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AKR

Akron 14 at Western Michigan 13

WMU
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2017 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:22 · Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 7 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior+0.2Home team on offense−6.1Score differential−1.8Garbage-time factor−5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:07: Manny Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +8.4 pts (now 44%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:38: Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 50 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +20.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:30: Thomas Woodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 30 — AKR win probability +9.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:00: Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 22 — AKR win probability +10.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:45: Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 18 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down — WMU win probability +9.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 6:01WMU 4th & 10 at AKR 31, down 7
    Close callPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:15AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:47WMU 4th & 1 at AKR 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.8%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:39WMU 4th & 8 at AKR 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:30AKR 4th & 16 at WMU 39, up 11
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    47.5%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:50AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 39, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:52WMU 4th & 1 at AKR 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    39.1%−4.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:02WMU 4th & 3 at AKR 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    40.0%−0.9
    87% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−10.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:40AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−2.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:47WMU 4th & 2 at AKR 34, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    34.3%−2.5
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−3.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:40AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−3.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:07WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:12AKR 4th & 18 at AKR 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−8.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:07WMU 4th & 12 at AKR 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−6.4
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−14.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:57AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−2.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:22WMU 4th & 3 at AKR 46, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.5%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.1%
    23% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−14.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:25AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:07AKR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:38WMU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1INT
14 plays · 66 yds · 5:4579% → 78%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
78.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 12 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
78.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+12
78.3%
D'Wayne Eskridge run for 12 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
78.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
78.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+4
78.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
78.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+3
78.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+7
77.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
77.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+7
77.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+6
77.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+70
77.8%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted Kyron Brown return for 70 yds to the WMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:3424% → 26%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
76.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 11 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
74.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kobie Booker for 13 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1975% → 74%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
75.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 23 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
75.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+3
75.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
-4
74.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 10
OPP 31
0
73.5%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2827% → 27%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
73.3%
Thomas Woodson run for 2 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-5
73.2%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 9Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+1
73.0%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the Akron 10Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 12
OWN 10
0
72.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 12
OWN 10
+15
72.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 47 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 15 yds to the Akron 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 4:2074% → 70%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
73.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
73.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Akron 35 Jamauri Bogan fumbled, forced by Darius Copeland,Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+2
72.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+6
72.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
72.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+13
72.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 13 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
72.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the Akron 6Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 0
OPP 6
-5
72.6%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (D'Wayne Eskridge) to the Akron 11Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
71.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 3 yds to the Akron 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
70.8%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 0
OPP 8
+25
70.2%
Josh Grant 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:4231% → 44%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
69.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, face mask (16 yards) (16 Yards) to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
67.8%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to EDWARDS, Van, PENALTY WMU holding (PHILLIPS, Dariu) 10 yards to the WMU49, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
67.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 3 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+7
67.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 7 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
66.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+21
66.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kobie Booker for 21 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
65.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Manny Morgan for 2 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
65.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+13
65.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 13 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
64.5%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the WMich 1Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.2%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7FG
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:2158% → 59%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+34
58.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 19 yds to the WESTMICH 49 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
59.7%
Jon Wassink sacked by Brian Reinke for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 38Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 14
OPP 38
0
57.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Akron 38Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 14
OPP 38
+6
56.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+49
59.2%
Josh Grant 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8PUNT
16 plays · 36 yds · 6:0941% → 48%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
59.5%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
59.1%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+14
58.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 14 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
57.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
57.3%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-9
57.4%
Thomas Woodson run for 1 yd to the Akron 38 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 19
OWN 28
+22
57.5%
Manny Morgan run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
50
0
55.3%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
50
+3
54.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Manny Morgan for 3 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+14
53.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 14 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
53.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-11
52.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the WMich 24 AKRON Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 16
OPP 39
0
52.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 16
OPP 39
0
51.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 16
OPP 39
0
51.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 32 yds, downed at the WMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9MISSED FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 1:2751% → 51%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
50.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 5 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+4
51.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 4 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+5
48.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
49.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Anton CurtisSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
49.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 11 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
49.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Anton Curtis for 9 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
49.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
49.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 15 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
50.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Anton Curtis for 9 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+49
51.4%
Josh Grant 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0552% → 53%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
48.5%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Eric Assoua for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 15
OWN 25
0
48.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius Smith, broken up by Obbie JacksonSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+14
48.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 14 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 13:50
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
47.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11DOWNS
15 plays · 68 yds · 5:3647% → 40%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
47.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+3
46.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+9
45.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
46.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keishawn Watson, broken up by Alvin DavisSimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+13
45.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 13 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
46.8%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
44.3%
D'Wayne Eskridge run for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 47Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+14
40.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 14 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
41.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
43.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 37Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+19
43.0%
WASSINK, Jon rush for 9 yards to the AKRON28 (BUTLER, Denzel), PENALTY AKRON offside declined, PENALTY AKRON holding (BUTLER, Denzel) 19 yards to the AKRON18, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
44.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
44.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Akron 14Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+3
41.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+2
39.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Akron 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
38.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
38.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 7
OWN 12
0
38.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
39.6%
Nick Gasser punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0441% → 35%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
40.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
40.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 3 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+2
38.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 2 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
35.1%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 27 yds, downed at the Akron 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:0765% → 66%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
34.8%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 5Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+29
34.6%
Manny Morgan run for 29 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
32.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-5
32.4%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+1
33.2%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
33.6%
Nick Gasser punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0031% → 28%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
30.6%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
30.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+2
28.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 2 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
27.6%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 28 yds, downed at the Akron 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:1173% → 77%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
27.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+13
27.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 13 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
24.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+2
23.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
23.0%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Asantay Brown return for no gain to the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:4425% → 46%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
25.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 14 yds to the WMich 46 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Mike Caliendo) to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
24.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
24.3%
WASSINK, Jon pass incomplete to ARNETT, Tyron, dropped pass, PENALTY AKRON offside (REINKE, Brian) 5 yards to the WMU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
25.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
24.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Luke Sanders for 15 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
25.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 15
50
+50
45.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 50 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:1864% → 60%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
35.9%
Thomas Woodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 13
OWN 30
0
37.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Fransohn Bickley, broken up by Obbie JacksonSimilar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 13
OWN 30
-5
38.7%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Andre Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 25Similar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 18
OWN 25
0
39.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:5243% → 50%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
42.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
46.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
45.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 20 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
47.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 3 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
47.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+10
44.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 10 yds to the Akron 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
47.0%
Jon Wassink run for 1 yd to the Akron 15Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
46.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 9
OPP 15
-3
43.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+35
49.5%
Josh Grant 35 yd FG GOOD AKRON Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
18 plays · 30 yds · 4:0358% → 75%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
41.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-1
41.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+5
41.2%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to CHAPMAN, T., dropped pass, PENALTY WMU offside (CLARK, Steven) 5 yards to the AKRON26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+7
40.4%
Thomas Woodson run for 7 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
38.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
34.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 7 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+9
31.4%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to CONEY, A.J., PENALTY WMU pass interference (BROWN, Asantay) 9 yards to the AKRON49, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
29.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
50
+1
24.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+2
25.1%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 6
OPP 47
-4
22.0%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
24.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:4034% → 25%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
34.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 18 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
38.6%
Jon Wassink run for 7 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
41.6%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
36.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+7
33.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 7 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
32.5%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
30.4%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Donnie ErnsbergerSimilar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-2
25.1%
Jon Wassink sacked by Ulysees Gilbert III for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-25.1
TD · Q4 10:38
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 50 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)
+20.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:00
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 22
-10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com