Pough for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 19
OWN 47
+1
20.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 18
OWN 48
+12
20.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for 12 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
20.1%
Joseph Davidson punt for 39 yds, downed at the NoIll 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
20.7%
Tommy Mister run for no gain to the NoIll 1Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
20.8%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
20.9%
Marcus Childers run for no gain to the NoIll 1Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
21.0%
Matt Ference punt for 38 yds, downed at the NoIll 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
21.6%
James Morgan run for 4 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
21.8%
Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
21.5%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
21.3%
Leonard Skattebo run for no gain to the NoIll 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:2179% → 82%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
20.8%
Christian Blake run for 7 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
20.7%
Marcus Childers run for no gain to the NoIll 37Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+29
20.7%
Marcus Childers run for 29 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
20.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 5 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
20.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 6 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
20.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 14 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
20.8%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
18.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 2:5019% → 23%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
18.8%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
18.8%
Andrew Clair run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+9
19.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 9 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
19.2%
Andrew Clair run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
19.5%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
19.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 31 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
19.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 8 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 2
OPP 10
-1
19.3%
James Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 11Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+11
23.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Quintin Morris for 11 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 2:2878% → 78%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.7%
Tommy Mister run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
21.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Christian Blake, broken up by Montre GregorySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
21.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 14 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
21.0%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
21.1%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+7
21.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 7 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
20.9%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Marcus JonesSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
20.9%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+9
21.2%
Marcus Childers run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-3
21.7%
Marcus Childers sacked by Nate Locke for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8INT
2 plays · -15 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
23.4%
CLEVELAND, Josh rush for loss of 4 yards to the BGSU36 (CORCORAN, Josh), PENALTY BGSU personal foul (WILCOX, Matt) 15 yards to the BGSU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 25
OWN 25
+1
22.3%
James Morgan pass intercepted Trayshon Foster return for 1 yd to the BwGrn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
21.1%
Marcus Childers run for no gain to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-2
21.2%
Tommy Mister run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 43 Tommy Mister fumbled, forced by David Konowalski, recovered by NoIll Tommy MisterSimilar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
21.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
22.4%
Matt Ference punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
22.6%
Andrew Clair run for 28 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Andrew Clair) to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
22.9%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+29
22.5%
James Morgan pass intercepted Jackson Abresch return for 14 yds to the BwGrn 35 NORTHERNIL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Shawun Lurry) to the BwGrn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 47 yds · 3:1579% → 84%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
21.3%
Tommy Mister run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
21.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for 5 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+1
21.3%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
21.3%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 15
OPP 42
0
21.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+9
21.8%
Tommy Mister run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+4
21.5%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+3
22.0%
Tommy Mister run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
20.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 11 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
15.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 15 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
16.8%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
16.8%
Andrew Clair run for 20 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
17.8%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
17.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+3
17.7%
Grant Loy pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for 3 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
17.7%
Joseph Davidson punt for 43 yds, downed at the NoIll 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 95 yds · 2:4284% → 91%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
16.5%
Tommy Mister run for 4 yds to the NoIll 9Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+6
16.6%
Tommy Mister run for 6 yds to the NoIll 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
16.4%
Tommy Mister run for 9 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 1
OWN 24
-2
16.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+5
16.6%
Marcus Jones run for 5 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
9.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 73 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14INT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0510% → 11%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.4%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
10.4%
Grant Loy pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 20 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
11.3%
WILSON, Donovan rush for 7 yards to the NIU47 (EMBRY, Jalen;WILLIAMS, Mykel), PENALTY BGSU holding (CLANCY, Clark) 3 yards to the BGSU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 13
OWN 43
+6
10.9%
Donovan Wilson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-3
11.4%
Grant Loy pass intercepted Mycial Allen return for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 1:1792% → 94%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
8.2%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+15
8.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 15 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
7.9%
Tommy Mister run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
7.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Christian Blake, broken up by Montre GregorySimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+9
8.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 9 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
7.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Christian Blake for 4 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
7.8%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+12
7.6%
Marcus Childers run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+29
6.1%
Christian Hagan 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
8.9%
Andrew Clair run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+12
9.4%
Grant Loy pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 12 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
9.7%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-5
9.8%
Grant Loy sacked by Trayshon Foster for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 43 Grant Loy fumbled, recovered by NoIll Jawuan Johnson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
6.6%
Tommy Mister run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 3
OPP 36
-8
6.5%
CHILDERS, Marcu rush for 28 yards to the BGSU8 (GARTH, Fred), PENALTY NIU holding (VELOZ, Nathan) 8 yards to the BGSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
6.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+2
6.9%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
7.3%
Matt Ference punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18FUMBLE TD
1 play · -4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
5.4%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 4 yards Andrew Clair fumbled, forced by Sutton Smith, recovered by NoIll Sutton Smith , return for 16 yds, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
5.3%
Grant Loy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
5.1%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Alex SchwabSimilar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+10
5.1%
Grant Loy pass complete to Scott Miller for 10 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
5.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Chad Beebe at the NoIll 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 4:0997% → 98%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
3.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Christian Blake for 5 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
3.1%
Tommy Mister run for 4 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+9
2.7%
Tommy Mister run for 9 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
3.0%
Tommy Mister run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
3.0%
Marcus Jones run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
2.9%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
2.9%
Marcus Childers run for no gain to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+2
3.0%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
1.8%
Christian Hagan 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 4:162% → 2%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.8%
Grant Loy run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
1.7%
Grant Loy run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
1.9%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
1.8%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-5
1.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Janarvis Pough) to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+25
1.7%
Andrew Clair run for 25 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
2.0%
Grant Loy sacked by Bobby Jones IV for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+4
1.9%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for 4 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+29
1.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Pete Norris for 29 yds to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-9
2.3%
Grant Loy sacked by Trayshon Foster for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 17Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 0
OPP 17
0
1.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton, broken up by Jalen EmbrySimilar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 0
OPP 17
0
1.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+34
1.5%
Jake Suder 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22FUMBLE
13 plays · 30 yds · 1:5599% → 100%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
0.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+6
0.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 6 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
0.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Christian Blake for 8 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+6
0.7%
Marcus Jones run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
0.7%
Marcus Jones run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
0.7%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 26
-5
0.5%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (Max Scharping) to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
0.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+8
0.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 8 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
0.5%
Marcus Jones run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
0.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. Brown, broken up by Torrian HamptonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+38
0.5%
Marcus Childers sacked by David Konowalski for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 38 Marcus Childers fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Kyle Junior , return for 0 yards , return for 38 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:051% → 0%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
0.6%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the NoIll 37Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+1
0.6%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the NoIll 36Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
0.6%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Donovan WilsonSimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+52
0.4%
Jake Suder 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
0.4%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+22
0.4%
Tre Harbison run for 22 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
0.4%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
0.4%
Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-1
0.4%
Daniel Santacaterina run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
0.5%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:420% → 1%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
0.2%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+30
0.2%
Grant Loy pass complete to Scott Miller for 30 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
0.3%
Grant Loy run for 16 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
0.3%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for 1 yd to the NoIll 16Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+6
0.3%
Grant Loy run for 6 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+2
0.3%
Grant Loy run for 2 yds to the NoIll 8Similar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+3
0.3%
Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the NoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.3%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Matthew Wilcox Jr.Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
0.3%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the NoIll 3Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 0
OPP 3
+1
0.3%
LOY, Grant pass incomplete to MORRIS, Quintin, PENALTY NIU pass interference (SAFFOLD, Ezra) 1 yards to the NIU2, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.3%
Grant Loy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0499% → 100%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.6%
Dwayne Milton run for 9 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+41
0.6%
Dwayne Milton run for 41 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
0.5%
Dwayne Milton run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
0.5%
Dwayne Milton run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
0.5%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
0.5%
Dwayne Milton run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
0.5%
Dwayne Milton run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
0.1%
Jauan Wesley run for 9 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
0.1%
Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
0.1%
Bryson Denley run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+11
0.1%
Bryson Denley run for 11 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:19
Marcus Childers pass complete to Chad Beebe for 73 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
-7.4
TD · Q2 7:33
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 15 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
-4.6
TD · Q1 0:38
James Morgan pass complete to Quintin Morris for 11 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com