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KENT

Kent State 3 at Northern Illinois 24

NIU
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:26 · Derek Adams punt for 61 yds , Jalen Embry returns for 8 yds to the NoIll 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+12.6Home team on offense+28.7Score differential+19.9Garbage-time factor+7.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:33: Shane Hynes 18 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +2.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:31: Dustin Crum run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 23 — KENT win probability +1.7 pts (now 15%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 1:01: Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for 25 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +5.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:34: Marcus Childers pass complete to Jordan Huff for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +5.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:24: Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. Brown — NIU win probability +1.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10KENT made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00NIU 4th & 17 at NIU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:16KENT 4th & 4 at NIU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:55NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:27KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:33KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:37NIU 4th & 15 at NIU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:33KENT 4th & 1 at NIU 1, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.3%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−4.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:55NIU 4th & 2 at KENT 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.4%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:59KENT 4th & 19 at KENT 8, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:52NIU 4th & 4 at KENT 48, up 11
    Close callPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:24NIU 4th & 28 at KENT 42, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:04KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 3, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:48NIU 4th & 2 at KENT 24, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−1.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:48KENT 4th & 18 at KENT 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:55NIU 4th & 4 at KENT 46, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:07KENT 4th & 17 at KENT 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00NIU 4th & 13 at NIU 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:26KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:05KENT 4th & 25 at KENT 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:58NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:08KENT 4th & 6 at NIU 45, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:09KENT 4th & 7 at NIU 40, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:00NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:01NIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:34NIU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.4%
Jordan Huff run for no gain to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
92.4%
Daniel Santacaterina sacked by Marques Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 25
-2
92.4%
Daniel Santacaterina run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
92.4%
Matt Ference punt for 33 yds, downed at the KntSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
91.9%
Justin Rankin run for 8 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+2
91.9%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
91.9%
Justin Rankin run for 9 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 1
OPP 37
-3
91.9%
George Bollas run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
91.9%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Justin RankinSimilar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
92.0%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.4%
Tommy Mister run for 1 yd to the NoIll 21Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
91.4%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
91.3%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 6 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
91.3%
Matt Ference punt for 32 yds, downed at the KntSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
90.8%
George Bollas run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 37Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 12
OWN 37
-3
90.9%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+7
91.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 7 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
91.0%
Derek Adams punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:3590% → 91%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
90.3%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 17Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+8
90.3%
Marcus Childers run for 8 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+8
90.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 8 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
90.4%
Marcus Childers run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+10
90.6%
D.J. Brown run for 10 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
90.6%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+15
90.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for 15 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
90.7%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
90.7%
Marcus Jones run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-5
90.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+28
90.6%
Marcus Childers run for 28 yds to the KntSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
89.7%
Christian Blake run for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 10Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
91.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 10 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
90.3%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-3
90.2%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
90.6%
George Bollas pass intercepted Jawuan Johnson return for 5 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:3491% → 91%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
90.9%
Jordan Huff run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 35Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+9
90.8%
Jordan Huff run for 9 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+2
90.6%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
90.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass intercepted, touchback. Jerrell Foster return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
90.0%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+6
90.1%
Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 14:33
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
90.2%
Dustin Crum run for no gain to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 14:33
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
90.4%
Derek Adams punt for 27 yds, downed at the NoIll 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
90.4%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-10
90.4%
JONES, Marcus rush for 1 yard to the KENT48 (McKAY, Anthony;FAULKNER, Nick), PENALTY NIU holding (HAWN, Isaac) 10 yards to the NIU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+3
90.0%
Christian Blake run for 3 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 15
OWN 44
0
89.8%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 15
OWN 44
+66
89.5%
Matt Ference punt for 56 yds for a touchback KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10FG
10 plays · 89 yds · 4:4211% → 14%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
89.5%
Dustin Crum run for 12 yds to the KntSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+34
89.5%
Dustin Crum run for 34 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
88.7%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+4
88.7%
Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+8
88.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Justin Rankin for 8 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
88.3%
Dustin Crum run for 22 yds to the NoIll 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
88.3%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the NoIll 6Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
88.3%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the NoIll 3Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
88.7%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the NoIll 1Similar
Q2 6:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
86.1%
Shane Hynes 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11INT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
84.9%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 23Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+14
85.3%
CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to CARRIGAN, Mike, PENALTY NIU pass interference (WILLIAMS, Mykel) 14 yards to the NIU9, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
84.9%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the NoIll 8Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 0
OPP 8
-10
84.6%
CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to CARRIGAN, Mike, dropped pass, PENALTY KENT holding (PUTHOFF, Nathan) 10 yards to the NIU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 0
OPP 18
+1
84.7%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the NoIll 17Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 0
OPP 17
+45
85.3%
Dustin Crum pass intercepted Shawun Lurry return for 45 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:5487% → 92%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
87.0%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
86.8%
Jordan Huff run for 7 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
86.8%
Jordan Huff run for 1 yd to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+2
86.2%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
87.0%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+2
87.4%
Marcus Jones run for 2 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+7
85.8%
Marcus Childers run for 7 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
91.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for 25 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.8%
Justin Rankin run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
90.6%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
90.1%
Kavious Price run for 1 yd to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
90.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for no gain to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-10
90.7%
George Bollas sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the KntSt 8Similar
Q3 14:59
4TH & 19
OWN 8
0
91.0%
Derek Adams punt for 46 yds , Jalen Embry returns for no gain to the NoIll 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
90.9%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
90.9%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
90.5%
Marcus Childers run for no gain to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
90.0%
Matt Ference punt for 39 yds , Raymond James returns for no gain to the KntSt 11 Raymond James fumbled, recovered by NoIll Alex SchwabSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:3291% → 96%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
90.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 9 yds to the KntSt 2Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
96.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jordan Huff for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.3%
George Bollas pass intercepted Bobby Jones IV return for 2 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · -8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.2%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-10
96.2%
CHILDERS, Marcu rush for no gain to the KENT34 (JONES, Jim), PENALTY NIU holding (SHIVELY, Luke) 10 yards to the KENT44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 20
OPP 44
0
96.1%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 20
OPP 44
+20
96.0%
Marcus Childers run for 20 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
96.2%
Jordan Huff run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-9
96.2%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the KntSt 24 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive holding (Max Scharping) to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 20
OPP 34
+7
96.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 7 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 13
OPP 27
-15
96.1%
Marcus Childers sacked by Manny Lawrence-Burke and Jim Jones for a loss of 15 yards to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 28
OPP 42
0
95.6%
Matt Ference punt for 41 yds, downed at the KntSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
95.5%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 2Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+1
95.6%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 3Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+3
95.6%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the KntSt 6Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 5
OWN 6
-3
95.6%
KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (-3 Yards) to the KntSt 3Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 8
OWN 3
0
95.6%
Derek Adams punt for 29 yds, downed at the KntSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0497% → 98%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
96.6%
Jordan Huff run for 6 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+2
96.6%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+41
97.8%
Christian Hagan 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.9%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-8
97.8%
Kavious Price run for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-4
98.0%
Dustin Crum sacked by Josh Corcoran and Bobby Jones IV for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 17Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
98.0%
Derek Adams punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jalen Embry at the NoIll 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.4%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Christian Blake for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 8
50
+4
98.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for 4 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
98.3%
Matt Ference punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:282% → 1%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.4%
Kesean Gamble run for 3 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-5
98.4%
Dustin Crum sacked by William Lee and Bobby Jones IV for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-5
98.4%
Dustin Crum sacked by Sutton Smith and Josh Corcoran for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 13Similar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
98.6%
Derek Adams punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jalen Embry at the NoIll 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.1%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
50
0
99.1%
Jordan Huff run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
50
-7
99.1%
Marcus Childers sacked by Marques Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
99.0%
Matt Ference punt for 37 yds, downed at the KntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.9%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.9%
CRUM, Dustin rush for loss of 3 yards to the KENT17, fumble by CRUM, Dustin recovered by KENT MATTHEWS, Will at KENT19, PENALTY NIU offside (BROWN, Drequan) 5 yards to the KENT25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
98.8%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
98.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Justin Rankin, broken up by Mykelti WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+8
98.9%
Derek Adams punt for 61 yds , Jalen Embry returns for 8 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26INT
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:5699% → 100%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+19
99.3%
Jordan Huff run for 19 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
99.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 13 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.4%
Jordan Huff run for 6 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+5
99.4%
Marcus Childers run for 5 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
99.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for 9 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+5
99.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Christian Blake for 5 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.4%
Jordan Huff run for no gain to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
99.4%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
99.5%
Marcus Childers pass intercepted, touchback. Juantez McRae return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.1%
Dustin Crum run for 10 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.1%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-5
99.1%
Dustin Crum sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+12
99.1%
Dustin Crum run for 12 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
99.1%
Dustin Crum sacked by Sutton Smith and Josh Corcoran for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 16
OWN 35
-8
99.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Trey Harrell for 7 yds to the KntSt 42 KENT ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 24
OWN 27
-1
99.2%
George Bollas run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 25
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Derek Adams punt for 74 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.6%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
99.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 5 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-6
99.6%
Jordan Huff run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 21Similar
Q4 5:58
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
99.5%
Matt Ference punt for 28 yds, downed at the NoIll 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 29DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.4%
George Bollas pass complete to Kavious Price for 4 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
99.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
99.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 30FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
99.7%
Marcus Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 43 Marcus Jones fumbled, forced by Alex Hoag, recovered by KntSt Jim JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 31DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
99.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.5%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 3 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
99.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Kavious Price, broken up by Mycial AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 32END OF GAME
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.7%
Marcus Jones run for 8 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+12
99.7%
Marcus Jones run for 12 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
99.7%
Marcus Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 42Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+4
99.7%
Tommy Mister run for 4 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:01
Marcus Childers pass complete to Shane Wimann for 25 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q3 10:34
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jordan Huff for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+5.3
FG · Q2 6:33
Shane Hynes 18 yd FG GOOD
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com