Try the model
OHIO

Ohio 48 at Bowling Green 30

BGSU
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:46 · Michael Farkas punt for 44 yds, downed at the BOWLGREEN 31 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior−18.6Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:07: Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +12.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:41: James Morgan pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 10 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +21.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:28: Nathan Rourke run for 75 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — OHIO win probability +23.7 pts (now 69%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:23: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 40 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +11.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:23: Andrew Clair run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +10.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:35BGSU 4th & 7 at OHIO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:35OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:46BGSU 4th & 10 at OHIO 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:46OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 7:20BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  7. Q1 4:39OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:29BGSU 4th & 3 at OHIO 39, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%−1.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:43OHIO 4th & 10 at BGSU 33, down 6
    Close callPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:24BGSU 4th & 10 at OHIO 40, down 1
    Close callPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    35.8%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:37BGSU 4th & 2 at OHIO 15, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%−1.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−6.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 31, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:20OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 43, up 5
    Close callPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:06BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 27, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−2.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:54OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 18, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%−3.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:28BGSU 4th & 4 at OHIO 48, down 4
    Close callPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:21OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:26BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.6%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:45OHIO 4th & 1 at BGSU 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%−1.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q2 14:54OHIO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:07BGSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:24OHIO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:07OHIO Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:41BGSU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:28OHIO Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:23OHIO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:02OHIO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:23BGSU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:55OHIO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
29.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 6 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
29.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+24
29.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 39 yds OHIO Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the BwGrn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:5130% → 31%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
30.2%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
30.2%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+13
30.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 13 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
30.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 4 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-1
30.3%
Janarvis Pough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
30.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo Redding, broken up by Javon HaganSimilar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
31.3%
Jake Suder 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
31.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Marcus MiltonSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
31.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
31.4%
Michael Farkas punt for 36 yds, downed at the BwGrn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 2:5732% → 35%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
31.8%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
31.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 4 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+9
31.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
32.0%
Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 9
50
+11
32.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 11 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
32.1%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the Ohio 39 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+32
31.9%
Andrew Clair run for 32 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
32.2%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
32.2%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
32.0%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
34.6%
Jake Suder 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Cameron JefferiesSimilar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
34.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
34.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+54
34.9%
Michael Farkas punt for 44 yds, downed at the BOWLGREEN 31 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
34.9%
Andrew Clair run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 2
OWN 29
-1
35.2%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+6
34.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 6 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
35.0%
Josh Cleveland run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
35.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
35.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
35.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
35.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
34.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton, broken up by Marlin BrooksSimilar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
34.5%
Joseph Davidson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kylan Nelson at the Ohio 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
36.8%
Dorian Brown run for 9 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+10
36.5%
Dorian Brown run for 10 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
36.5%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
36.4%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
36.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
37.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 47 yds , Marcus Milton returns for no gain to the BwGrn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
38.9%
Josh Cleveland run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 27 Josh Cleveland fumbled, forced by Chad Moore, recovered by Ohio Quentin PolingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:0664% → 67%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
36.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
36.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
36.2%
Rourke, Nathan pass incomplete to Cope, Brendan, PENALTY BGSU holding (STEPHENS, Clint) 5 yards to the BGSU5, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
36.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
32.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4735% → 44%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
35.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
36.3%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+16
35.5%
Andrew Clair run for 16 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
36.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 13 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+29
37.4%
Andrew Clair run for 29 yds to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
44.1%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11INT
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0059% → 60%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+19
41.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 19 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
40.3%
Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Fred Garth return for 5 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
44.6%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+10
43.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 10 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-1
44.0%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 39Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+2
43.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 2 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:5658% → 53%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
42.1%
Dorian Brown run for 30 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
39.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Cameron JefferiesSimilar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
39.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Dorian Brown for 2 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-2
40.9%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 10
OPP 33
0
47.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 30 yds, downed at the BwGrn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1247% → 38%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
47.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Janarvis PoughSimilar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+15
38.1%
James Morgan pass intercepted for a TD Bradd Ellis return for 15 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
38.7%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
38.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
38.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 4 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
39.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 3 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+21
40.4%
Andrew Clair run for 21 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
41.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
41.1%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
40.4%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 10
OPP 40
+13
38.6%
Joseph Davidson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Kylan Nelson at the Ohio 12 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Ohio 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
36.8%
Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Marcus Milton return for no gain to the Ohio 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:5743% → 48%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
42.9%
Josh Cleveland run for 8 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+3
43.0%
Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
43.0%
James Morgan sacked by Andrew Payne for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 15
OPP 28
-1
41.4%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 16
OPP 29
+14
39.8%
Andrew Clair run for 14 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+32
47.9%
Jake Suder 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 1:2655% → 70%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
44.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+8
44.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 8 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
44.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 7 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+6
43.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 6 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
42.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Cameron Jefferies for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+36
41.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 36 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
29.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19END OF HALF
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:4534% → 33%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
33.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+6
33.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 2
OWN 11
-2
32.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.3%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
33.2%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
32.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Janarvis PoughSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+63
32.3%
Joseph Davidson punt for 58 yds, downed at the BOWLGREEN 11 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (5 Yards) to the Ohio 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
31.7%
Rourke, Nathan rush for loss of 1 yard to the OHIO5 (HARRIS, Brandon), PENALTY OHIO personal foul 3 yards to the OHIO3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 13
OWN 3
+8
31.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+11
31.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
31.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
30.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
30.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
29.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
29.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
31.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Janarvis PoughSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.6%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
31.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 8
OWN 0
0
30.1%
DAVIDSON, Joe punt 43 yards to the OHIO30, Nelson, Kylan return to the OHIO42 (FOLKERTSMA, H.), PENALTY BGSU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY OHIO personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+2
30.8%
Joseph Davidson punt for 56 yds , Kylan Nelson returns for 2 yds to the Ohio 29 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Ohio 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
31.7%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+5
31.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 1
OWN 18
0
32.2%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the Ohio 18Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+26
33.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 57 yds , Marcus Milton returns for 26 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:1037% → 59%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
37.0%
Grant Loy run for 9 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+12
37.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 12 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
38.9%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
38.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+14
36.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for 14 yds to the Ohio 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
38.9%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
58.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 10 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
30.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 75 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0033% → 35%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
33.4%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to MILLER, Scott, PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the BGSU35, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
34.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
36.8%
Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
37.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
35.1%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+6
33.7%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 3:28
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
34.6%
Joseph Davidson punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 27TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:4770% → 85%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
30.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+29
30.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 29 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
26.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
27.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+5
26.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
15.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 40 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28FUMBLE
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
15.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+8
15.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 8 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+4
15.9%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
16.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
15.7%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-8
15.1%
James Morgan sacked by Quentin Poling for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 20 James Morgan fumbled, recovered by Ohio Bradd Ellis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 29TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:1287% → 97%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
13.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+9
13.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 30TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:395% → 16%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Janarvis PoughSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+69
4.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 69 yds to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
5.7%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.4%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
11.1%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
11.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Troy MangenSimilar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
11.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
11.4%
Michael Farkas punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 32DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
12.4%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
12.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+5
11.8%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
12.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Matthew Wilcox Jr., broken up by Quentin PolingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 33TD
10 plays · 41 yds · 5:2192% → 100%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
8.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
7.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+3
5.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+7
5.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
5.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+8
5.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
5.0%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
5.0%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 34INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
1.7%
Grant Loy run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+10
1.7%
Grant Loy pass complete to Pete Norris for 10 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
1.7%
Grant Loy pass intercepted Dylan Conner return for no gain to the BwGrn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 35END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:28
Nathan Rourke run for 75 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-23.7
TD · Q3 3:41
James Morgan pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 10 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
+21.8
TD · Q2 1:07
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com