Try the model
M-OH

Miami (OH) 14 at Kent State 17

KENT
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Dix Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.9KENT 36.6%Shane Hynes 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q2 12:07
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:07 · Shane Hynes 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior−18.0Home team on offense+2.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:43: George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for 4 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +13.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:37: George Bollas pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 84 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +24.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:05: George Bollas pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Joshua Allen — KENT win probability +8.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:44: Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the KntSt 12 — KENT win probability +10.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:42: Timeout MIAMI OH, clock 01:42 — KENT win probability +8.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10M-OH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:50KENT 4th & 8 at M-OH 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:50M-OH 4th & 14 at M-OH 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:53KENT 4th & 1 at M-OH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%−0.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:53KENT 4th & 18 at M-OH 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:41M-OH 4th & 10 at KENT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    65.6%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:07KENT 4th & 3 at M-OH 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.6%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:56KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:39KENT 4th & 3 at M-OH 19, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.5%−0.7
    77% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−6.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:39M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:46KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:10M-OH 4th & 17 at M-OH 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−4.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 6 at KENT 40, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−2.0
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:05KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 32, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.4 ptsPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−4.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:34M-OH 4th & 8 at KENT 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−2.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−16.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:34KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−6.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:09M-OH 4th & 14 at KENT 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:52KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−13.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:45M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.8%−6.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 8:56M-OH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:33M-OH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:43KENT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:37KENT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
25.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
25.9%
Billy Bahl run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
25.9%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Elvis Hines return for 14 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4127% → 28%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
26.8%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+1
26.8%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
26.7%
Dustin Crum run for no gain to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+41
27.6%
Shane Hynes 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
27.4%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 24
-5
27.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal shift (Mitch Palmer) to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 14
OWN 19
0
27.4%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 14
OWN 19
0
27.5%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 14
OWN 19
+2
27.6%
Kyle Kramer punt for 44 yds , Raymond James returns for 2 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
28.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 7 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
28.2%
Kesean Gamble run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
28.3%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
28.3%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+4
28.2%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
28.1%
Kesean Gamble run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
28.3%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-10
28.4%
JAMES, Raekwon rush for no gain to the MIAMI34 (DUFFIN, Mack), PENALTY KENT holding (BRUMFIELD, C.) 10 yards to the MIAMI44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 15
OPP 44
0
28.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kesean GambleSimilar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 15
OPP 44
-3
27.9%
Dustin Crum sacked by Nate Trawick and Pasquale Calcagno for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 18
OPP 47
0
27.7%
Derek Adams punt for 41 yds, downed at the MiaOh 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 48 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
30.3%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+26
30.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Luke Mayock for 26 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
30.0%
Kenny Young run for 20 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
29.3%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
29.6%
Billy Bahl run for no gain to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 12
OPP 48
-5
30.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 17
OWN 47
+7
30.2%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 7 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
30.4%
Kyle Kramer punt for 41 yds, downed at the KntSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6FG
10 plays · 90 yds · 4:2532% → 37%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
32.4%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 8Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+1
32.4%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the KntSt 9Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+18
31.8%
Dustin Crum run for 18 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
33.5%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+61
33.3%
Mike Carrigan run for 61 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
35.3%
CRUM, Dustin rush for loss of 3 yards to the MIAMI15 (COSTIN, Doug), PENALTY MIAMI offside defense 5 yards to the MIAMI7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+3
35.3%
Kesean Gamble run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 4
-1
35.3%
Kesean Gamble run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
34.7%
Dustin Crum run for no gain to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+23
36.6%
Shane Hynes 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:0564% → 70%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
36.3%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 10 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
35.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 21 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
34.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
34.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+15
34.9%
KENT ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Manny Lawrence-Burke) to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
34.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+7
34.4%
Kenny Young run for 7 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+4
34.0%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+13
30.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 13 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.4%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
32.3%
Dustin Crum sacked by Pasquale Calcagno for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
31.3%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
31.0%
Derek Adams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
30.3%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
30.4%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Jamal Parker return for 1 yd to the MiaOh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:0035% → 34%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
34.8%
Kavious Price run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+3
35.6%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
35.6%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+5
35.6%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 1
OPP 17
-2
34.5%
Kesean Gamble run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
34.3%
Shane Hynes 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
32.6%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
32.1%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
33.3%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-4
34.2%
Kyle Kramer punt for 59 yds , Raymond James returns for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:4533% → 33%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
32.9%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 13Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+1
32.8%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+2
33.0%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
32.9%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:0769% → 79%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
30.9%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+10
30.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Luke Mayock for 10 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
29.7%
Kenny Young run for 27 yds to the KntSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
29.2%
BAHL, Billy pass incomplete to GARDNER, James, PENALTY KENT pass interference (FOSTER, Jerrell) 14 yards to the KENT2, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 2 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
23.8%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:1723% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
22.5%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
22.4%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 10 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
22.7%
George Bollas pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 10 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
23.7%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
23.5%
Will Matthews run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+6
24.3%
George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for 6 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
24.6%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Conor BrumfieldSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
24.5%
Justin Rankin run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+12
24.5%
George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for 12 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
25.6%
George Bollas pass complete to Conor Brumfield for 9 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+7
25.6%
Will Matthews run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
25.6%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
25.6%
George Bollas run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
39.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for 4 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
16 plays · 33 yds · 4:2766% → 66%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
34.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Jordan Rigg) to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+3
34.8%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+13
35.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
34.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+2
34.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+14
34.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 14 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
32.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
32.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
29.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
50
-5
28.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Sam McCollum) to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+2
30.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 13
OWN 47
-4
30.3%
Billy Bahl sacked by James Alexander for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 17
OWN 43
0
32.0%
Billy Bahl run for no gain to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 17
OWN 43
+41
33.7%
Kyle Kramer punt for 41 yds, downed at the KENTST 16 KENT ST Penalty, kick catching interference off-setting ( Yards) to the KntSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17TD
1 play · 84 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
58.3%
George Bollas pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 84 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:2942% → 44%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
58.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+18
58.3%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 18 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
54.7%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+10
54.1%
Kenny Young run for 10 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
53.0%
Billy Bahl run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+5
54.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
53.7%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
55.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 39 yds, downed at the KntSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
64.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Joshua AllenSimilar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
64.1%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+22
62.6%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 22 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
65.4%
Justin Rankin run for 7 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+2
67.0%
George Bollas run for 2 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
65.8%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Trey Harrell, broken up by Tony ReidSimilar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
64.1%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20MISSED FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:2837% → 38%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
63.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
60.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+36
58.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 36 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
55.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 11 yds to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
55.8%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Jerrell FosterSimilar
Q4 10:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
55.8%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Luke Mayock, broken up by Nick FaulknerSimilar
Q4 10:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
57.8%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q4 7:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
62.2%
Samuel Sloman 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0070% → 67%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
70.0%
George Bollas run for 2 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-1
69.6%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 21Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-3
68.1%
George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+1
66.9%
Derek Adams punt for 46 yds , Jared Murphy returns for 1 yd to the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0035% → 32%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
65.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 22 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
60.4%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
60.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-4
63.2%
Billy Bahl sacked by Theo Majette and Jordan Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 45Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
68.4%
Kyle Kramer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Raymond James at the KntSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 2:5278% → 89%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
78.4%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the KntSt 12Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+4
78.2%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+5
77.1%
George Bollas run for 5 yds to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
78.7%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
87.5%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-7
86.3%
George Bollas run for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 13
OWN 18
0
89.2%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:4315% → 15%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
84.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 5 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
83.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 5
OWN 48
+11
86.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 11 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
81.9%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Ryan Smith, broken up by Darryl MarshallSimilar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
82.9%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
84.4%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Ryan Smith, broken up by Darryl MarshallSimilar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-8
85.4%
Billy Bahl sacked by Nick Faulkner and Theo Eboigbe for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:37
George Bollas pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 84 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
+24.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+14.6
TD · Q3 8:43
George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for 4 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
+13.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com