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AKR

Akron 21 at Toledo 48

TOL
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:33 · Deltron Sands run for 3 yds to the Akron 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:12: Logan Woodside pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 40 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +2.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:57: Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 13 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +2.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:54: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kobie Booker for 25 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +4.2 pts (now 14%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 10:23: Jameson Vest 40 yd FG GOOD — TOL win probability +2.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:04: Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 25 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +5.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:29AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:50AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:23TOL 4th & 12 at AKR 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:23AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:54TOL 4th & 10 at AKR 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:54AKR 4th & 7 at TOL 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−3.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:58AKR 4th & 1 at TOL 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:12TOL 4th & 4 at AKR 12, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:33TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:12TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:57TOL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:54AKR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:04TOL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:17TOL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:32AKR Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:29AKR Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:40TOL Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TOLDrive 1TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:2787% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.6%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-LewisSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
86.6%
Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+22
86.6%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 22 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
86.6%
WOODSIDE, Logan pass complete to JOHNSON, Di. for 28 yards to the AKRON9 (BUTLER, Denzel), PENALTY TOLEDO ineligible downfield on pass (NKANSAH, Elijah) 5 yards to the AKRON42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+1
86.6%
Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+11
86.6%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jordan Fisher for 11 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+6
86.6%
Terry Swanson run for 6 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
86.4%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 24 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
86.2%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
86.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
86.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Danzel McKinley-Lewis at the Toled 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 3INT
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
86.2%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 20 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
86.4%
Terry Swanson run for 12 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
86.4%
Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+14
86.4%
Logan Woodside pass intercepted Ulysees Gilbert III return for 14 yds to the Akron 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
85.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 13 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
85.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Manny Morgan for no gain to the Akron 42Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
85.8%
Deltron Sands run for no gain to the Akron 42Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
85.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
86.0%
Nick Gasser punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4886% → 88%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.8%
Art Thompkins run for 7 yds to the Toled 32Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
85.9%
WOODSIDE, Logan pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Di., PENALTY TOLEDO ineligible downfield on pass (HEIDECKER, B.) 5 yards to the TOLEDO27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
85.8%
Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the Toled 32Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
85.7%
Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
85.9%
Art Thompkins run for 12 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
86.1%
WOODSIDE, Logan pass complete to THOMPKINS, Art for 11 yards to the AKRON40 (BUTLER, Denzel), PENALTY TOLEDO illegal motion (JOHNSON, Di.) 5 yards to the TOLEDO44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+8
85.9%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 8 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+8
86.1%
Shakif Seymour run for 8 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
88.3%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 40 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Kahlil RobinsonSimilar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Justin Clark return for no gain to the Akron 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 7TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 1:0388% → 91%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
88.3%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 10 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
88.3%
Terry Swanson run for 13 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
91.2%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 13 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:039% → 14%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
91.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
91.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 9 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
90.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kobie Booker for 10 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
90.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
90.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+13
90.9%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to YOUNG, Anthony, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (HOLLMAN, Kadar) 13 yards to the TOLEDO41, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
90.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Toled 40 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Toled 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kobie Booker for 25 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 9FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:2588% → 91%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
88.2%
Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the Toled 35Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+13
88.3%
Terry Swanson run for 13 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.6%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
88.5%
Terry Swanson run for 12 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
88.6%
Terry Swanson run for no gain to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+19
88.6%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 19 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
88.6%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 22Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-1
88.6%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 12
OPP 23
0
88.4%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+40
90.8%
Jameson Vest 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.2%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
90.2%
Thomas Woodson run for no gain to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
90.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
90.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Diontae Johnson at the Toled 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
91.4%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 20 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.7%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Bryce MitchellSimilar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-15
91.7%
WOODSIDE, Logan pass incomplete to THOMPKINS, Art, PENALTY TOLEDO personal foul (HARRIS, Bryce) 15 yards to the TOLEDO39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 25
OWN 39
+11
91.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 14
50
+4
91.4%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
91.0%
Bailey Flint punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12MISSED FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 5:439% → 11%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
90.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+2
90.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+5
90.7%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to CHAPMAN, T., PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (BLUE, Dedarallo) 5 yards to the AKRON12, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
90.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 13Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+5
90.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+11
90.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 11 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
90.2%
EDWARDS, Van rush for no gain to the AKRON29 (ADENIYI, O.;BLUE, Dedarallo), PENALTY TOLEDO personal foul (ADENIYI, O.) 15 yards to the AKRON44, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
89.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 9 yds to the Toled 47Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+3
89.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 3 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
89.0%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to WOLF, Austin, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference off-setting, PENALTY AKRON IE off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
89.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 18 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
89.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
89.2%
Thomas Woodson run for 3 yds to the Toled 23Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
89.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
89.3%
Tom O'Leary 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:5492% → 92%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
91.7%
Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the Toled 25Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
91.7%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 10 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
91.8%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jordan Fisher for 26 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.3%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
92.2%
Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+55
91.7%
Jameson Vest 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.3%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-11
91.3%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Olasunkanmi Adeniyi for a loss of 11 yards to the Akron 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+18
91.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 18 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
91.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 53 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for no gain to the Toled 34 TOLEDO Penalty, illegal block (Nate Childress) to the Toled 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 15TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 4:3992% → 97%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+23
91.7%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 23 yds to the Toled 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
91.9%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Reggie Gilliam for 13 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
92.2%
Terry Swanson run for 6 yds to the Toled 49Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
92.3%
Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
91.9%
Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
92.2%
TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Diontae Johnson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 15
50
-2
92.1%
Terry Swanson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 48Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 17
OWN 48
0
92.1%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 17
OWN 48
+18
91.7%
Logan Woodside run for 18 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
92.3%
Terry Swanson run for 9 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+25
97.3%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 25 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16FUMBLE
11 plays · 49 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
97.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 5 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+1
97.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+10
97.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 10 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Justin ClarkSimilar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
97.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 9 yds to the Toled 47Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
96.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the Toled 47Similar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
97.0%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
96.9%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to SMITH, Kwad., PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (MATHIS, Trevon) 15 yards to the TOLEDO30, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
96.7%
Deltron Sands run for 7 yds to the Toled 23 Deltron Sands fumbled, forced by Tyler Taafe, recovered by Toled Ja'Wuan WoodleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 17TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:5098% → 100%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
98.2%
Terry Swanson run for 20 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
98.3%
Terry Swanson run for 10 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
98.4%
Logan Woodside run for 13 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
98.4%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Drew Rosi for 9 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+8
98.4%
Logan Woodside run for 8 yds to the Akron 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
98.4%
Terry Swanson run for 6 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q3 0:17
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 11 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:450% → 2%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.8%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the Akron 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
99.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 12 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Manny MorganSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
99.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 11 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Toled 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+16
99.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 16 yds to the Toled 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
99.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 12 yds to the Toled 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von Chapman, broken up by Marcus WhitfieldSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
98.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 17 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 19FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:1499% → 100%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.4%
Art Thompkins run for 8 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+3
99.4%
Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Michael Julian pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips, broken up by Shawn FeatherstoneSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.4%
Art Thompkins run for 8 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+19
99.3%
Michael Julian pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 19 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.4%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
99.4%
Michael Julian pass incomplete to Desmond PhillipsSimilar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+2
99.4%
Michael Julian run for 2 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
99.9%
Jameson Vest 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:430% → 1%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 8 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
Manny Morgan run for 7 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 8 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-1
99.9%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 6 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
99.3%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 47 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 21TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:49100% → 100%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Mitchell Guadagni pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
99.7%
Mitchell Guadagni run for 11 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
99.7%
Shakif Seymour run for 13 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.7%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+7
99.7%
Mitchell Guadagni run for 7 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
99.7%
Shakif Seymour run for 16 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
100.0%
Shakif Seymour run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
100.0%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 17 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
Deltron Sands run for 3 yds to the Akron 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:04
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 25 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 14:54
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kobie Booker for 25 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
-4.2
TD · Q1 1:57
Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 13 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com